Betting Picks for the 2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico
Earl has been ON FIRE with his golf picks and comes back to us again this week with the 2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico.
The Spooky Express did it yet AGAIN! For the third time in 4 weeks, the Spooky Express team gave you a winner with our weekly PGA play! Last week, we nailed our top recommended play with Rickie Fowler at 18/1 and cashed out a nice little payday! We also cashed on 2 out of our 3 head to head plays at The Honda Classic and had a really nice week! We hope you all are following us week to week and taking advantage of our free system plays in PGA.
Club De Golf Chapultepec
This week, the pro’s head just west of Mexico City to Naucalpan, Mexico for the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. The World Golf Championship will play tournaments in 4 locations this year, with the Mexico Championship being the 1st one of the year.
The World Golf Championships-Mexico is played at Club De Golf Chapultepec. Club De Golf Chapultepec opened in 1928 and was the original host site for the Mexican Open from 1944 to 1960. The course itself is 7,330 yards and plays as a par 71. The course is lined with trees around the fairways and the rough is made up of kikuyu grass, which was the same as what we seen 2 weeks ago at Riviera Country Club.
I’ve read in many articles leading up to today that the greens at Club De Golf Chapultepec are Poa Annua but on the website for the course, it states that it is a mixture of Poa Annua and Bentgrass Greens.
If you’re looking for course history, you can look at the Mexico Open from 2014. That is really the only info I am using for course history this week.
Jason Day has withdrawn due to having a double ear infection and the flu, preventing him from preparing for the tournament. Rory McIlroy will make his 2017 debut and the top 49 of 50 golfers in the world will be playing this week in Mexico.
Forget About The Weather, Pay Attention To Elevation
Weather will be important but even more than that is the elevation factor here at Mexico. The lowest point of elevation on the course is just over 7382 feet of elevation. Now, you may be asking yourself, “What does elevation have to do with golf”. Well, several things…..first and foremost, if the golfer isn’t in top peak shape, they could struggle here. Walking 18 holes on a normal day in the US with normal elevation, not a problem. Walk 18 holes in Mexico with elevation around 8,000 feet and we got problems!
There really is no course history to go off of and set out system so we looked at the course, hole by hole, and came up with the following. Let me start off by saying that many people will bypass long ball strikers this week because this course is fairly short but that is a HUGE mistake! I am putting the majority of my weight in the system into Driving Accuracy, Ball Striking, Driving Distance and Total Driving. The course is packed with tree lined fairways so accurate driving is going to be essential but with the elevation, you can gain some length and hit some longer par’s in less strokes. We will also look for golfers who are successful with Greens In Reg and Strokes Gained: Tee To Green.
If you are playing DFS over at FantasyDraft.com this week, keep in mind that this tournament has no cut so all golfers will be playing 4 rounds. Be sure you grab guys that can score evenly throughout the 4 rounds.
*My first golfer is Sergio Garcia at 25/1 is our top golfer this week. Garcia has played in 4 tournaments this year and made the cut in all 4. There isnt a cut in this tournament but it still shows he is consistent and dependable. Garcia won the Omega Dubai Desert Classic a few weeks back and is currently the #10 World Golf Ranking Golfer. This course sets up perfect for Garcia. He is the only golfer that ranked in the top 25 in all 6 categories we placed into our system this week. He is #1 in Total Driving, #3 in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and #6 in Ball Striking. I am all in on Sergio Garcia this week at 25-1!
*My second golfer is Gary Woodland at 33/1. Woodland played fantastic last night and is a great ball striker. Woodland ranked top 18 in 5 of the 6 categories we put emphasis on. He is still looking for his first win of the 2017 season however he has placed 2nd, 5th and 6th this year. This could be the week we see Woodland at the winners circle.
*My third golfer is Emiliano Grillo at 80/1. Let me just say, 80-1 on Grillo is highway robbery! We should all feel like we are taking advantage of the sportsbooks but so be it! Grillo is a nice fit for this course. Grillo is MUCH better than what his recent form shows and I am confident we will see him back in the winners circle very soon.
*My fourth golfer is Jon Rahm at 25/1. Rahm is having an exceptional year. He has played in 4 tournaments and has a win at the Farmer’s Insurance Open, a 5th place finish at Pebble Beach and 16th at Phoenix Open.
*My fifth golfer is Adam Scott at 28/1. Scott is primed and ready to get his first win in 2017. He is coming off back to back decent tournaments with a 14th place finish at The Honda Classic and a 11th place finish at The Genesis Open. He is a decent putter on Poa Annua and played well in kikuyu grass at Riviera Country Club. Scott may surprise some people this week. Don’t get caught overlooking him!
Head to Head
- Adam Scott over Henrick Stenson at +134
- Gary Woodland over Brandt Sneedeker at -160