MLB Betting Preview: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers – April 16, 2018

by | Apr 16, 2018 | Baseball

Matchup at a Glance

Where: Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI
Date + Time (ET):  Mon April 16. @ 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline: CIN +125, MIL -135
Over/Under Total: 8.5
Quick Pick: MIL -135

It’s been another horrendous start for the Reds this year as they have continued to pile up the losses. With just two wins in fifteen games, the poor record of Manager Bryan Price will only get worse. They just cannot pull themselves together.

The Brewers on the other hand are off to a solid start, winning some here, losing some there. Playing .500 ball now is a good for them to keep their playoff chances afloat for as long as possible. The Pirates getting off to an 11-4 start has certainly surprised many, Milwaukee included, as they sit atop the NL Central. Milwaukee is listed as -135 favorites in most sportsbooks if you are looking to bet on them.

Cincinnati Reds (2-13)

Boasting a 2-13 record coming into play today, the Reds have a -48-run differential and are averaging less than 3 per game. Off an MVP caliber campaign, Joey Votto is hitting .236 with 0 HR’s and just 4 RBI’s, and Adam Duvall has just eight hits in fifty at bats. They aren’t driving any runs home and they continue to struggle in every single category. It will be a long year. They will send Luis Castillo to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings of work while striking out 4 against the Phillies last week. With an ERA of 7.31, he has a lot of work to do. They will need some decent innings from Castillo to get a win.

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Milwaukee Brewers (8-8)

They’ve kept pace in most of their games this year, as noted by their -6 run differential, but need to find a leader on offense. Most of their RBI leaders have all struggled to consistently get on base, something that will be vital to fix. They will however, without a doubt, take the 8-8 start they have gotten off to, and build on it. Once they fix that, good things will come.

Brent Suter will take the mound for his 4th start of the season. He allowed 1 run on 4 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings against the Cardinals last week, while striking out two. He is certainly having a better year than Luis Castillo, but his 4.70 ERA isn’t anything to write home about. He will need to have a solid outing and not let Votto or Duvall get a hold of anything.

Brewers over Reds

From 2-13, to 2-14, that is going to be the result once the Brewers take down the Reds. They won’t be able to keep the “meatballs” away from Eric Thames or Ryan Braun, and will have to pay for it. In what has already been a trying season for Cincy, it will not get any better.

I’m seeing a 6-inning performance with 1 run on 3 hits and 6 K’s for Suter, as he picks up the win. Milwaukee is listed as -135 favorites in most sportsbooks if you are looking to bet on them.

Take the Milwaukee Brewers -135

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