MLB Betting Preview: Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros – May 26, 2018

by | May 25, 2018 | Baseball

Matchup at a Glance

Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
Date & Time: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline: HOU -110 | CLE +100
Over/Under Total: 8
Quick Pick: Houston Astros -110

The Houston Astros will take on the Cleveland Indians on Saturday, May 26, 2018 in a American League matchup in the MLB.  This game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio with the first pitch scheduled to take place at 7:15 PM ET.  This game will be nationally televised on FOX beginning at around 7:00 PM.

The weather forecasters are predicting this will be a great night for baseball with temps between 75-78’ and humidity around 60%.  Winds will be blowing out to right field at about 6-8 mph and there is a very slim chance of any precipitation during the game.

BetOnline has set the moneyline at Houston Astros -110 and Cleveland Indians +100, with the total for the over under play at 8 runs. These two teams have already played one series this year, with the Houston Astros winning 2 out of 3 in the series and keeping the game under the posted total in 2 out of the 3 games. The combined run difference in that series on May 18-20 was Houston 11 Cleveland 7 through three games.   

Astros Look Like Defending World Champions!

The Houston Astros are in first place in the American League West Division. They have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games and have the best run differential in the majors. The Astros are the defending World Champions and looking the role.  They are playing very good baseball right now. Their pitching staff is the best in the majors.

They have a team ERA of 2.39, which is the top ERA in all of baseball and the lineup is crushing the ball coming in 3rd in team batting average and 4th in runs scored. This team is going to be really tough to beat with the way their pitching is coming through and the run support the lineup provides. The Astros have gone 7-3 on the year against teams from the American League Central Division and will look to continue those numbers in a upward direction when they face the Central Division’s Cleveland Indians.

Lance McCullers will make the start on Saturday for the Astros. McCullers has gone 6-2 for the World Series Champions in 10 starts this year.  McCullers has a 3.20 ERA over 59 innings, allowing 44 hits and 21 earned runs. McCullers faced this same Cleveland team last series on May 20th, where he completely shut them down, allowing just 1 hit in a 7 inning shutout.  He has been one of the Astros best pitchers this year and without a doubt one of the most reliable. His only two bad starts, which honestly I wouldn’t consider bad, came in games where he did not get any run support, 1 run in each game.  

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Indians Play Long Ball Often

The Cleveland Indians are back in first place in the American League Central Division but the race to hold off the Minnesota Twins is very narrow.  The Indians have held their record right around the .500 mark, which is by far the lowest of any team leading their division at this point in the season.  The next closest team in the lead in their division with similar record would be the Colorado Rockies, who are 2 games over .500.

The Indians have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games and will now face the defending World Series Champions, the Houston Astros.  The Indians have struggled this year with teams from the AL West, going just 6-11 in their 17 games against teams from the AL West.  The Indians have a +22 run differential this year, scoring the 6th most runs in the American League with 227 and allowing 205 runs on the season. The Indians have hit the 3rd most home runs in the American League this year and that contributes significantly to their success as the team is only hitting .247 team batting average.  

The Indians will turn to Carlos Carrasco for the primetime game on Saturday Night.  Carrasco has gone 5-3 this year in 10 starts and now has a 3.65 ERA. He has allowed 57 hits and 27 earned runs over 66.2 innings on the mound. The Astros took batting practice on Carrasco last time out, getting 8 hits and 3 earned runs in 7.2 innings pitched.That was his second consecutive straight loss but it was also the third time in a row that he had pitched deep into the game.  

Astros Continue Winning, Beat Up On Indians

The Houston Astros have been very strong against right handed pitching.  They have gone 41-15 this year in their last 56 games against a right handed starter, which is what Carrasco is. On the other side of the equation, the Indians have gone just 1-4 in their last 5 games against right handed starters. The one thing that does scare me is that the Astros have never really played well in Cleveland.  They have gone 6-13 in their last 19 games in Cleveland but I think we are seeing a much different team on the field nowadays than we have in years past. This team is destined for greatness and I think they will get the win on Saturday Night.

Pick: Houston Astros -110 for 3 units

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