The 16th ranked Colorado Buffaloes (19-5, 3-3 away) travel to Mathew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon to take on the 17th ranked Oregon Ducks (18-6, 12-0 home) in a battle for 1st place in the Pac-12 on Thursday night.
Colorado won the first matchup this season at home 74-65 covering the spread as 1½ point favorites back on January 2nd and a win would put them up by two games with having beat them twice. An Oregon wins put them in a first-place tie with the two splitting the season series. In the last ten played between these two, Oregon has gone 5-5 SU & 5-5 ATS.
Colorado Betting Preview:
Colorado (19-5) is in 1st place in the Pac-12 with an 8-3 conference record and has a one-game lead over 2nd place Oregon, 1½ game lead over Arizona & Arizona St and 2 games over USC & UCLA. The Buffaloes are on a three-game winning streak and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games. They are 11-12-1 ATS this season and 3-3 ATS on the road. The O/U has gone 14-10 this season and 1-5 when on the road.
Colorado is coming off an 81-74 win vs Stanford on Saturday but failed to cover the spread as 8½ point favorites. It was a game of two halves. Stanford was in control much of the first half and led 33-22 as the team went into the locker room. Stanford’s largest lead was 16 points after the first few minutes of the second half at 36-23.
Seven minutes later, Colorado went on a 26-13 run to tie the game at 49-49. The Buffs slowly took control from that point forward slowly pulling away and had the lead up to 11 at one point. After going 3/13 in the first half from three-point land, they made all eight of their attempts in the second half. Colorado was led in scoring by McKinley Wright IV with 21 points and D’Shawn Schwartz added 20 more. Tyler Bey led the way with 12 rebounds while McKinley Wright IV & Evan Battey tied for the lead with 4 assists each.
For the season, McKinley Wright IV is leading the way with 13.8 ppg and 5.2 assists per game. Tyler Bey is right behind him with 13.6 ppg. Bey is also leading the way with 9.1 rebounds per game, 1.7 steals per game and 1.3 blocked shots per game.
Colorado is scoring 72.5 ppg while giving up 62.6 points per game. That offensive output has them ranked 132nd in points scored per game and 144th in field goal percentage, but they are better at three-point shooting coming in at 27th in the nation. Defensively they are 27th in points allowed per game and 62nd in field goal percentage allowed per game, but only 280th in three-point shooting percentage allowed. They are ranked 25th in defensive rebounds per game this season.
Oregon Betting Preview:
Oregon (18-6) is in 2nd place with a 7-4 conference record in the Pac-12 just one-game back of 1st place Colorado. They have a half-game lead over Arizona & Arizona St and a two-game lead over USC & UCLA. The Ducks are on a two-game losing streak and has gone 7-3 in its last ten games. Oregon is 13-11 ATS this season and 7-12 ATS at home. The O/U has gone 15-8-1 this season and 9-3 when playing at home.
Oregon is coming off a 63-53 loss at Oregon St on Saturday being upset as 3½ point favorites. The usual productive Oregon offense really struggled especially in the 2nd half in a loss to cross-state rival Oregon. It started out ok in the first half as the Ducks had a 32-28 lead at the half. The 2nd half was a different story as the Beavers held the Ducks to without a field goal for nearly nine minutes in the second half and they wiped out a 10 point deficit.
It was still anyone’s game with 2½ minutes to play but Oregon St made 6 straight foul shots to seal the deal in the upset win. Oregon was led in scoring by Payton Pritchard with 16 points with the next closest player having just 11 points. Shakur Juiston led the team in rebounds with 10 and leading scorer Pritchard also led in assists with 9.
Taking a look at season leaders, we find Payton Pritchard leading the team in scoring with 19.5 ppg as well as assists with 6 per game. Shakur Juiston with 6.6 boards per game is the leading rebounder, while Francis Okoro is the blocked shots leader with 0.8 per game. The steals lead goes to Chris Duarte with 1.7 a game.
Oregon is scoring 75.8 ppg while giving up 67.5 points per game. The Ducks offense this season is ranked 67th in points scored per games and 35th in field goal percentage and even better yet in three-point shooting at 13th in the nation. They are however just 234th in free throw percentage. On the defensive side of things, they are 129th in points allowed per game and 49th in field goal percentage allowed as well as 115th in three-point field goal percentage allowed.
Colorado vs Oregon Betting Lines
BetOnline has set this line at Oregon -4½ with an over/under of 139 points. The line opened at Oregon -3½.
Free Betting Pick
I have often said that home court/field means more in college hoops than any other sport and I think tonight is a great example of that. Colorado is certainly coming in as the hotter team with Oregon losing their last two games and yet still the Ducks are favored in this game, what does that tell you? It would be too easy to take the team playing so much better plus the generous points.
Oregon is anxious to get home and erase the memory of those last two road games and coming home is the perfect place for it to happen. They owe Colorado from earlier this year and this is sort of a must-win if they want the conference title. Colorado has covered just once in the last seven games at Oregon. I also read this morning that Oregon is averaging shooting 51% at home this season. Everything points to an Oregon win and cover for me.