Sun Belt Tournament Finals Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers vs. UT-Arlington Mavericks – Sunday, March 17, 2019

by | NCAA Basketball

Matchup at a Glance

Where: Lakefront Arena in New Orleans, Louisiana

When: Sunday March 17th at 2:00 PM ET

Spread: Georgia State -3.5

Total: 140

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BetDSI has the Georgia State Panthers favored by 3.5 points over the UT-Arlington Mavericks. The Georgia State Panthers enter this game with a record of 23-9 and have won four of their last five games including a win on Saturday against Texas State by a score of 59-46.

The UT-Arlington Mavericks enter this game with a record of 17-15 and have won five games in a row including a win on Saturday against Georgia Southern by a score of 67-58. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog UT-Arlington Mavericks.

 

UT-Arlington Mavericks

The Mavericks are 17-15 overall and 19-11 ATS.  The UT-Arlington Mavericks need the is to make the NCAA tournament as with 17 wins in a non-power 5 conference they won’t make it any other way. UT-Arlington is 19-11 ATS overall, 12-3 ATS after a win, 12-7 ATS as an underdog and 14-4 ATS in conference games.

Brian Warren leads the team in scoring, assists and steals with 475 points, 111 assists and 37 steals. Rashad Davis leads the team in rebounds with 172. Jabari Narcis leads the team in blocks with 30.

UT-Arlington is averaging 69.45 points per game which ranks 205th in college basketball. They are averaging 11.29 offensive rebounds per game which is above the 10.08 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 12.84 assists per game which is below the 13.38 average for the rest of college basketball.

The Mavericks are allowing 70.06 points per game which is below the 72.44 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 26.03 defensive rebounds per game which is above the 25.23 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 6.48 steals per game which is above the 6.36 average for the rest of college basketball.

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Georgia State Panthers

The Panthers are 23-9 overall and 16-14-1 ATS.  The Georgia State Panthers likely need to win this game in order to make the tournament because a 23 win season and a regular season Sun Belt championship may not be enough, but at worst they will be a NIT team. Georgia State is 16-14-1 ATS overall, 11-9-1 ATS after a win, 9-12-1 ATS as a favorite and 9-9-1 ATS in conference games.

D’Marcus Simonds leads the team in scoring and assists with 586 points and 114 assists. Malik Benlevi leads the team in rebounds and blocks with 172 rebounds and 33 blocks. Kane Williams leads the team in steals with 60.

Georgia State is averaging 77.77 points per game which ranks 44th in college basketball. They are averaging 8.13 offensive rebounds per game which is below the 10.08 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 12.68 assists per game which is below the 13.38 average for the rest of college basketball.

The Panthers are allowing 73.22 points per game which is above the 72.44 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 24.50 defensive rebounds per game which is below the 25.23 average for the rest of college basketball. They are averaging 8.09 steals per game which is above the 6.36 average for the rest of college basketball.

Georgia State gets the win

The Georgia State Panthers are regular season champions of the Sun Belt while the Mavericks finished in 2nd place in the conference. The Panthers have already won the previous two meetings between these two teams, but both were close games as Georgia State won 63-58 in the first and 77-71 in the second game. I look for Georgia State to get the win and cover in the game on Sunday against UT-Arlington. Make sure to bet this match-up on BetDSI.

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Georgia State Panthers -3 (Buy half point) for 2 units

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