NCAA Basketball Betting Preview: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes – Thursday, February 13, 2020

by Mark Daloisio | February 13, 2020 |

The 21st ranked Iowa Hawkeyes (17-7, 3-4 away) travel to Assembly Hall in Indianapolis, Indiana to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (15-8, 12-3 home) in a Big Ten matchup on Thursday night.  This is the first and only regular-season game between these two this season. Last season Iowa swept Indiana winning 77-72 at Indiana and 76-70 in OT in Iowa. In the last ten games played between these two rivals, Indiana has gone 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS. 

Iowa Betting Preview: 

Iowa (17-7) is tied for 4th place with Illinois with 17-7 conference records in the Big Ten 2 games back of 1st place Maryland who is 10-3.  They are just one-game behind 2nd place Penn State and just a half-game back of 3rd place Michigan St.

Iowa only has a half-game lead over Rutgers and a one-game lead over Wisconsin.  The Hawkeyes are on a one-game winning streak and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games. They are 14-8-2 ATS this season and 3-4 ATS on the road. The O/U has gone 9-14-1 and 3-4 when on the road.

Iowa is coming off a 96-72 win vs Nebraska on Saturday covering the spread as large 14½ point favorites. Iowa appeared angry and took it out on Nebraska after losing their last game to Purdue 104-68.  Iowa never trailed in the game and led by as many as 38 points, there is not really much else to say, so let’s talk about some game leaders.

Joe Wieskamp scored 30 points & Luka Garza added 22. Garza also led the team in rebounds with 8 while Wieskamp was second with 7 boards.  Connor McCaffery led the team in assists with 4.  

For the season, Luka Garza leads the team in scoring with 23.1 ppg, 9.9 rebounds and 1.7 blocked shots per game.  Connor McCaffery is the leader with 3.7 assists and Joe Toussaint with 1.3 thefts leads the way in steals.  

Iowa is scoring 79.1 ppg while giving up 71.7 points per game.  That offensive output has them ranked 20th in points scored per game.  They are 98th in field goal percentage and 86th in three-point field goal percentage.  Defensively they are ranked way down at 247th in points allowed per game, 207th in field goal percentage allowed, but only 110th in three-point field goal percentage allowed.  They are also just 146th in defensive rebounds per game.  

Indiana Betting Preview: 

Indiana (15-8) is in 12th place in the Big Ten with a 5-7 conference record 4½ games back of 1st place Maryland.  There is no catching Maryland, but they can certainly move up at the standings. They only trail Minnesota, Ohio St & Michigan by a half-game and Purdue by one game.  Indiana is on a four-game losing streak and has gone 4-6 in its last ten games. The Hoosiers are 10-13 ATS this season and 8-7 ATS at home. The O/U has gone 11-12 and 9-6 when playing at home.

Indiana is coming off a 74-62 loss vs Purdue on Saturday being upset as 4 point home favorites.  It was Indiana’s 6th straight loss to Purdue. Purdue broke open a close first half with a 12-0 run that helped them to a 37-28 lead at the break.  That lead grew to 16 points with 12½ minutes to play but Indiana had a run of their own in them to the tune of 12-2 and all of a sudden it was back to a six-point lead as 56-50 with still nine minutes to go. 

But this was a game of streaks and it was Purdue’s turn as they scored the next nine to put the game away. Indiana could just not sustain any kind of offense on this night. The Hoosiers were led in scoring by Trayce Jackson-Davis with 16 points.  He also led the way with 8 rebounds tied for the lead with 4 assists with Al Durham.

Taking a look at season leaders, we find Trayce Jackson-Davis leading with 13.8 ppg, 7.9 rebounds per game and 1.9 blocked shots.  Rob Phinisee is the leader in assists with 3.1 dishes a game and Justin Smith is leading the way in steals with 1.1 per game.

Indiana is scoring  72.3 ppg while giving up 66.9 points per game.  This offense is ranked 140th in points scored per game this season and 97th in field goal percentage.  They are just 285th in three-point field goal percentage and are only 242nd in free throw percentage. On the defensive side of things, they are 113th in the fewest points allowed per game and 124th in field goal percentage allowed.  They are ranked 24th in defensive rebounds per game as well.

Iowa at Indiana Betting Lines

BetOnline has set this line at Indiana -1½ with an over/under of 149 points.  The line opened at Indiana -1½. 

Free Betting Pick

I hate going against Big Ten home teams, but I am going to make an exception in this one. It is also scary that the books made Indiana the favorite because more often than not they are correct, so I am going against my usual thoughts in this one and hoping it does not cost me. 

I just see Indiana as a team that is really struggling and despite playing on the road Iowa should be able to take advantage of them. This is the kind of game they need and must win if they want to move up the conference standings and get ready for the postseason. A loss for sure is going to drop them out of the top 25.  It should be pretty close, but they should win the game.  

Spooky Express Free Pick: Iowa +1½ 

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