Big East Conference Tournament Betting Preview: Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeers – Friday, March 15, 2019

by | Mar 14, 2019 | NCAA Basketball

Matchup at a Glance

When: Friday, March 15, 2019 at 6:30 PM EST

Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York

Point Spread: Villanova -6½

Betting Total: 137½ points

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Moving on to round three & the semi-finals of the Big East Tournament on Friday night.  We have the #4 seed Xavier Musketeers taking on the #1 seed and 25th ranked Villanova Wildcats.  

So far thru four games, the higher seed has managed to come out on top heading into the night games on Thursday.  The winner of this game will play Saturday night for the automatic bid to the dance.

These two split their two meeting this season with each team winning on their home court.

Game Location

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York with the tip-off scheduled to take place at 6:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

BetOnline has set the point spread for this game at Villanova -6½ and the over/under has been set at 137½ points

Xavier Musketeers

Xavier finished the regular season at home vs St Johns and as a 2 point favorite took care of them 81-68.  It was their 7th win out of last 8 games. In the opening round of this tourney on Thursday, #4 Xavier advanced with a 63-61 win over #5 Creighton.  

Xavier is scoring 72.3 ppg while giving up 70.9 points per game. Naji Marshall leads this team in scoring with 14.9 ppg, but four others are adding at least 10 points per game.  The rebounding leading with 7.8 per game is Tyrique Jones, but Naji Marshall is right on his tail with 6.7 boards a game.

Taking a look at assists Quentin Goodin leads the way with 4.7 per game.  Xavier’s offense in points per game is ranked 145th. On the defensive side of the ball they are ranked 129th in points allowed.

Nothing special about the numbers, but they are playing well as a team and are two wins away from an invite to the dance.

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Villanova Wildcats

Villanova finished the regular season on a sour note losing at Seton Hall 79-75.  Villanova was listed as a 3½ point favorite. Before that, they were slumping only winning 3 of their previous 7 games.  In the opening round of the tourney on Thursday, they at least temporarily righted the ship by beating Providence 73-62 covering the 6½ point spread.

Villanova is scoring 74.6 ppg while giving up 67.1 points per game.  Phil Booth leads the team in scoring with 18.6 ppg followed by Eric Paschall with 16.5 points per game.  Eric Paschall is also the leading rebounder with 6.1 per game and three more players adding at least 5 per game.  

Phil Booth in addition to scoring leads in assists with 3.9 dishes per game. Villanova is ranked 94th in points scored per game, and in points allowed per game, they are ranked 50th.

Keys Trends/Stats/Notes

  • Villanova is 8-2 SU & ATS last 10 vs Xavier
  • UNDER is 6-1 in Villanova’s last 7 neutral court games
  • Xavier is 7-1 ATS last 8 vs Big East
  • Xavier is 20-8-2 last 30 ATS last 30 neutral court games

Xavier in better form.  Gets cover….could pull upset!!

Xavier is on the outside looking in right now.  Villanova knows they are going dancing. Villanova is projected as number 6 seed in the tourney.  Xavier needs to win this one and then the championship game to get in. In general, I am pretty sure Villanova is the better team.  

Right at this moment, I am not so sure. Villanova really slumped the last month of the season while Xavier probably is playing it’s best ball.  They have more motivation coming into this one as well. Every year we have team that wins their conference tourney who is not the best team in the conference.  

I get the feeling that may be the case here. I just do not like the way Villanova is playing right now. With Xavier winning the most recent game between the two, they certainly have the confidence they can do it again.  I really love the X-men to get the cover. I think they also have a very reasonable shot a winning the game.

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Xavier Musketeers +6.5

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