PAC-12 Tournament Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies – Saturday, March 16, 2019

by | Mar 16, 2019 | NCAA Basketball

Matchup at a Glance

When: Saturday, March 16, 2019 at 10:30 PM EST

Where: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada

Point Spread: Oregon -1½

Betting Total: 119½ points

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The (22-12) #6 seed Oregon Ducks take on the (26-7) #1 Washington Huskies for the Pac-12 Championship and an automatic bid to go dancing.  Washington easily won the regular season title with a 15-3 conference record by 3 games over 2nd place Arizona State.

Oregon was 10-8 in the conference and ended up 5 games back of Washington.  These two split a pair of games this season. Surprisingly each team won on the other’s home court.

Game Location

This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada with the tip-off scheduled to take place at 10:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

BetOnline has set the point spread for this game at Oregon -1½  and the over/under has been set at 119½ points

Oregon Ducks

Oregon is just steamrolling through this tourney so far.  They have won seven straight games. They started off taking on #11 seed Washington St and as a 11½  favorite they rolled to an easy 84-51 win. In round two they took on the #3 seed Utah Utes. Despite being the lower seed Oregon was made a 4 point favorite and took care of business again 66-54.  

On to the semi-finals vs the #2 seed Arizona State Sun Devils. Remarkably Oregon was again made the favorite by 2½ points and again came up a winner 79-75 in OT. This team has a feel of a team that does not want to lose.  They certainly have been the hottest team in the conference.

Oregon is scoring 70.6 ppg while giving up 63.4 points per game.  Oregon is led in scoring by Bol Bol with 21.0 points per game. Bol Bol is also the team’s leading rebounder with 9.6 boards per game.   Payton Pritchard is the team’s leader in assists with 4.4 dishes per game.

Nothing special about their offense at all with a ranking of 183rd in points scored per game.  But looking at their defense and points allowed is where they excel with a ranking of 16th in the country.

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Washington Huskies

With Washington winning the regular season title they got to sit and watch the first round of the tourney.  In the quarter finals they beat #8 USC 78-75. In the semi finals they beat #5 Colorado 66-61. They obviously have an easier path, but I have to say they have not looked very good getting to the championship game.

Washington is scoring 70.5 ppg while giving up 64.3 points per game.  Washington is led in scoring by Jaylen Nowell with 16.5 points per game.  Noah Dickerson is the leader in rebounding with 7.5 boards per game. Turning to assists we have the team’s leading scorer Jaylen Nowell, leading with 3.2 dishes a game.  

Much like Oregon you have an average offense and pretty good defense. The Huskies are only ranked 187th in points scored per game, but 21st in points allowed per game.

Keys Trends/Stats/Notes

  • Washington is 1-5 ATS last 6 games
  • Washington is 1-6 ATS last 7 neutral site games
  • Oregon is 7-0 ATS last 7 games
  • Oregon is 7-0 ATS last 7 vs Pac-12

Keep taking those Ducks!!   #6 seed Ducks made the favorite again.

It is amazing when you look at the average scores of these two teams, they are almost identical.  No wonder the line-makers made this a pick. I have always said it is not always the best team who wins, but the team who is playing the best at the time.  That team is Oregon. They are peaking right now while Washington appears to be going through the motions. The books have made Oregon a favorite the past two games despite being the lower seed, guess they knew what they were doing.  Now the #6 team is favored again this time over the #1 team. I will trust the books again and take the team playing much better ball. Take Oregon -1½

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Oregon Ducks -1.5

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