Alabama vs. Mississippi State Picks – Jan 29, 2025
An explosive SEC showdown is on the horizon as the fourth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3) battles with the 14th-ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4) on Wednesday, January 29 at 9:00 PM ET at the Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi. The Crimson Tide are favored with a point spread at -1.5 (+100 at MyBookie).
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Crimson Tide have won their last three games, with two of those battles having a seven point or less margin of victory. Their recent success was an 80-73 performance over the LSU Tigers.
Alabama came into this matchup as 17.5-point favorites, but struggled to keep the Tigers at bay when they were tied 40 at the half. They were able to distance themselves more in the second half, with Aden Holloway leading with 19 points.
Neither team shot that well from beyond the arc, but Alabama made seven out 23 attempts while the Tigers made just three out the same amount of tries. Turnovers were big too, as the Crimson Tide and Tigers had 14 each but the Tigers gave up 17 points in the process.
The Crimson Tide have been accumulating 90.4 points per game and are making 47.3 percent of their shots. Defensively they have allowed 78.5 points per game from opponents, which shows they must rely on their offense to win games.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Bulldogs have gone 2-3 over their last five games, with both of their wins in that stretch being overtime battles. Their recent performance was a 65-60 overtime thriller victory against the South Carolina Gamecocks.
Mississippi State had a 28-20 lead after the first half, but their defense stumbled in the second to allow the Gamecocks to come back. Josh Hubbard had two key free throws to clinch the game in overtime. Riley Kugel led with 15 points and only missed two of his six shots.
Judging by the stat sheet, the Bulldogs should not have won this game. Both teams did not shoot well from the floor, the Bulldogs were outrebounded, had less fast break points, and blew a 14-point lead.
The Bulldogs are putting up 80.7 points per game and connecting on 45.8 percent of their shots. Their defense has been holding opposing teams to 69.5 points per game, which shows a solid differential between the two averages.
Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick
MyBookie showcases the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs, favoring the Crimson Tide by 1.5 points. This is expected to be a close battle, as market analysis estimates that the Crimson Tide have a 53.7 percent chance of winning on the road.
With the spread being this close, the Crimson Tide have a good opportunity. The Bulldogs have had some tough losses lately against ranked opponents and do not have good momentum coming into this.
Final Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -1.5 (+100)
