Ohio vs Miami (OH) Game Preview (Feb. 13, 2026): Odds, Trends, Stats, and Pick

Miami (OH) has turned this season into one of the best stories in college basketball. At 24–0, the RedHawks aren’t just winning — they’re winning convincingly. Now they get a familiar conference rival in Ohio, a team that’s been competitive but inconsistent, and oddsmakers are asking bettors to decide whether Miami’s run keeps cashing tickets.

There’s a lot to unpack here. And if you’re betting this game, you’ll want more than just the unbeaten record.

Current Betting Odds

Lines can vary slightly by sportsbook, but as of Friday morning the market looks like this:

• Spread: Miami (OH) -10.5 (-110)
• Total: 163.5
• Moneyline: Ohio around +450 to +480

Team Overviews

Ohio Bobcats (13–12, 7–5 MAC)

Ohio has had a season that feels… balanced, maybe too balanced. They score 77.7 points per game and allow 77.3. That tells you most of what you need to know they’re in a lot of competitive games, but they aren’t imposing themselves consistently.

Offensively, they shoot a respectable 46.7% from the field. The problem? Perimeter shooting. Ohio is hitting just 30.7% from three. In today’s game, that’s a real limitation, especially against an opponent that thrives from deep.

They’re also slightly negative on the glass, getting out-rebounded by nearly two boards per game. Against a team like Miami that creates extra possessions, that could quietly become the difference.

Key Players – Ohio

• Jackson Paveletzke – 16.6 PPG, 5.3 APG
  The offense runs through him. He’s creative off the bounce and capable of taking over stretches, but he’ll need efficiency here.
• Aidan Hadaway – 14.2 PPG, 7.5 RPG
  Arguably the most important player in this matchup. Ohio needs his rebounding and interior presence to slow Miami’s rhythm.

Ohio does protect the ball fairly well, averaging just 11.6 turnovers per game with a positive turnover margin. That’s one area where they can at least prevent the game from getting out of hand quickly.

Miami (OH) RedHawks (24–0, 11–0 MAC)

Let’s talk about the obvious: 24–0.

But here’s what makes it more than just a shiny record Miami is averaging 92.7 points per game. That’s not squeaking by. That’s overwhelming opponents.

They shoot 53.6% from the field and 39.8% from three as a team. Nearly 11 made threes per game. That kind of efficiency doesn’t feel fluky. It’s systematic.

Defensively, they allow 74.3 PPG. Not elite shutdown numbers, but when you’re winning by an average margin of +18.4, you don’t need to grind teams into dust.

They also:

• Win the rebounding battle (+3.2 margin)
• Force more turnovers than they commit (+2.7 margin)
• Are 13–0 at home

This isn’t just a hot shooting team. It’s a fundamentally sound one.

Key Players – Miami (OH)

• Brant Byers – 14.7 PPG, 40.8% from three
  Pure floor spacer. If Ohio helps too much, he makes them pay.
• Peter Suder – 14.2 PPG, 100 assists
  The offense flows through him. He can score but is equally dangerous facilitating.
• Eian Elmer – 11.8 PPG, 6.0 RPG
  Stretch forward who adds versatility and spacing.
• Antwone Woolfolk – 64.3% FG, 5.5 RPG
  Efficient finisher around the rim.

One notable absence: guard Evan Ipsaro remains out with a knee injury. Yet Miami hasn’t missed a beat. In some ways, that might make this group more dangerous — they’ve adjusted and tightened rotations.

Betting Trends

• Miami (OH) is 15–6 ATS this season
• Ohio is 9–14 ATS overall
• Miami has won 10 straight games SU
• Miami is 20–0 SU in its last 20 home games
• The Over has hit in 9 of Miami’s last 11 home games
• The Over has been strong in Miami’s games overall this season
• The total has gone Under in 5 of the last 6 Ohio vs Miami matchups
• Miami is 1–4 ATS in its last five home games vs Ohio

Matchup Breakdown

If Ohio covers, it likely means:

1. They control tempo.
2. Miami has an off shooting night.
3. The Bobcats avoid foul trouble and rebound above their season average.

That’s possible. But it’s asking for multiple favorable variables.

The bigger concern for Ohio is perimeter defense. They allow opponents to shoot 35.8% from three. Miami shoots nearly 40% from deep. That’s a mismatch that can snowball quickly.

And once Miami gets rolling at home, they don’t ease off the gas.

Pace also leans Miami’s direction. Their average combined game total sits near the high 160s. If this game reaches their preferred tempo, Ohio may struggle to keep up shot-for-shot.

Prediction & Best Bet

Best Bet: Miami (OH) -10.5

I’m laying the points.

Could Ohio hang around for 25 minutes? Sure. But over a full game, Miami’s offensive efficiency and home-court edge feel too strong.

Ohio’s limited three-point shooting creates a problem if they fall behind early. They’re not built to erase double-digit deficits quickly.

Miami, meanwhile, can score in waves. And when a team averages nearly 93 points per game, covering double digits doesn’t feel outrageous — it feels aligned with their season profile.

Projected Score:
Miami (OH) 88
Ohio 75