Sweet 16 – Auburn vs. Michigan Prediction & Preview – Friday, March 28, 2025

The fifth-seed Michigan Wolverines (27-9) will face off against the top-seed Auburn Tigers (30-5) in the South Region of the Sweet 16 on Friday, March 28th at 9:39 PM ET at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. The Tigers are favored with a point spread at -8.5 (-115) per MyBookie.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Wolverines have won their last five games and are getting hot at the perfect time. Their recent success was a 91-79 outing over the fourth-seed Texas A&M Aggies in the Second Round.

Vladislav Goldin had a career-high 23 points while Roddy Gayle Jr. led with 26 points. This was an 82-79 game with two minutes left in favor of the Wolverines, with a strong finish to put this game away.

Michigan shot 43.1 percent overall from the field and 27.3 percent from beyond the arc. They held the Aggies to 38.0 percent shooting overall and 25.9 percent shooting from deep, which helped their chances at winning.

The Wolverines have been averaging 78.3 points while allowing 71.3 points each matchup from opponents. This postseason has shown us that the Wolverines can get 79.5 points each matchup while allowing 72.0, so right on their season par.

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers have gone 3-2 in their last five games but have won their last two matchups. Their previous success was an 82-70 outing against the Creighton Bluejays.

Auburn was at risk in the first half as they were down two heading into the break. However, the Tigers performed much better on both ends of the floor to take over. Tahaad Pettiford led with 23 points and three assists.

Creighton had better percentages overall, with 47.2 percent from the field and 44.4 percent from deep. Auburn dominated in the paint, rebounded more, and landed more free throws to push this game in their favor.

The Tigers have been producing 83.8 points a game while allowing their opponents to get 69.4. During this current tournament run, they are putting up 82.5 points and giving up 66.5, which is well within their margin of victory that they are used to winning by.

Odds, Series Trends, and Free Pick

MyBookie offers the most appealing Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigers betting odds that show the Tigers as 8.5-point favorites. Market analysis indicates the Tigers have a 79.5 percent chance to win.

Michigan is playing volatile right now, but not in a crazy way. Their stats do not support their current tournament run, like their offensive efficiency over the last 100 possessions ranking 114th in the nation. The Tigers rank fifth in that aspect, for example, which shows they have an edge and should cover the spread.

Final Pick: Auburn Tigers -8.5 (-115)