Spooky Express College Football Bowl Game Picks for 2018/19

by | Jan 3, 2018 | NCAA Football

College Bowl Season

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It's that time of year once again Spooky Express readers. College football bowl season! Many of you probably don't know but this site was originated partly because of Spooky's College Bowl Picks.

Spooky has always been one of the top handicappers when it comes to college bowl games. People love to ride the “Spooky Express” this time of year and win money betting on these games.

When placing his picks on the forums wasn't enough, he created SpookyExpress.com

The rest is history. Each and every year these college bowl picks have been profitable.  This post will serve as the all-inclusive place for college bowl picks, power ratings, and links to the previews for each bowl game this season.

Saturday – December 15, 2018

New Mexico Bowl: North Texas Mean Green 9-3 vs. Utah State Aggies 10-2

AutoNation Cure Bowl: Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 7-6 vs. Tulane Green Wave 6-6

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl: Arizona State Sun Devils 7-5 vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 11-2

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl: Eastern Michigan Eagles 7-5 vs. Georgia Southern Eagles 9-3

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 8-5 vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers 10-2

Tuesday – December 18, 2018

Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies 8-5 vs. UAB Blazers 10-3

Wednesday – December 19, 2018

DXL Frisco Bowl: San Diego State Aztecs 7-5 vs. Ohio Bobcats 8-4

Thursday – December 20, 2018

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl: South Florida Bulls 7-5 vs. Marshall Thundering Herd 8-4

Friday – December 21, 2018

Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl: FIU Panthers 8-4 vs. Toledo Rockets 7-5

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Western Michigan Broncos 7-5 vs. BYU Cougars 6-6

Saturday – December 22, 2018

Birmingham Bowl: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 6-6 vs. Memphis Tigers

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl: Army Black Knights 9-2 vs. Houston Cougars 8-4

Dollar General Bowl: Buffalo Bulls 9-3 vs. Troy Trojans 9-3

SoFi Hawaii Bowl: La Tech Bulldogs 7-5 vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 8-5

Wednesday – December 26, 2018

Servpro First Responder Bowl: Boston College Eagles 7-5 vs. Boise State Broncos 10-3

Quick Lane Bowl: Minnesota Golden Gophers 6-6 vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 7-5

Cheez-It Bowl: TCU Horned Frogs 6-6 vs. California Golden Bears 7-5

Thursday – December 27, 2018

Walk-On’s Independence Bowl: Temple Owls 8-4 vs. Duke Blue Devils 7-5

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers 7-5 vs. Miami Hurricanes 7-5

Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl: Baylor Bears 6-6 vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 6-6

Friday – December 28, 2018

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Auburn Tigers 7-5 vs. Purdue Boilermakers 6-6

Camping World Bowl: Syracuse Orange 9-3 vs. West Virginia Mountaineers 9-3

Valero Alamo Bowl: Iowa State Cyclones 8-4 vs. Washington Cougars 10-2

Saturday – December 29, 2018

Belk Bowl: South Carolina Gamecocks 7-5 vs. Virginia Cavaliers 7-5

Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl: Nevada Wolf Pack 7-5 vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves 8-4

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl: Florida Gators 9-3 vs. Michigan Wolverines 10-2

Goodyear Cotton Bowl: Clemson Tigers 13-0 vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 12-0

Capital One Orange Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide 13-0 vs. Oklahoma Sooners 12-1

Monday – December 31, 2018

Military Bowl: Virginia Tech Hokies 6-6 vs. Cincinnati Bearcats 10-2

Hyundai Sun Bowl: Stanford Cardinals 8-4 vs. Pittsburgh Panthers 7-6

Redbox Bowl: Michigan State Spartans 7-5 vs. Oregon Ducks 8-4

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Oklahoma State Cowboys 6-6 vs. Missouri Tigers 8-4

San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl: Northwestern Wildcats 8-5 vs. Utah Utes 9-4

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl: Texas A&M Aggies 8-4 vs. NC State Wolfpack 9-3

Tuesday – January 1, 2018

Outback Bowl: Mississippi State Bulldogs 8-4 vs. Iowa Hawkeyes 8-4

VRBO Citrus Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions 9-3 vs. Kentucky Wildcats 9-3

PlayStation Fiesta Bowl: LSU Tigers 9-3 vs. UCF Knights 12-0

Rose Bowl: Washington Huskies 10-3 vs. Ohio State Buckeyes 12-1

Allstate Sugar Bowl: Texas Longhorns 9-4 vs. Georgia Bulldogs 11-2

Monday – January 7, 2018

College Football Playoff National Championship: TBA vs. TBA

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How the Spooky Bowl Picks are Formulated?

As we mentioned above, Spooky started posting his bowl game selections on the forums more than 18 years ago — and that is how it all began! He has never had a losing bowl season since 1977 using these power rankings as a guide and not about to start now. The record speaks for itself.

We’ve had some unbelievable outstanding seasons, one year going 27-3 and a few average years but always have shown a profit. Bowl season is the only time Spooky truly “crunches numbers” and plays more with the numbers than his head.

The picks and numbers listed in this thread are SPOOKY'S PLAYS! If you don't want to follow — no worries! He's not looking to debate and argue the selections.

The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments affect the game and they are only an opinion. As you can see, he will post Power Ratings, underdog plays and some money line plays!

IMPORTANT: As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously, the best bets will not change dramatically. So check back with this thread day of the game and follow us on Facebook and on Twitter for any major developments.

Understand, that right when the lines come out is a great time to jump on some early lines that stand out and get the best value for the wager. Spooky may completely reverse his thinking as time goes by, but for now, he lets the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium knows how solid the picks usually are.

NOTE: ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ARE ALSO RECEIVING POINTS — MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.

There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don't be afraid when the point spread moves. It is done so emotionally.

QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.

Spooky Power Ratings for All Bowl Teams

The lower the number the stronger the ranking. These numbers will change slightly after the Army/Navy game. Please remember all the power ratings are a guide to what Spooky does during bowl season. The power ratings are only based on the game matchups and does not mean Ohio State is the best team in the country based on ratings.  He may move away from certain plays when the time comes, so his picks above ARE THE PICKS.

A huge THANK YOU goes out to Bobalou for all her assistance in crunching the numbers every year. Without her, this wouldn't be completed until much closer to all the games.

TEAM / RANK

  • Clemson 67
  • Alabama 82
  • Georgia 153
  • Michigan 156
  • Cincinnati 159
  • Appalachian State 174
  • Notre Dame 192
  • Fresno State 206
  • Mississippi State 214
  • UCF 214
  • Utah State 221
  • Iowa 233
  • UAB 233
  • Army 234
  • Boise State 239
  • Florida 239
  • Miami 242
  • Washington 242
  • Penn State 249
  • North Texas 254
  • Missouri 259
  • Ohio State 266
  • Texas A&M 266
  • Washington State 268
  • Temple 271
  • Utah 278
  • Buffalo 281
  • LSU 286
  • Arkansas State 294
  • NC State 294
  • West Virginia 295
  • Oklahoma 297
  • Oregon 309
  • Troy 309
  • Georgia Southern 310
  • Virginia 310
  • Kentucky 311
  • Ohio 315
  • FIU 317
  • Wisconsin 323
  • Memphis 324
  • Syracuse 326
  • Georgia Tech 332
  • Marshall 335
  • Nevada 338
  • Auburn 340
  • Western Michigan 343
  • Arizona State 356
  • South Carolina 357
  • BYU 358
  • Oklahoma State 358
  • Eastern Michigan 364
  • California 365
  • Middle Tenn 368
  • Boston College 373
  • Houston 373
  • Toledo 373
  • Iowa State 374
  • Texas 379
  • TCU 387
  • Louisiana Tech 388
  • Michigan State 388
  • San Diego State 389
  • South Florida 400
  • Stanford 403
  • Purdue 411
  • Virginia Tech 413
  • La-Lafayette 415
  • Northern Illinois 416
  • Baylor 418
  • Vanderbilt 420
  • Minnesota 429
  • Duke 434
  • Pittsburgh 439
  • Wake Forest 443
  • Hawaii 454
  • Northwestern 459
  • Tulane 461

Spooky Bowl Selections Without Pointspread

The numbers below are the guts and meat of how Spooky gets to his final picks above. This is helped used to determine MoneyLine plays, contest picks and plays NOT involving point spreads!

In order of team to win by the most points based on power ratings.

Remember these ratings will be adjusted after the Army/Navy game to a small degree!

POWER DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TEAMS

  • Cincinnati 25.4 Virginia Tech
  • Georgia 22.6 Texas
  • Alabama 21.5 Oklahoma
  • Appalachian State 19.4 Middle Tenn
  • UAB 18.2 Northern Illinois
  • Utah 18.1 Northwestern
  • Temple 16.3 Duke
  • Fresno State 15.0 Arizona State
  • Army 13.9 Houston
  • Boise State 13.4 Boston College
  • Clemson 12.5 Notre Dame
  • Memphis 11.9 Wake Forest
  • Washington State 10.6 Iowa State
  • Missouri 9.9 Oklahoma State
  • Georgia Tech 9.7 Minnesota
  • Michigan 8.3 Florida
  • Miami 8.1 Wisconsin
  • Oregon 7.9 Michigan State
  • Ohio 7.4 San Diego State
  • UCF 7.2 LSU
  • Auburn 7.1 Purdue
  • Louisiana Tech 6.6 Hawaii
  • Marshall 6.5 South Florida
  • Penn State 6.2 Kentucky
  • FIU 5.6 Toledo
  • Georgia Southern 5.4 Eastern Michigan
  • Virginia 4.7 South Carolina
  • La-Lafayette 4.6 Tulane
  • Arkansas State 4.4 Nevada
  • Stanford 3.6 Pittsburgh
  • Utah State 3.3 North Texas
  • West Virginia 3.1 Syracuse
  • Buffalo 2.8 Troy
  • Texas A&M 2.8 NC State
  • Washington 2.4 Ohio State
  • California 2.2 TCU
  • Mississippi State 1.9 Iowa
  • Western Michigan 1.5 BYU
  • Baylor 0.2 Vanderbilt

Point Spread Difference

Now let's take Spooky's Power Numbers and apply them to the current (at time of writing) point spread coming up with a “difference”.

BOWL TEAMS POWER NUMBER VS. POINTSPREAD DIFFERENCE

  • Cincinnati 18.9 Virginia Tech
  • UAB 15.7 Northern Illinois
  • UCF 14.2 LSU
  • Temple 13.3 Duke
  • Western Michigan 13.0 BYU
  • Georgia 12.6 Texas
  • Appalachian State 12.4 Middle Tenn
  • Fresno State 12.0 Arizona State
  • Virginia 11.2 South Carolina
  • FIU 11.1 Toledo
  • Utah 10.6 Northwestern
  • Army 9.9 Houston
  • Boise State 9.9 Boston College
  • Memphis 9.4 Wake Forest
  • La-Lafayette 8.1 Tulane
  • Louisiana Tech 8.1 Hawaii
  • North Texas 7.7 Utah State
  • Alabama 7.5 Oklahoma
  • Washington 6.9 Ohio State
  • Oregon 6.4 Michigan State
  • Georgia Tech 6.2 Minnesota
  • Baylor 5.7 Vanderbilt
  • Georgia Southern 5.4 Eastern Michigan
  • Miami 5.1 Wisconsin
  • Washington State 4.6 Iowa State
  • Marshall 4.0 South Florida
  • California 3.7 TCU
  • Iowa 3.6 Mississippi State
  • Ohio 3.4 San Diego State
  • Syracuse 3.4 West Virginia
  • Arkansas State 2.9 Nevada
  • Pittsburgh 2.9 Stanford
  • Auburn 2.1 Purdue
  • NC State 1.7 Texas A&M
  • Penn State 1.7 Kentucky
  • Clemson 1.5 Notre Dame
  • Michigan 1.3 Florida
  • Troy 0.2 Buffalo
  • Oklahoma State 0.1 Missouri
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