College Football Betting Picks and Predictions: Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions – November 26, 2022

by Spooky Express | November 23, 2022 |

The Michigan State Spartans enter this game having won two of their last three games, but are coming off a 31-39 loss in double overtime against the Indiana Hoosiers which also ended their two-game winning streak.

Meanwhile, the Penn State Nittany Lions enter this game ranked 11th in the College Football Playoff Rankings and have won their previous three matchups in a row including a 55-10 win on the road against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

BookMaker has the Penn State Nittany Lions listed as 18-point favorites at home against the Michigan State Spartans and has set the total for the over/under plays at 53 points. Will the Nittany Lions win in a blowout at home or will the Spartans keep the game closer than expected? Let’s take a deeper dive into how these teams are performing this season.

Michigan State Spartans Team Preview

The Michigan State Spartans enter this game with an overall record of 5-6 and a Big Ten record of 3-5 which includes a 31-39 double-overtime loss against the Indiana Hoosiers. Michigan State outgained Indiana 540 to 288 total yards offensively but was -1 in the turnover department in the loss. The Spartans are 3-6-2 ATS overall, 1-2-1 ATS on the road, 2-4-1 ATS as an underdog, and 2-5-1 ATS in Conference games this season.

Payton Thorne leads the team in passing completing 218 of 344 attempts for 2,450 yards with 18 touchdowns and ten interceptions while rushing for 63 yards. Jalen Berger leads the team in rushing with 141 carries for 669 yards and six touchdowns while adding 17 receptions for 128 yards.

Penn State Nittany Lions Team Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions enter this game with an overall record of 9-2 and a Big Ten record of 6-2 which includes a 55-10 win on the road against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Penn State outgained Rutgers 436 to 167 total yards offensively and was +2 in the turnover department. The Nittany Lions are 8-3 ATS overall, 4-2 ATS at home, 7-2 ATS as a favorite, and 6-2 ATS in Conference games this season.

Sean Clifford leads the team in passing completing 191 of 306 attempts for 2,341 yards with 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions while rushing for 177 yards and five touchdowns. Nicholas Singleton leads the team in rushing with 132 carries for 863 yards and ten touchdowns while adding eight receptions for 55 yards. Parker Washington leads the team in receiving with 46 receptions for 611 yards and two touchdowns.

Michigan State has won six of the last ten games, however, Penn State has outscored Michigan State by an average of 27 to 25.2 while Michigan State is 6-4 ATS in those matchups. The Nittany Lions have won two of the last three games and have won by an average score of 31.33 to 20.33 while going 2-1 ATS in those contests.

The over has hit in seven of the last ten games in the series with the teams combining for an average of 52.2 points per game in those contests. The over has hit in two of the last three games with the teams combining for an average of 51.67 points per game in those matchups.

Penn State has been one of the highest-scoring teams in college football this season as they are averaging 35.91 points per game. The over has been the trend in the series, hitting in seven of the last ten and two of the last three games. As a result, I am taking the over 53 points for this matchup on BookMaker.

Spooky Express Pick: Over 53 Points

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