The Square Pigeon’s Pipeline College Football Week 8

by Jason Belschner | October 18, 2019 |

Finally, a decent week of picks. It always gets easier as the season goes on. Let’s get more wins this week to improve our 60-44-2 record on the season. Follow me on twitter this season @JasonBelschner.  Bookmaker has the odds for the games listed this week.

Tennessee at #1 Alabama

Tua Tagovailoa needs to enjoy this season. The Crimson Tide is once again flying high off the grace of his left arm. The 6-0 team will easily cruise by a despicably terrible Tennessee team who have only managed two wins so far. That might be six more wins than Tagovailoa will have next year when he is stuck on an awful Dolphins team. It will be interesting to see what he does when he isn’t playing with the best players in the nation. I’m guessing it will be ugly.

PICK: ALABAMA -34     UNDER 61.5

#2 LSU at Mississippi State

Like I said above, Tennessee has only managed to get two wins so far this season. One of them was against Mississippi State last week. Let’s just say, I’m not holding out much hope for their chance against LSU. The Tigers put down the Gators in a convincing fashion last week. It was the first time in almost two years that Florida allowed 40 points in a game. It’s hard to believe that LSU is only favored by 17.5.

PICK: LSU -17.5 UNDER 62.5

#3 Clemson at Louisville

Despite a complete annihilation of FSU last week, Clemson dropped to #3. LSU’s strong performance against another top 10 team gave them all the fuel they need to leap several teams. Clemson needs to really lay it on the Cardinals to get some of their swag back. The sophomore slump is hammering Trevor Lawrence into the ground. He needs to get the interceptions under control and start airing it out for some big plays. Travis Etienne is carrying this team on offense, but really on a superstar running back will spell doom in a big game.

PICK: CLEMSON -24     OVER 61.5

#4 Ohio State at Northwestern

Northwestern football experienced a bit of a revival last season. They made it to the Big 10 championship game. This game is actually a rematch of that championship game. Ohio State easily rolled over them last year 42-24. Unfortunately for Northwestern, their revival is already over. Their defense is still near the level they set last year; however, their offense has completely disappeared. They’ve only scored more than 15 points in one game which has led them to a 1-4 record to start the year. Ohio State should easily dominate this game, but they might not cover 27 points against this defense.

PICK: NORTHWESTERN +27     UNDER 50

West Virginia at #5 Oklahoma

In recent history, you would expect this to be a high scoring event. It still might be, but West Virginia isn’t consistently putting up the points that they normally do. It’s obvious that Will Grier is no longer on the team. Oklahoma should put up big numbers against the soft defense. There is a real possibility that this game is over by halftime. I know that it is a lot of points but go with the Sooners. They’ll put up 60 on this team.

PICK: OKLAHOMA -32.5     OVER 63.5

#6 Wisconsin at Illinois

Lovie Smith hasn’t turned around Illinois to a significant contender yet, but they are no longer the complete pushover of recent history. Sitting at 2-4, it doesn’t look good. They have been strongly competitive in most of their games. They are averaging over 30 points per game. Now, I’m not going crazy here. They will not beat Wisconsin. With that said, the Badgers will not cover the spread. The Fighting Illini will make them work for it.

PICK: ILLINOIS +30.5    UNDER 51

#16 Michigan at #7 Penn State

Uh oh, big game alert. Michigan fans have to be wetting themselves in anticipation for this game. How bad is it going to be? Well, this is a big game that Jim Harbaugh is succeeding. The Wolverines are 3-1 under Harbaugh against Penn State including last years lopsided victory. This is tough. The game will be close, and Penn State needs it more. Michigan should keep it within one score.

PICK: MICHIGAN +8.5 UNDER 46.5

#9 Florida at South Carolina

Florida dropped an important game against LSU last week while the Gamecocks pulled off a major upset over Georgia. Hopefully, South Carolina didn’t party too hard after that game. They will need every bit of energy to get by Florida who is a significantly better team. Even so, this will be a low scoring affair with the Gators pulling it out late in the game.

PICK: FLORIDA -4.5      UNDER 46.5

Kentucky at #10 Georgia

Kentucky is not playing at the same level that they were last year. They’ve fallen back to Earth a bit, but they aren’t a terrible team. Georgia can’t be stuck in a pity party for themselves or they might get upset again. They need to come to terms with the fact that they ruined their chance for the playoffs and play out the rest of the season for their best possible bowl game.

PICK: KENTUCKY +25     OVER 45.5

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