The Square Pigeon’s Pipeline NCAA Week 11
NCAA WEEK 11
The Square Pigeon Pipeline is in its third year here at the Spooky Express. Jason delivers his thoughts and picks on both college football and the NFL each and every week.
This season I’m going to do quick hits of all the games from the top 10 teams plus any top 25 versus top 25 matchup. Let me know what you think of the new format in the comments below or send it over to Twitter @JasonBelschner. Bookmaker has the odds for the games listed this week.
#16 Mississippi State at #1 Alabama
After beating LSU like a drum last week, Alabama has a playoff spot (and probably the national championship) in the bag. Mississippi State has dropped ten straight to the Crimson Tide, but half of those games have been within this year’s point spread. Plus, the Bulldogs have already upset two teams in the top 25 and kept it close against LSU. There is no real chance that they can win this game, but they can keep Bama from covering.
PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE +24 UNDER 53
#2 Clemson at #16 Boston College
Boston College isn’t a team that we talk about every week. I have a healthy respect for this program because they might not always be good but they fight. It is rarely an easy out when you play BC. Clemson comes to town as a big favorite. Boston College needs to step up and prove they deserve to be ranked for the first time since 2008.
PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE +20 UNDER 58
Florida State at #3 Notre Dame
Florida State has only had one coach lead the team for one season. In 1959, Perry Moss went 4-6 before leaving for the CFL. Willie Taggart is working his way to join Moss with the dubious distinction. FSU will end this season with a losing record based on their remaining schedule (Notre Dame, Boston College, and Florida). This will be the first time that happens since Bobby Bowden’s first year as head coach, 1976. It will also be the first season since 1981 that the Seminoles won’t appear in a bowl game. This season has been an embarrassment to a great program.
PICK: NOTRE DAME -17.5 OVER 54.5
#4 Michigan at Rutgers
Maybe college football should consider relegation. We currently endure these ridiculous selection committees and arguments about conference strength. UCF has won 21 straight games but barely crack the top 10. We group the conferences as the Power 5, but that is a joke with a school like Rutgers in the Big 10. This team is such garbage, they don’t deserve to share the field with any of the other Big 10 schools. Relegation would at least throw garbage teams down the pecking order instead of giving quality teams a bye week at the end of the season.
PICK: MICHIGAN –39.5 OVER 48.5
#24 Auburn at #5 Georgia
Finally, a game worth actually talking about. Auburn started this season off with a solid 4-1 record with their lone loss being a one-point loss to LSU. Then, they dropped back-to-back games against unranked teams (Mississippi State and Tennessee). Georgia, who also has a loss to LSU on their record, is flirting with a playoff selection. They’ve defeated Florida and Kentucky the last two weeks who were both ranked. Georgia might not be a team that will excite anyone, but they play quality football.
PICK: GEORGIA -14 OVER 50
Oklahoma State at #6 Oklahoma
Two weeks ago, Oklahoma State upset Texas who was ranked #6 at the time. Then, they lost to Baylor. I’m not even sure how that is possible. The next two weeks for the Cowboys are tough as they take on Oklahoma this week and West Virginia next. The Sooners own this rivalry as they have won 13 of the last 15, but State tends to keep it close.
PICK: OKLAHOMA STATE +20 UNDER 77
#7 Louisiana State at Arkansas
LSU took it on the chin last week against Alabama. It’s a shame that the Tigers have no chance to push back into the playoff race. They are truly on of the best overall teams in the country, but they are two games behind Alabama in the SEC West. Their schedule lacks a big name to end the season with a defining win. They’ll win out and get a decent bowl game, but that’s about it.
PICK: LOUISIANA STATE –13.5 OVER 47.5
#8 Washington State at Colorado
Washington State is the last hope for a western school to make it into the playoff. They need a bunch of help and to win out, but they still have a chance. I’m pretty shocked that Colorado is only a six-point underdog because they have lost four straight games that they have allowed an average of 35 points per game. The Cougars will dominate this game.
PICK: WASHINGTON STATE –6 OVER 60.5
Texas Christian at #9 West Virginia
The season started bright for TCU as they won their first two games after entering the season in the top 25; however, they have lost five of their last seven games. West Virginia needs to make a big impression in their last three games to catch the eye of the selection committee.
PICK: WEST VIRGINIA –11.5 OVER 56
#10 Ohio State at #18 Michigan State
The last two weeks have not been good for the Buckeyes. A bad loss to Purdue followed up with a five-point win over Nebraska. They need a huge win over Michigan State to get back into the hunt. They are by far the better team in this game. It just needs to translate to the field.