MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
When: Saturday, September 14, 2019, at 3:30 PM EST
Where: Spectrum Stadium in Orlando, Florida
Point Spread: UCF -7.5
Betting Total: 59 points
The Stanford Cardinal (1-1) travel to take on the 17th ranked Central Florida Knights (2-0). Stanford traveled to USC, in a game that was pretty much a pickem' and got the doors blown off 45-20. UCF traveled to in-state rival Florida Atlantic, and came away with a 48-14 win.
Both teams received good news on the injury front as both teams should have their starting quarterbacks returning from injury. K.J. Costello missed the game against the Trojans after taking a forearm to the head in the Northwestern game. UCF will get Darriel Mack back, who broke his ankle over the summer. This will be the Knights third starting quarterback in as many weeks.
This will be UCF's first real test after opening with Florida Atlantic and Florida A&M. Stanford has played a much tougher schedule with a win against Northwestern and last week's loss to USC.
Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
After a defensive battle in week 1 against Northwestern, they were blown out in week 2 against USC. The Cardinal had no answer for Trojans freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis, who was replacing JT Daniels.
Stanford's offense has average 350 yards of total offense in their first two games. They have averaged 235 yards in the air and 115 on the ground. Cameron Scarlett has led the Cardinal in rushing in both games going for a combined 179 yards on 39 carries with a touchdown.
Connor Wedington has been the number one receiver and should get a boost from getting Costello back. He has 12 receptions for 136 yards and a touchdown.
The defense was outstanding in week 1 against Northwestern playing an almost perfect game. It was a much different story as they were picked apart by the Trojans backup quarterback.
Yards allowed has not been a problem for Stanford as they have average only 351 yards allowed, with 247 being passing and 104 rushing. This will be a big ask going across country to face one of the most high powered offenses in the nation.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
By now we all know the UCF story. From being the self proclaimed “National Champs” in 2017 to the undefeated regular season again last year before their 40-32 bowl loss to LSU in the Fiesta Bowl. They haven't lost a home game since December of 2016.
One thing that remains constant, even with the QB carousel, is the Knights' mighty offense. This year is no different with UCF averaging 634 yards of offense with an impressive balance of 309 passing yards and 325 rushing yards per game.
It is unclear if Darriel Mack Jr. will be inserted right back in as the starter, but he was projected to be the starter going into the season. Whoever coach Josh Heupel chooses, they are all good choices. Both of the starters this year have performed will enough if called on.
UCF's rushing success has been shared across the running backs. Bentavious Thompson leads the way with 155 yards and one touchdown. Greg McCRae, Adrian Killins Jr. and Otis Anderson all have over 100 yards rushing on the season. For a non-power 5 team, the talent of the skill position players on this team is as deep as anyone in the nation.
Defense has not been known as the strength of this team during their impressive run. But, this team is only allowing an average 205 yards of total offense, but this will be a much tougher test against Stanford, especially if Costello returns.
The pointspread at Mybookie has Central Florida as 7.5 point favorites. The over/under is 59 points. This game started at -2.5 UCF before Saturday's performances. This tells you how poorly Stanford played.
Free Betting Pick
Although UCF has looked impressive they haven't played the caliber teams that Stanford has. Both teams have really good outcomes against the spread so this one is tough. Stanford has covered 8 of their last 12 as an underdog, and UCF has covered five straight when they were the favorite.
I really think Stanford will do their best to control the ball and win the time of possession battle. This bodes well for this game going under the 59.