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College Football has a great slate of games this week with ranked matchups on in 3 different time slots. That being said, the DFS slate is not quite as enticing with a slew of low-scoring games on the docket. This may lead to taking a few dart throws in higher-scoring games or a few less reliable targets than we would typically like.
At QB, we have two top end options with Tua Tagovailoa and Joe Burrow in very easy matchups. The issue with both of these guys is that their team could very well not need them to do much.
Overall, I think Tua is the better cash play and Burrow is the better tournament play because he has more upside in the matchup. Both players are expected to win comfortably, but there is basically no scenario where Tua has to play in the 4th quarter or even the second half.
This does not mean Tua won’t produce, but it means that Tua is likely really safe for 3 or 4 TDs and I don’t think there is a ton of wiggle room there. For Burrow, I think that Vanderbilt has enough potential to require some effort from the Tigers to put the game away.
Although LSU has one of the biggest wins of the season, their defense was NOT good in that game and this is the second best team they have played this season. Vandy is not Texas, but maybe they can make a few big plays happen and force LSU to play the entire game. This could make Burrow the best play on the slate by a wide margin.
If you are looking to pay down, James Blackman is looking like a great option in what looks to be a shootout against Louisville. Blackman has been really consistent in the first 3 weeks and I expect that to be the case in this one.
Jonathan Taylor is in the biggest game of the slate and he is the highest priced player on this slate. Overall, I don’t like Taylor because of the matchup, but I do think that Taylor still possesses elite upside. I expect Taylor to be low-owned and I will be overweight in tournaments.
Cam Akers may be the most talented running back in the country, but he is never going to be able to display that consistently at Florida State. However, this is a game where we could see Akers’ talent dominate against another relatively bad defense. I love Akers on Saturday.
Elijah Collins saw the majority of carries a week ago and he is still just too cheap. Collins was not expected to be the starter at the beginning of the year, but he seems to have run away with the job and he is one of the best plays of the day at his price as a 9-point favorite.
I am not excited to play any Alabama receivers on this slate, but I do think that I will be overweight on Jaylen Waddle in this game. Just like I said with Tua, these guys will likely not play the entire game, but I do expect them to play longer than Tua.
Waddle is simply the cheapest and he has the same upside as everyone else which is 2 75-yard touchdown catches. Waddle will not be a consistent player due to his situation, but this is a great buy low spot.
Chatarius Atwell is another great play at a cheap price, but I may look to fade him if his ownership gets too high. Atwell has 11 catches on the season and 4 of those have gone for touchdowns. Atwell is 5’9, so I don’t expect him to continue to rack up a lot of TDs/catch this season.
If you are looking to pair up Burrow with a receiver, I like Justin Jefferson over Terrace Marshall Jr. because I think that Jefferson has more big play potential because he is the better receiver.
This does not mean that I don’t like Marshall and I would even consider using them both with Burrow if you can run it back with a Vanderbilt receiver like Lipscomb or Pierce.