NFL DFS Strategy- Picking The Correct Running Back
Look For Close Games For Running Backs
Always look for those close games to find those diamonds in the rough at the running back position. Many DFS players will simply look for the best players and not pay attention to the game flow. That is a huge mistake in daily fantasy sports!
One of the 1st things I do every week, prior to setting my lineups, is look for those games that are expected to be very close, decided by one possession. Those are the games that you want to target a running back from because most times in the NFL, when a team gets the lead they try to hold on to the lead using the running backs. In those close games, the leading team doesn’t want to give the ball back to the opposing team and do all they can to shorten the game. When that happens it equates to plenty of touches for those workhorse running backs and that he was plenty of DFS points in your lineup!
Blowouts may be fun to watch on TV but when it comes to DFS they are a nightmare for running backs! Many times in those big blowouts, the leading team will continue to run the ball to control the lead. When that happens most teams in the NFL will put in a 3rd string running back or even a time the backup running back, to take some of the wear and tear off their starter.
The team that is losing the game in a blowout, is going to increase their passing game because they are trying to catch up, so of course you don't want a running back on that side of the game.
Find Those 3 Down Backs
One of the biggest assets, at the running back position, is having a running back that is a 3 down back. Many NFL teams split the running back positions between the speed option and a power back. The speed option we usually run the ball on 1st and 2nd down while the power back will come in on 3rd down to eat up the short yardage and move the chains.
What is truly beneficial is when you can find a 3 down back, similar to someone like Melvin Gordon of the LA Chargers, who comes on the field and stays on the field for all 3 downs. This will not only get you extra carries but will also help prevent losing those stolen touchdowns at the goal line on 3rd down.