AT&T Pebble Beach Betting Tips & Handicapping Free Plays

by Earl Campbell | February 4, 2020 |

This week, the pro’s of the PGA will play alongside amateurs at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro/Am.  This tournament takes place in Pebble Beach, California along the beautiful coastline of the Pacific Ocean.

The tour has made a stop here at Pebble Beach each year since 1947 and this is considered one of the top courses by nearly every grading system in existence.  

Pebble Beach has been the site of five US Open’s and will be the host venue in 2019 US Open.  The previous years were 1972, 1982, 1992, 2000 and 2010.

Pebble Beach Golf Links Course Details

This tournament is played over three golf courses over the first three days.  During the first three days, the pro’s and amateur will play side by side at Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club.  Each of these courses have their strengths and weaknesses that you will need to be aware of depending on your golfer and what day they play on the particular course.  

Pebble Beach Golf Links measures out at around 6,816 yards and plays as a Par 72.  The course is laid out along the beautiful California coastline and is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour.  The fairways at Pebble Beach are wide enough to drive several tractor-trailers on but the issue becomes putting.

The greens are made up of some of the toughest Poa Annua Greens that can be very difficult to put on, especially when you factor in the Pacific Coast winds. The pros will play at least one round on Pebble Beach Golf Links and if they make the cut, they will finish up the tournament on this course.    

Spyglass Hill Golf Course measures 6,960 yards and is a Par 72 golf course that was designed by Mr. Robert Trent Jones Sr.  Many claim that this course is the toughest of the three courses and others call it the best golf course to never host a major! Spyglass Hill Golf Course is located among the Del Monte Forest and along the ocean side. 

When you watch this course on TV, it appears to be absolutely amazingly beautiful! There are several bunkers, ponds and elevation changes that will test the best golfers and create some headaches for golfers that are not accurate off the tee.  

Monterey Peninsula is considered the easiest of the three courses.  Monterey is 6958 yards and has four Par 5’s. They also have the Poa Annua Greens but the greens themselves are much larger than Spyglass and Pebble Beach, which makes it much easier on approach shots and putting from a distance.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro/Am Cut Info

The cut this week is very similar to what we have seen at the Desert Classic.  The pros will play 3 days/54 holes and the top 60 and ties will make it through to the final day. 

Normally, the cut is made after 2 days/36 holes but due to the amateurs playing alongside the pro’s, they will get to play on each golf course, with the final day being for those who make the cut only.

Pebble Beach System Attributes

There are several key system attributes that have played out strong at Pebble Beach and several factors that have helped us pick a winner over the years here. 

First and foremost, you must find golfers that rank high in Greens in Reg.  Over the past 12 years, 10 of the winners ranked in the Top 6 in GIR so make sure you find those golfers that rank high in GIR.  

Next up, we want to focus on Driving Distance.  In the last 10 years, 9 of the winners have ranked Top 30 or better in Driving Distance.  This tells us that distance is a factor and due to the Par 5’s, it will benefit you to have golfers that are long off the tee.

Another very interesting tidbit of information that we strongly urge you to consider is the fact that every winner of the Pebble Beach has had a T15 or better in one of the previous two starts at Pebble Beach.  

Some other things to consider is 10 of the past 12 winners of Pebble Beach have ranked Top 10 or better in Par 4 Performance.  Many experts are suggesting that you pay particular attention to Par 5 Scoring, which I agree but I think it is better to focus on that Par 4 Performance.  Numbers don’t lie!

  • Greens In Reg
  • Driving Distance
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Par 4 Performance
  • Par 5 Scoring
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green

Golfers

Jason Day +2000 – We’ve only seen Jason Day on the golf course 1 time in 12 weeks, which I won’t lie, is a tad bit scary…..however if he shows up healthy and ready to play, I think he wins this tournament.  This tournament is normally one of the top tournaments each year however this year, it is relatively a weaker field. I think we could see the start of the resurgence of Jason Day this week! 

Cameron Champ +4000 – Champ played here last year for the first time and while he only finished in 28th place, he didn’t play bad.  The experience will help him and his form is sharp right now, finishing inside the top 27 in his last 5 tournaments.  I am looking for Champ to compete for the win and ridiculous odds. 

Daniel Berger +4000 – I am expecting a very big year out of Berger and at 40/1, he is damn near a must play! Berger has only played here 1 time, which was back in 2015, and he finished in 10th place that year.  He finished in 9th place last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and could improve again this week.  

Max Homa +5000 – Homa finished in 10th place last year here and is one of those golfers that are either going to play really well or really bad!  He has played here 4 times, missing the cut twice. In his last 2 weeks, he finished in 6th and 9th place and hasn’t missed a cut in four tournaments in 2020.  

Patrick Rodgers +8000 – Rodgers is actually playing really well lately.  He has played 4 weeks in a row and has finished in 16th and 9th place in the past 2.  His driving distance is a huge benefit, as well as his 13th ranked putting. At 80/1, he is a great option this week!

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