2019 BMW Championships Handicapping Preview & Betting Picks

by | Aug 13, 2019 | Golf

Matchup at a Glance

Venue: Medinah Country Club

Location: Medinah, Illinois

Date: Thursday, August 15-18, 2019

 

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This week, the Top 70 golfers in the world will face off in the second round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, which will take place as the BMW Championship.  

The BMW Championship is being played this year as the 2nd of 3 events per the FedEx Cup Playoff Series.  

Before we start in on the BMW Championship, let’s take a quick…..yet frustrating, look back at last week and the Northern Trust.  

Last week was one of the most frustrating weeks for me as a handicapper because we should have won with Jon Rahm.  Rahm had the lead at hole 11 and it all went downhill from there. He ended up placing 3rd overall in the tournament, losing to Patrick Reed.  

What makes it even more disheartening is the fact that I gave out Reed a few weeks ago and told you all that he always starts playing his best golf around this time of year.  Well, low and behold, he ended up winning and I didn’t give it out.  

With golf, you have to have a short memory so I’m forgetting about last week and moving on.  

Medinah Country Club Course Details

The BMW Championship will take place this year from Medinah Country Club in Medinah, Illinois.  This course is approximately 25-30 minutes away from Chicago and is one of the courses that will be new to mostly all of the participants playing in this year’s BMW Championship.  

The course has hosted the 2012 Ryder Cup, the 2006 PGA Championship and the 1999 PGA Championship.  

The course was originally designed in 1930 but it nothing like it was back then.  The course has gone through countless re-designs and now appears to be one of the harder courses these guys will play this year.

This course is full of trees and will put a heavy emphasis on these pro’s being not only accurate, but also long off the tee.  Reason being, this course plays as a Par 72 and will stretch 7,650 yards!!! 

That is a ton of distance to cover and just to give you an idea of how much longer it is, when Tiger Woods won the PGA Championship here in 2006, the course measured just 7,400 yards!     

BMW Championship System Attributes

Without question, the first attribute we will look at this week is Driving Distance.  With this one playing at 7,650 yards, if your golfer can’t hit long off the tee, then you are wasting your money playing them!  

Not only do they need to hit it long off the tee but they must be accurate in these fairways.  This place is like a forest so if these guys end up off the fairways, they are in some serious trouble.    

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BMW Championship Golfers

Brooks Koepka +800 at MyBookie for 4 Units

We are all in on Koepka this week, putting the most units, 4, that we have ever placed on a single golfer.  Listen, to win here, I truly think you have to have the best of both works when it comes to Distance, Accuracy and Putting. If his Putter is on this week, there is no one remotely close to touching him! 

 

Patrick Cantlay +2200 at MyBookie for 2 Units

Cantlay is coming off back-to-back 12th place finishes in his last two tournaments.  He is somewhat of a bomber off the tee, ranking 22nd on tour in Driving Distance but what really appeals to me about Cantlay is the fact that he has some of the best Scrambling on tour. He ranks 3rd on tour in Scrambling and has a very strong overall game.  

 

Tommy Fleetwood +2800 at BetOnline for 1 Unit

I rarely play Tommy Fleetwood. I’m not a fan of how he plays on the weekend.  That being said, I have to stick to my guns and play what the system spits out at me and this week it is Tommy Fleetwood.  He is the flavor of the week. He has the best Scrambling numbers this year on the PGA Tour and sort of just goes out there winging it, knowing he can recover. That might actually be what helps him this week.  

 

Charles Howell +11050 at Bookmaker for 1 Unit

We are taking a flyer with Charles Howell. Out of all 69 golfers in this tournament, Howell ranked #1 over Brooks Koepka by, 35.60 to 39.80. After those two, it is a real stretch in comparison to the rest of the field. He has a little bit of everything that you look for in someone who is going to be competitive at this course.  He is 29th on Tour in Driving Distance, 29th on tour in Scramblings, 37th on tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and 4th on tour in Greens In Reg. This guy literally can do it all and if he puts 4 solid rounds of golf together this week, I truly believe he has a chance at winning here in Illinois!  

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