PGA AT&T Byron Nelson Handicapping Preview and Betting Tips
The AT&T Byron Nelson will take place this week from Dallas, Texas in it’s new home at the Trinity Forest Golf Club. Before we break down this week’s tournament, let’s take a look back at last week and the Players Championship.
Last week, we witnessed Webb Simpson jump out to a lead and cruise to a Players Championship victory at TPC Sawgrass. Simpson has always been decent on tour but he has always struggled with his putter. That doesn’t seem to be much of an issue any longer as he ranked #1 in Strokes Gained: Putting at the Players Championship.
We unfortunately didn’t cash in with Simpson last week, mainly because I felt that his putting would be a issue but boy was I wrong. I talk about the good, when we win, so we also talk about our losses and why we dropped the ball. Looking back on it and playing Monday Morning Quarterback, Simpson checked the boxes for all the attributes were were big on last week coming into the tournament in 2nd in Scrambling, 5th in Par 5 Scoring, 20th in Par 4 Scoring and 20th in Strokes Gained: Approach.
That being said, we can’t look back and change the past so let’s move on and focus on this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson. The AT&T Byron Nelson has been played in various locations but this year makes the move to Dallas, Texas at the Trinity Forest Golf Club.
Trinity Forest Golf Club Details
The Trinity Forest Golf Club will be the site of this year’s AT&T Byron Nelson. Trinity Forest GC is located in Dallas, Texas, which means we will most likely be dealing with the winds and crazy weather of Texas. We will also deal with a slight bit of elevation in Texas with the course sitting 390 feet above sea level.
The course was designed on top of a old landfill in Dallas, Texas by Ben Crenshaw and Bill Coore. Trinity Forest GC is a Par 71 course that plays out at just under 7400 yards. I’m really not going to get much into course description and of course there is no course history but one thing I would recommend to anyone playing this week is pay attention to those that are in good form, and those that are members of the course.
Golfers such as Jordan Spieth, Hunter Mahan and Beau Hossler are all members at the club and have experience over this particular course. It is a links style golf course and all though it was built on top of a landfill, it looks like a very nice golf course.
It is really hard to judge this courses fairways. When I first looked at it, I thought that they were wide and looked pretty easy to hit but then I started looking at the changes in elevation and the 80 plus bunkers that are strategically spaced out and reconsidered my initial thoughts.
With the course being nearly 7400 yards, distance will be an issue. It looks like the long drivers will hold a benefit but once again, this is the first time this tournament is being played here so little info is really known on the course. The course superintendent has commented in various interviews that he feels this course will be the firmest and fastest course that the pro’s of the PGA will play this year.
Dallas, Texas Weather
It is going to be HOT HOT HOT HOT HOT in Texas this week and walking 18 holes is going to be trying! The weather forecasters are not being kind for this tournament. On Thursday, it is expected to be partly cloudy with temps around 95’. On Friday and Saturday, it is likely to be 97-98’ and sunny. Sunday looks to be the least hot day of the week, with temps around 94’. The winds are expected to be between 8-14 MPH throughout the week, which shouldn’t cause too many issues.
AT&T Byron Nelson Cut Info
The cut line for the AT&T Byron Nelson is much like most other normal tournaments. There are 156 golfers scheduled to start the tournament on Thursday and only the Top 70 and ties will make it through the cut, to play on Saturday and Sunday.
AT&T Byron Nelson System Attributes
As we said earlier, we aren’t going to look too deep into attributes this week. This is the first time this tournament has been played here at Trinity Forest GC so there really is no telling how each golfer will do. My suggestion is to look more into recent form this week and use this year as a baseline for future tournaments.
AT&T Byron Nelson Golfers
*My first golfer is Jimmy Walker at +2200 for 2 units at MyBookie. Walker has been hot since his 20th place finish at The Masters. Since the Masters, he has finished in 4th place at the Valero Open, which was also in Texas and a 2nd place finish last week in a tough competitive Players Championship. Walker is improving each week and I really like his chances to win this week in Texas.
*My second golfer is Matt Kuchar at +1400 for 2 units BetMania. Betmania is one of our newer online sportsbooks that we have added here at the Spooky Express and have had nothing but great experience with them. I strongly suggest you head on over and sign up today for your new account. Please take a minute prior to wagering to set up a new account by clicking on the link above. Kuchar has been really good this year and has been so close to a win. Kuchar hasn’t missed a cut in what seems like forever, since the 2017 Shell Houston Open to be exact, but he also hasn’t won a tournament in quite some time. I think that could change this week as he faces a weak level of competition and should cruise to the top.
*My third golfer is Rory Sabbatini at +8750 for 1 unit Bookmaker. Sabbatini has already won this tournament, but at a different course. He now comes into this tournament in much greater form finishing the past 12 tournaments inside the cut line. Sabbatini has played well even in tougher tournaments so it is only natural to think he would do well in a much weaker tournament.
Head To Head Matchups
Jimmy Walker over Branden Grace -115 for 2.5 units
Rory Sabbatini over Joaquin Niemann -125 for 2.5 units
Satoshi Kodaira over John Huh -135 for 2.5 units