PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Betting Tips & Handicapping Free Plays
Matchup at a Glance
Venue: Pebble Beach Golf Links
Where: Pebble Beach, California
Date & Time: Thursday, February 7 – 10, 2019
This week, the pro’s of the PGA will play alongside amateurs at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro/Am. This tournament takes place in Pebble Beach, California along the beautiful coastline of the Pacific Ocean.
The tour has made a stop here at Pebble Beach each year since 1947 and this is considered one of the top courses by nearly every grading system in existence.
Pebble Beach has been the site of five US Open’s and will be the host venue in 2019 US Open. The previous years were 1972, 1982, 1992, 2000 and 2010.
Pebble Beach Golf Links Course Details
This tournament is played over three golf courses over the first three days. During the first three days, the pro’s and amateur will play side by side at Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club. Each of these courses have their strengths and weaknesses that you will need to be aware of depending on your golfer and what day they play on the particular course.
Pebble Beach Golf Links measures out at around 6,816 yards and plays as a Par 72. The course is laid out along the beautiful California coastline and is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour. The fairways at Pebble Beach are wide enough to drive several tractor-trailers on but the issue becomes putting. The greens are made up of some of the toughest Poa Annua Greens that can be very difficult to put on, especially when you factor in the Pacific Coast winds. The pros will play at least one round on Pebble Beach Golf Links and if they make the cut, they will finish up the tournament on this course.
Spyglass Hill Golf Course measure at 6,960 yards and is a Par 72 golf course that was designed by Mr. Robert Trent Jones Sr. Many claim that this course is the toughest of the three courses and others call it the best golf course to never host a major! Spyglass Hill Golf Course is located among the Del Monte Forest and along the ocean side. When you watch this course on TV, it appears to be absolutely amazingly beautiful! There are several bunkers, ponds and elevation changes that will test the best golfers and create some headaches for golfers that are not accurate off the tee.
Monterey Peninsula is considered the easiest of the three courses. Monterey is 6958 yards and has four Par 5’s. They also have the Poa Annua Greens but the greens themselves are much larger than Spyglass and Pebble Beach, which makes it much easier on approach shots and putting from a distance.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro/Am Cut Info
The cut this week is very similar to what we have seen at the Desert Classic. The pros will play 3 days/54 holes and the top 60 and ties will make it through to the final day. Normally, the cut is made after 2 days/36 holes but due to the amateurs playing alongside the pro’s, they will get to play on each golf course, with the final day being for those who make the cut only.
Pebble Beach, California Weather
The weather at Pebble Beach usually plays a factor in the tournament and this week is no different. The weather forecasters are saying that Pebble Beach will see cooler temps in the low 50’s throughout the week and the only day that we really have rain in the forecast is Friday Night, which will help golfers for the weekend. Wind looks to be a factor on Friday and Saturday, with the wind gusting to 15mph.
Pebble Beach System Attributes
There are several key system attributes that have played out strong at Pebble Beach and several factors that have helped us pick a winner over the years here. Two years ago we cashed with Jordan Spieth and then last year, we had Dustin Johnson and Jason Day, both of which finished 2nd in a big upset to Ted Potter Jr.
First and foremost, you must find golfers that rank high in Greens in Reg. Over the past 12 years, 10 of the winners ranked in the Top 6 in GIR so make sure you find those golfers that rank high in GIR.
Next up, we want to focus on Driving Distance. In the last 10 years, 9 of the winners have ranked Top 30 or better in Driving Distance. This tells us that distance is a factor and due to the Par 5’s, it will benefit you to have golfers that are long off the tee.
Another very interesting tidbit of information that we strongly urge you to consider is the fact that every winner of the Pebble Beach has had a T15 or better in one of the previous two starts at Pebble Beach.
Some other things to consider is 10 of the past 12 winners of Pebble Beach have ranked Top 10 or better in Par 4 Performance. Many experts are suggesting that you pay particular attention to Par 5 Scoring, which I agree but I think it is better to focus on that Par 4 Performance. Numbers don’t lie!
- Greens In Reg
- Driving Distance
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Par 4 Performance
- Par 5 Scoring
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Birdie or Better %
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
Jason Day +950 at BetDSI for 2 units
Our top golfer for the AT&T Pebble Beach is Jason Day. Day has always played well here finishing in 2nd place last year, 5th in 2017, 11th in 2016, 4th in 2015, 64th in 2014 and 6th in 2013. His course history is strong but then you look at his recent form and you realize that there is a reason why he is one of the favorites this week. He is coming off a 5th place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open and 13th place at Sentry Tournament of Champions to kick off his 2019 campaign. Watch out for Day to come out strong here this week and compete for the win at the AT&T Pebble Beach.
Tommy Fleetwood +2200 at BetOnline for 1 unit
Tommy Fleetwood will be making his first appearance on the PGA Tour since last year, at the FedEx Cup Tour Championship. Since then, he has placed 2nd, 7th, 7th, 9th, 14th, 16th, 16th and 42nd place finishes all on the Euro Tour. This will be his first time playing here at Pebble Beach but Fleetwood really sets up nicely for this type of course.
Chez Reavie +3157 at Bookmaker for 1 unit
Chez Reavie has finished inside the Top 5 in 2 of his last 3 tournaments and is in great form! He finished in 4th place last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, 5th place at the Sony Open and 28th place at the Desert Classic in his last 3 tournaments and now enters the AT&T Pebble Beach, where he finished in 2nd place last year. Sign me up for Reavie this week.
Brandt Snedeker +5050 at Bookmaker for 1 unit
Sned’s really isn’t in the greatest form right now but what he lacks in form, he makes up in course history. Snedeker won here in 2013 and again in 2015, and also has a 4th place finish in 2017. Last year, he finished in 20th place but that only means he is due for another big finish. His odds make him a must play on this course!