PGA Championship Handicapping Picks and Betting Preview

by | May 14, 2019 | Golf

Matchup at a Glance

Course: Bethpage Black State Park Golf Course

Location: Farmingdale, New York

Date:  May 16-19, 2019

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The 2019 PGA Championship has been moved and will tee off this week from Bethpage Black on Thursday, May 16, 2019.  

This year, the PGA Championship will serve as the 2nd Major on the PGA Tour.  

The Masters was the first Major, while the US Open will take place in June as the 3rd Major and The Open Championship being played in July as the 4th and final Major of the season.

Winning the PGA Championship will provide the winning golfer with a career-changing prize of appearing in the PGA Championship for a lifetime, as well as gaining entry and admission into the US Open, Masters and The Open Championship for the next five years. Additionally, the winning golfer will have their PGA Tour Card checked for the next five years and the European Tour for the next seven years.

Along with the career-changing exclusions, they will also split their share of $11 million dollars, which is life-changing money in it of itself with the winner taking home $1.98 million dollars!

Bethpage Black Golf Course Details

Each year, the PGA Championship is held at a different golf course. This year, the host site is the Black Course in Bethpage State Park in Farmingdale, New York. Bethpage has been the host site for large tournaments like the US Open and The Barclays, and will host the 2024 Ryder Cup.

In 2002 and 2009, when Bethpage Black hosted the US Open, it was the hardest course that the pro’s played on that year. That will most likely be the situation again this year as this course is monstrous and intimidating.

The course plays at 7,432 yards and is a Par 70.  This course definitely shows bias to the long drivers and those that can crush the ball with accuracy.  

The fairways here are small and if guys fail to hit them, they are in trouble.  The rough here is without a doubt penalizing and if your golfer ends up missing the fairways and ends up in the rough, it will be at least 1, maybe 2 strokes.

The greens are small and elevated so golfers will benefit from hitting the ball too far, compared to going too short.  

Make no mistake, this course is very tough and this week, they have gotten a lot of rain so expect the course to have some extra soggy.  

Hole 1 430 Yards Par 4
Hole 2 389 Yards Par 4
Hole 3 230 Yards Par 3
Hole 4 517 Yards Par 5
Hole 5 478 Yards Par 4
Hole 6 408 Yards Par 4
Hole 7 524 Yards Par 4
Hole 8 210 Yards Par 3
Hole 9 460 Yards Par 4
Hole 10 502 Yards Par 4
Hole 11 435 Yards Par 4
Hole 12 517 Yards Par 4
Hole 13 608 Yards Par 5
Hole 14 161 Yards Par 3
Hole 15 459 Yards Par 4
Hole 16 490 Yards Par 4
Hole 17 207 Yards Par 3
Hole 18 411 Yards Par 4

PGA Championship-Cut Info

The PGA Championship will feature a regular normal cut of the Top 70 and ties after the first 36 holes. There will not be a secondary (MDF) cut following the third round so your golfer gets in, he plays the entire weekend.

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PGA Championship Golfers

Tommy Fleetwood +3300 at MyBookie for 1.5 Units

Fleetwood has never teed it up here at Bethpage but he is coming into good form and has the numbers to back him up. He is coming in off a 8th place finish at the British Masters anda  25th place finish at the RBC Heritage. He has the distance and the numbers to be very dangerous this week. He is 4th on tour in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 4th on tour in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and knowing the distance is there, he could sneak in for a win here in the PGA Championship.

 

Sergio Garcia +5000 at BetDSI for 1.5 Units

Sergio has always played well here and he has the strongest numbers for the approach game for this tournament.  As I said earlier, you have to have a very good approach game around these greens and that fits Garcia’s game tremendously. His odds are very strong, depending on where you play him and he is one of my feature plays this week for the PGA Championship.

 

Bubba Watson +6250 at Bookmaker for 1 Unit

Bubba has played here 3 times and has always done well.  He placed 10th, 13th and 18th the three times and we all know that Bubba has that distance that will benefit him. Bubba has taken a month off and the last time we seen him, he was finishing 12th at the Masters.   Bubba is 7th in Driving Distance and 3rd in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, so there is no doubt that I think Bubba will be there on Sunday, competing for the win.

 

Gary Woodland +7000 at GTBets for 1.5 Units

Woodland is my favorite player this week!  His numbers, combined with his tremendous odds, make him my absolutely solid favorite to win this tournament.  He has experience here at Bethpage, finishing 47th in 2009 and 4th here in 2016. He is one of the best golfers off the tee in this tournament, ranking 5th in Ball Striking, 7th in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, 8th in Driving Distance, 12th in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and 43rd in Strokes Gained: Approach.  Sign me up for Gary Woodland this week!

 

Jason Kokrak +11000 at MyBookie for ½ Unit

Jason Kokrak is one of my surprise plays this week.  I normally don’t play him but this week, he actually sets up nicely for a big run.  He is 10th on Strokes Gained: Approach, 14th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, 17th in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green, 24th in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and 32nd in Driving Distance.  If his putting can hold up on these elevated greens, this guy stands a strong chance at coming up big this week!

 

Julian Suri +20000 at BetDSI for ½ Unit

Suri is a Euro Tour guy that I think we have to consider.  When you are looking on the PGA’s website for stats, you won’t find him in the top 100 in anything and that is mainly because he hasn’t played in PGA events in 2019.  Suri is mainly a Euro Tour guy and to find his stats, you need to look on the Euro Tour website. When you look on their site, you will find that he is 23rd on the Euro Tour in Driving Distance with an average Driving Distance of 312.9 yards, 37th on the Euro Tour in Driving Accuracy, 5th on the Euro Tour in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and has hit 66.3% of his fairways this season.  Knowing all that, he is still +17500 and just too appealing to let pass me by!

 

Jorge Campillo +22500 at MyBookie for ½ Unit

This guy is one of the best golfers in the world right now and at these absolutely ridiculous odds, you would be a fool not to at least consider him for a small wager.  Campillo is coming in off a 3rd place finish at the Volvo China Open and the week prior, he won on the Euro Tour at the Trophee Hassan II. When you look at his last 6 tournaments overall, you find that he has 1-WIN, 2-Second Place Finishes, 3-Third Place Finishes and a 20th place finish.  Not too bad for a guy that is +22500!!!

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