PGA John Deere Classic Handicapping Preview and Betting Tips

by Jul 9, 2019Golf

Matchup at a Glance

Course: TPC Deere Run

Where: Silvis, IL

Date: Thursday, July 11 – Sunday, July 14

 

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This week, we are breaking down the John Deere Classic, as well as you are going to want to check out our article on the Scottish Open over on the Euro Tour. 

There is tons of golf this week here at the Spooky Express so make sure you check out all of our golf articles spanning from the PGA Tour to the EURO Tour and don’t forget about our PGA DFS Article that will also be released later today!

John Deere Classic Overview

The John Deere Classic has been around since 1971 when it was called the Quad Cities Open. The tournament started out as a satellite event for the first year, then was made into an official PGA Tour event the following year.

TPC Deere Run Course Details

The John Deere Classic is played at TPC Deere Run Course. TPC Deere Run is located in Silvis, Illinois, which is located about 95 miles southeast of Cedar Rapids. TPC Deere Run is routinely one of the easiest courses the PGA pros will play on all year. As per the norm, we can expect plenty of scoring and lots of birdies this week.

TPC Deere Run plays out at around 7,268 yards and is a Par 71 course. The course plays much shorter than it looks because there are 11 Par 4’s that are under 400 yards. The Par 5’s is where most people will do their scoring this week. Each of the Par 5’s measures under 600 yards, so don’t put too much attention looking for long drivers this week because even the shorter guys off the tee can do well here at TPC Deere Run.

Instead of looking for those long drivers, make sure you are looking for accuracy. Accuracy is key here at TPC Deere Run so make sure you have at least a few golfers wagered that stand out with accuracy. There is plenty of elevation change here at TPC Deere Run and you will notice that nearly every golfer’s approach shot, all seem short.

This will drastically benefit those golfers that are decent with the wedge and short irons. The bottom line here is you want your golfers to be able to hit the fairways and end up with a decent approach shot.

There are 78 bunkers spread out over the course, as well as 4 water hazards that are in play here at TPC Deere Run. 

John Deere Classic System Attributes

The course attributes for this week are listed below. I think there are some really nice attributes to follow but mostly you want to find those guys that are accurate. I can’t emphasize that enough this week. Additionally, this course always seems to play out per its design and that means that guys play the same here each year. 

If golfers have had success here, chances are they will do well again this week. If they have missed the cut here, chances are they will do the same this week! USE CAUTION and check that course history! With that being said, below is a list of the attributes that we are using in our system this week for the 2019 John Deere Classic:

  • Greens in Regulation
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Par 5 Scoring

John Deere Classic Golfers

Joaquin Niemann +2220 at WagerWeb for 2 Units

Niemann has been the pillar of dependability over the past 2 months, making the cut in 6 straight tournaments, which include 5th place finishes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and the Travelers Championship. Niemann has yet to punch his ticket that says, WINNER, but this tournament is relatively weak and could be the week he gets to hoist that trophy!

Mac Hughes +6600 at MyBookie for 1 Unit

Mackenzie Hughes seems to really stand out in these lower level tournaments.  If you will recall, he finished in 2nd place at the Punta Cana Championship and most recently finished 8th in the Charles Schwab Challenge.  Hughes provides us with 66/1 odds, which is absolutely insane! Jump on it early because that line will probably go down.  

Kyle Stanley +4500 at MyBookie for 1 Unit

There are a handful of tournaments that I really like to play Kyle Stanley and the John Deere Classic is one of them.  He has always played well here and comes in with decent form. He pulled out of last week’s 3M Classic with a early withdraw but I wouldn’t let that influence your decision on playing him.  He is the highest ranked golfer in this tournament and should compete for a win. 

Andres Romero +12500 at Intertops for ½ Unit

I love finding guys that have improved their standing in back to back weeks but for Romero, he has improved in each of his last 3 tournaments.  Romero has played here at the John Deere several times and for the most part, is one of the more reliable golfers to tee it up. Last year he finished in 7th place and I would expect him to compete once again.  At 125/1, you must consider this guy!

Zach Suchar +14000 at MyBookie for ½ Unit

Suchar is either hit or miss! In his last 6 tournaments, he has missed the cut 3 times and finished 2nd 2 times.  That being said, I really like him this week. His odds are really strong, providing us with odds of 140/1.  

John Deere Classic Matchups

Joaquin Niemann over Collin Morikawa +110 for 3 Units

Sam Ryder over Troy Merritt -110 for 2 Units

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