PGA Tour’s Sentry Tournament of Champions Handicapping Preview & Betting Tips

by Earl Campbell | December 30, 2019 |

This week, the PGA returns with the first tournament of the year that we can bet on golf in 2020 with the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

The tournament will tee off on Thursday, January 2 and play through Sunday, January 5, 2019.  Make sure you place all of your wagers with your online sportsbook by Thursday morning, January 2, 2020 at 5:00 AM. 

There are 34 golfers that will play in this tournament. The following golfers will be competing for this year’s 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions golf contest.  It should be noted that all of the odds used in this chart were accurate as of December 30, 2019 at 8:00 AM per MyBookie:  

Sentry Tournament of Champions Draftkings PriceFanDuel PriceMyBookie Odds
Jon Rahm$11,400$11,900400
Justin Thomas$11,200$11,700500
Xander Schauffele$10,600$11,400700
Dustin Johnson$10,100$11,2001000
Patrick Cantlay$9,800$11,0001100
Rickie Fowler$9,500$10,6001600
Gary Woodland$9,300$10,4001400
Patrick Reed$9,000$10,8001400
Paul Casey$8,800$10,0002000
Collin Morikawa$8,600$10,2002200
Matt Kuchar$8,400$9,9004000
Cameron Champ$8,200$9,7003500
Brendon Todd$8,100$9,3004500
Joaquin Niemann$8,000$9,5005000
Matthew Wolff$7,900$9,1006000
Corey Conners$7,800$8,9005000
Kevin Kisner$7,700$9,0005500
Chez Reavie$7,600$8,8006000
Kevin Na$7,500$8,2007000
JT Poston$7,400$8,4007000
Dylan Frittelli$7,300$8,6006600
Ryan Palmer$7,200$8,1009000
Sebastian Munoz$7,100$8,3008000
Keith Mitchell$7,000$8,00011000
Adam Long$6,900$7,90012500
Graeme McDowell$6,700$7,70012500
Sung Kang$6,600$7,60015000
Lanto Griffin$6,500$7,00012500
Tyler Duncan$6,400$7,40015000
Max Homa$6,300$7,30015000
JB Holmes$6,200$7,50017500
Jim Herman$6,100$7,20050000
Martin Trainer$6,000$7,10075000

Sentry Tournament of Champions Overview

The Sentry Tournament of Champions is played annually, as one of the first tournaments of the year.  The tournament first took place back in 1998 at the La Costa Country Club but moved to its current venue, Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui Hawaii, the following year in 1999.  

The Tournament of Champions has been played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui Hawaii every year since 1999.  This is one of the easier courses to play on as shown by the scores averaging in the low to mid -20’s. There will be plenty of opportunities to score birdies if golfers play well and get it in the fairways.

The Plantation Course is a Par 73 that plays at 7452 yards.  This is the only Par 73 course that the PGA utilizes on tour.  The course was designed by Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw.  

The putting surfaces at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua are made up of Bermudagrass.  There are some really wide fairways at Plantation Course at Kapalua so most golfers should have an easy time hitting them.

There are several courses that are very similar in playing style to Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui Hawaii. The three most similar courses that we have found are Augusta National Golf Course in Augusta, Georgia, Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas and Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. I would strongly encourage you to consider golfers that play well at those three courses when making your own selections.  

Sentry Tournament of Champions Cut Info

There are only 34 golfers in this tournament so there will be no cut this week.  That means your golfer’s will get to play all 4 rounds beginning on Thursday and ending on Sunday.  

Sentry Tournament of Champions System Attributes

Many experts in the industry tell you to look for big hitters here at Plantation Course at Kapalua but I think a high priority has to be placed on putting.  Most golfers are not going to miss these fairways and weather permitting, there should be an emphasis put on the putting greens.

We will put a high emphasis on Strokes Gained: Putting.  The past 5 out of 6 years, the winner finished in the top 5 in Strokes Gained: Putting.  Another stat that kept popping up for winners of this tournament is Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green. We will round out the final smaller attributes in our system with Greens in Reg, Strokes Gained: Approach, Scrambling and Birdie or Better %.  

Note: I recommend looking at statistics over the past 12 months, NOT on the PGA’s website.  If you look at the PGA’s website, which I frequently use, it will only show you the statistics for the most recent tournaments.  

Many are aware that many of the PGA pro’s don’t play that shoulder season so you could be doing yourself an injustice by ignoring players that are really good at one area but not on the list due to their lack of playing at the end of 2017.

This course benefits those that have played on it so course history is a must!  There is some major elevation change here and with the undulation at Plantation Course at Kapalua, the experience is a huge benefit to golfers.  

Sentry Tournament of Champions Golfers

Let me start off by saying this is truly a very tough tournament to bet and what makes it even harder is the fact that this is the first one of the year and we really don’t know what most of these guys have been up to since mid-November.  

Naturally right now, you can’t go wrong if you play someone like Jon Rahm but the problem I have with him is he is so cheap.  I’m not a fan of betting golfers that are 4/1 and even though he comes in with the best form and the best course history, I think we need more than 4/1. 

Another cheap option this week is Xander Schauffele but again, we really don’t make anything off him.  He is 7/1 and is the returning champion from last year.  

Here are the golfers that I will be recommending this week:

Gary Woodland +1400 – Woodland has this tournament wrapped up last year but had his bad day of golf on the last day of the tournament.  Xander was down by 5 strokes and simply played his heart out to get the win. Woodland has always played well here on this course and I expect a strong showing from him this week in the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Rickie Fowler +1600 – Fowler had an off year last season but things are calming down in his life and I expect a much stronger Rickie Fowler in 2020.  Fowler finished in 4th, 5th and 6th place the 3 times he has played here and there is no reason to think he won’t come back strong again this year.  

Collin Morikawa +2200 – Collin Morikawa is one of the more interesting players this week.  He has a lot of family from this area and will have a serious presence of family and friends at the course.  Morikawa is playing here for the first time and at 22/1, I think he presents some decent value. 

Brendan Todd +4500 – There is absolutely no one hotter right now on the PGA Tour than the rejuvenated Brendan Todd.  Todd has won 2 of the last 3 tournaments he has played in and finished in 4th in the other. He has only played here once, in 2015, but finished in 8th place and was competitive. 

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