PGA Tour’s Genesis Invitational Betting Tips & Handicapping Free Plays

by Earl Campbell | February 11, 2020 |

This week, the pro’s of the PGA stop off at Pacific Palisades, California for the Genesis Invitational.  The Genesis Invitational will take place from Thursday, February 13, thru Sunday, February 16 at Riviera Country Club.  

Before we get into the details of this week, let’s take a look at how we did last week.  Once again, as much as it sounds like a broken record, we finished up with another Top 5 finish, this week in 4th place with Jason Day.  

Day had a good tournament overall but simply couldn’t beat the young Canadian Nick Taylor.  Taylor played his heart out and won by 4 strokes. 

The Genesis Invitational is one of the oldest tournaments played on the PGA Tour, being played in some fashion under various names since 1926!  The tournament was formerly known as the Genesis Open, LA Open, Northern Trust Open, and Nissan Open, before becoming the Genesis Open in 2017.   

Riviera Country Club Course Details

There is no doubt about it, Riviera Country Club is one of the harder courses the pros will see this year on tour.   Riviera Country Club was designed by George C Thomas Jr and has hosted three majors, the 1948 US Open and the 1983 and 1995 PGA Championship.

The course only plays as a Par 71 but it is long at 7,322 yards.  The fairways are very tough to hit and make this an interesting tournament.  The greens at Riviera are Poa Annua and are very fast and very tricky! This course is long and puts a huge emphasis on the on Greens in Reg and Ball Striking, which we will get into a little later. Riviera Country Club is composed of four Par 3’s, eleven Par 4’s and three par 5’s.   

It seems that the tournament has been dominated in recent years by those golfers that are long off the tee.  I think we will see that continue this year, as there really is no reason to believe that anything will change.  

System Attributes

The top two attributes this week are without a doubt Driving Distance and Greens in Reg.  We will also put some emphasis on course history and recent form. All of the attributes that we will use this week are as follows:

  • Driving Distance
  • Greens in Reg
  • Recent Form
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Course History
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Strokes Gained: Approach

Genesis Invitational Golfers

Before we give out our golfers for this week, let it be known that there are really two ways you could play it this week.  Option A would be to give out one of the low odds favorites and just play that one golfer. You can’t go wrong with someone like Rory, Justin Thomas or Jon Rahm.  Or you can go with Option B and play a more versatile handful of golfers and hope the favorites are looking a week ahead to the WGC-Mexico Championship.  

Jon Rahm at 9/1 – If you are going to pick one golfer this week, then Jon Rahm is your man.  +900 really isn’t a bad number for someone like him that has been hot all year long and if you trust putting all your ducks in one basket, then he may be your best option.  He is coming in with a 9th place finish here last year in his only time playing on the course and has unquestionably been the hottest golfer since 2019. He has the stats to pull off a winner this week, which would be his first of 2020. 

Patrick Cantlay 20/1 – My top golfer this week is Patrick Cantlay.  Cantlay really stands out well for this tournament and has played really well here, finishing in 15th place in 2019 and 4th place in 2018. He has very strong Par 4 Scoring numbers, ranking 4th this year on tour and is one of only two golfers this week that check 5 out of 6 attribute boxes for us (Rory McIlroy being the other).  

Tony Finau 28/1 – Finau is one of those golfers that you get sort of scared with due to course history but his recent form can’t be ignored.  The guy has been playing amazing with five straight top 15 finishes. Finau’s play off the tee is going to be a major benefit to him and if he is able to find the greens without much issue, he will win this tournament!

Colin Morikawa 50/1 – Morikawa has sort of been riding under the radar recently and I think this course could be the one that wakes him up. He has played here twice, both in 2017, finishing in 8th and 16th place.  Morikawa’s approach game is going to be a major benefit and could help him get into Sunday’s final group. 

Alex Noren 90/1 – This is pretty much an odds play as there is absolutely no chance Noren should be 90/1.This guys has been hot and I can only see him getting better as the season plays on. He is a Par 4 Scoring machine and that is what is important here at Riviera. Do not look past him, even if it is only for a half unit.  Call it insurance and throw a half unit on this guy.

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