Wells Fargo Championship Preview & PGA Betting Picks

by | Apr 30, 2019 | Golf

Event at a Glance

Course: Quail Hollow

Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Date: Thursday, May 2, 2019

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This week we are setting our radars on the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship from Charlotte, North Carolina. This tournament is one of the better golf tournaments each year and seems to bring out the best golfers in the world. 

Wells Fargo Championship has been around since 2003, when it was known as the Wachovia Championship.  The tournament has been played each year at Quail Hollow Golf Club, with the exception of 2017 when it was played in Wilmington, North Carolina at Eagle Point Golf Club.  

The tournament was moved for that one year due to the PGA Championship being played at Quail Hollow. The winner of this tournament this year will receive his share of $7.9 million dollar prize pool.

Rory McIlroy is the only player that has won this tournament more than one time, winning in 2010 & 2015. There are several players playing this week that can also become multi-time winners including Jason Day (2018), Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), JB Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011), Sean O’Hair (2009), Tiger Woods (2007) and Vijay Singh (2005).

Quail Hollow Course Details

Quail Hollow is a Par 71 golf course that plays at just under 7600 yards.  The course was originally designed by George Cobb, who is the same guy that designed Augusta National’s Par 3 Course and the Tour Championships East Lake.  The course was designed later on by Tom Fazio.

The course is littered with undulation, similar to what the pros of the PGA play on at Augusta National, but not as defined.  The greens at Quail Hollow can be tricky. They use to be Bentgrass but in 2014, they had a complete makeover and now are full Bermuda Grass.

Many golfers that have done interviews over the years speak of how tough the last three holes on this course are.  Holes 16, 17 and 18 are commonly referred to as “The Green Mile”. Each year, “The Green Mile” ranks among the hardest trio of holes that the pros on the PGA will pay on throughout the year.

Wells Fargo Championships Cut Info

The cut line for the Wells Fargo Championships is much like most other normal tournaments.  There are 156 golfers scheduled to start the tournament on Thursday and only the Top 70 and ties will make it through the cut, to play on Saturday and Sunday.

Wells Fargo Championships System Attributes

When you are doing your research this week, keep a few things in mind.  You can use last year’s PGA Championship for last year’s course history but do not use the 2017 Wells Fargo Championship for course history because keep in mind that they did not play at Quail Hollow.

Our first and probably most important aspect of successfully handicapping Quail Hollow is finding some long off the tee golfers.  You won’t find too many short hitters being played on my list this week. Simply look over the past winners and you will see a plethora of golfers that are long off the tee.

One more aspect that I always combine with my guys that are long off the tee is guys that have good Scrambling stats.  Reason being, if the golfer veers off the fairway, they will need to be able to recover your ball. Having a golfer that can get out of those bad spots is a great benefit at Quail Hollow.  

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Wells Fargo Championships Golfers

Rickie Fowler +1125 at WagerWeb for 2 Units

Fowler is a previous winner here at Quail Hollow and has always played well here. Dating back to 2009, he has a win, and an additional three times that he has finished in the Top 6.  He is also coming in with decent form, finishing 9th at the Masters and 17th at the Valero Texas Open.  Fowler is 6th on tour with Birdie or Better % and we think will have a very strong week at Quail Hollow.  

Tony Finau +2000 at MyBookie for 1 Unit

Finau has the distance to really cause some havoc here at the Wells Fargo Championship.  He has played here 4 years in a row and all though he hasn't really set the world on fire in years past, he did make the cut and compete.  He finished in 21st place last year, 44th, 28th and 16th the three prior years.  Finau was 5th at the Masters and should have a great week this week.

Hideki Matsuyama +2200 at MyBookie for 1 Unit

Probably the most unique golfer this week is Hideki Matsuyama.  Hideki kept popping up everywhere when doing my research and his numbers are very strong for this week. He missed the cut last year, but let us not forget he was dealing with an injury, so therefore, I am throwing last year's numbers out and looking deeper into his overall history for the previous 4 years that he played here. He finished 5th in 2017, 11th in 2016, 20th in 2015 and 38th in 2014. HIdeki is #1 on Tour with his Strokes Gained: Approach The Green numbers and 2nd in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green.  Matsuyama is my favorite golfer this week!

Patrick Reed +4000 at MyBookie for 1 Unit

Reed is strictly a course history play. He has always done well here, including the past two years where he finished 2nd and 8th.  Reed really isn't in the best form right now but he is a great golfer and we know he will turn it around eventually.  Why not this week?  He knows the course, he likes the course and brings us decent odds! 

Head To Head Matchups

Patrick Reed over Lucas Glover -105  2.5 Units

Jason Kokrak over Henrik Stenson -125 2.5 Units

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