MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
When: October 24-27, 2019
Venue/Golf Course: Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course
Location: Vilamoura, Portugal
This week, the pro’s of the European Tour will head to Portugal for the Portugal Masters. This tournament has been around since 2007 and is normally one of the weaker fields on the European Tour.
An interesting fact about this tournament, no American has ever won this tournament. In fact, no American has ever finished in first or second place in this tournament.
Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course Details
The Portugal Masters will be played at the Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course in Vilamoura, Portugal. This course has hosted this tournament since 2007 and provides an entertaining scoring-fest.
This course provides golfers with an abundance of scoring. Over the past 4 years, golfers have scored -22, -20, -23 and -23.
The course has undergone some redesign for 2019 to basically make it a bit tougher to score on. The course administrators are tired of hearing how easy this course was and therefore made some changes to cut down on the scoring. It remains to be seen how those changes will affect this year.
The course is roughly 7,200 yards in distance and plays as a Par 71. The course has some trees that line the fairways and like most European Courses, there is some undulation.
There are 6 holes on this tournament that have water in play. Those water hazards are not particularly difficult but golfers need to be accurate on their approach.
One of the defenses that this course will feature is a longer rough. The rough will be bermuda grass and they are purposely letting it grow a bit extra tall this year, as another way of cutting down on the excessive scoring.
Portugal Masters System Attributes
Because we have 7-years of stats to go through, its easy to see what attributes we should feature here in the Portugal Masters. First and foremost, Putting Putting Putting!
When you are looking for golfers this week, you want to pay close attention to those with strong putting numbers. Each of the past winners has ranked fairly high among putting.
You also want to look for strong Birdie Average. As we said earlier, there is always an abundance of scoring so if your golfer can’t keep up with scoring, then you are destined to lose.
Lastly, one thing we are looking at is Scrambling. It appears that golfers that can recover just off the greens and those that have strong Scrambling numbers, end up in the Top 5. Winners of this tournament routinely have very strong Scrambling numbers!
Portugal Masters Golfers To Bet
Mikko Korhonen at 25/1 – Our first golfer is Mikko Korhonen at 25/1. Let me start by saying his putting numbers are not that good but he has shown some signs of improving. It’s so hard to not put him in the golfers to bet, because everything about this guy is strong…..well, except the putting. If his putting is on this week, no one in this tournament will come close to beating him!
JB Hansen at 28/1 – When it comes to strong golfers, with strong Putting numbers, we have to side with JB Hansen. He is currently 11th on tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and no one in the Top 70, has logged more rounds than he has contributed to those numbers. He is coming off a strong 2nd place finish last week, a 24th place finish 2 weeks ago and a 4th place finish 3 weeks ago. Probably my favorite golfer this week and one that I think will be there in the end!
Sam Horsfield at 28/1 – We can call Sam Horsfield “Mr. Reliable”. This guy is the pillar of consistency and is there competing each and every week that he tees it up. He is still looking for his first tour win but he has been close many times. This could very easily be the week that Horsfield gets that win and punches his ticket.
Jeff Winther at 60/1 – Jeff Winther enters this tournament with everything you need to be successful on this course. He has strong Putting, very strong Scrambling numbers and can score with the best of them. His course history isn’t very good, I will be right upfront with you, but this is a totally different golfer than what we’ve seen in year’s past. That course history gives us some great value in the odds and at 60/1, you can’t miss this one!
Other Golfers To Consider
Matt Wallace at 11/1 – If you want to play one golfer and only one golfer, who has a great chance at winning, consider Matt Wallace. Wallace is only 11/1 but he is by far the best golfer in this tournament. He is coming in with great form, finishing in 7th place 2 weeks ago at the Italian Open and is a great option for a low odds, winner.
Adri Arnaus at 20/1 – Adri Arnaus has been on the brink of winning this year at several tournaments however he has not won a tournament in 2019. He has finished with 3 second place finishes however no winners. This could be the week he gets back in the winners circle, with it being a very weak field.
George Coetzee at 30/1 – Hard to argue with how Coetzee played last week at the Open De France, where he finished in 3rd place in a fairly competitive field. If he plays this week like he played last week, he is a very strong option!
Ryan Fox at 33/1 – I told you guys a few weeks ago that I was going to get on board with Ryan Fox and I meant it. I will be following him again this week and watching the odds as we get closer to Wednesday evening. If his odds get upwards of +3300, I may take a shot with him.
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