The Masters Betting Tips and Handicapping Preview

by | Apr 8, 2019 | Golf

Matchup at a Glance

Venue: Augusta National

Location: Augusta, GA

Date: Thursday, April 11 – Sunday, April 14,  2019

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The Masters from Augusta National is upon us and we are super excited about this tournament!

This is my Super Bowl, World Series, Triple Crown and Daytona 500 all rolled into one and therefore, I am digging deep this week with one of our biggest golf articles of the year!  

Not only will we go deep into the handicapping and betting topics but we will also have a second Daily Fantasy Sports article this week, that will provide you with some really good DFS info for those big Masters GPP’s.  

Make sure you check out both articles and reap the benefits from the in-depth research that we have conducted.

2019 Masters Overview

The Masters is the first Major of the year and will take place from Thursday morning until Sunday evening, with the winner sharing the $11,000,000 prize pool! The winner will pocket $1,980,000 and will also, in addition to receiving their traditional green jacket, will automatically be invited to the remaining three majors, which will be the US Open, The Open Championship and the PGA Championship, for the next five years!  By winning The Masters, they will also be eligible for a lifetime membership and invite to play at The Masters.

The Masters is one of those tournaments that you can see on either on TV or online throughout the entire tournament.  The tournament can be seen on Thursday and Friday on ESPN and Saturday and Sunday on CBS. You can also watch many of the golfers on www.Masters.com during their daily coverage.  The website has some really nice coverage of this tournament and makes it even more interesting to watch and play.  

Augusta National Golf Club Details

The Masters takes place each year at Augusta National Golf Club, in Augusta, Georgia. The Masters began back in 1934, 84 years ago, and has been played each year since.  This tournament is normally a smaller field due to the fact that it is an invitation-only tournament. There are 87 golfers invited to participate in The Masters.

Augusta National is a Par 72 golf course that plays at a distance of 7,435 yards. The course itself is a pretty much wide open golf course that has a very limited amount of rough.  There is a ton of undulation on the course, which basically means that there is a bunch of level changes and waves within the greens. There are a ton of experts that will put in their articles for this week a rating for Augusta National but they are all misleading and estimated because there has never been an official rating for this course due to the fact that it is a private club and has not allowed an official rating.  

  • Greens – The greens at Augusta National are Bentgrass, which many of the golfers have issues with because this isn't normally what they play on.  The greens are without a doubt fast, mainly due to the large slopes that are contained within the putting surface. They are some of the fastest greens that they will play on all year.  The measurement from the stimpmeter for Augusta National rate at 12-13.
  • Fairways –  The Fairways at Augusta National are overseeded each fall with perennial ryegrass.  This type of grass comes from Oregon and provides and absorbent and lush look to make the game able to be played during both dry and rainy seasons.  This type of grass is what most pro’s will prefer to hit the ball off of because it is fluffy and deep, giving the golfers more room to get under the ball.  The fairways are mowed at a half inch for The Masters and will be watered daily leading up to the big tournament.
  • Bunkers There are 44 bunkers strategically spaced out throughout Augusta National.  There are 32 greenside bunkers and 12 fairway bunkers. We will go over the actual bunkers to be concerned within each of the hole descriptions but one thing to be aware of is these bunkers are pristine and made of white sand also known as Spruce Pine Sand. The bunkers at The Masters is actually not sand at all, it's actually quartz, which is found in North Carolina.  The quartz does not stick to the ball and also prevents the balls from plugging or going deep in the lies. You rarely hear golfers complain about the bunkers at The Masters because they are normally fairly easy to play.
  • Water Hazards – There are 6 water hazards that you must be aware of at Augusta National. These force golfers to be accurate but are truly more for visible decorating than they are an obstacle.    

 

Hole 1 – Tea Olive – 445 Yards – Par 4

Hole 1 is called Tea Olive.  It stands at 445 yards and plays as a Par 4.  It is a slight dogleg right and plays uphill, which creates a lot of issues for golfers without experience on the course.  The most important thing about this hole is the second shot. The undeletion on this green is one of the toughest on the entire course and if you hit it wrong, you could easily end up with a three-putt on the first hole and playing from behind, which will take you out of the game mentally.  

Hole 2 – Pink Dogwood – 575 Yards – Par 5

Hole 2 is a dogwood left that is reachable in two strokes.  This is routinely one of the easier holes to play at Augusta National.  There are some big greenside bunkers that require accuracy on the second shot.  This will end up being one of the holes that you see the most birdies on this year.   

Hole 3 – Flowering Peach – 350 Yards – Par 4

Hole 3 is one of the shortest Par 4’s on the course for the week, and probably the easiest Par 4.  There are bunkers lined along the fairway so golfers usually either end up coming up short or try to overpower the fairway and go long.  Out of the two, it is better to go long than come up short because the ball will roll down the undelation on this hole and it may turn into a wasted shot.  

Hole 4 – Flowering Crab Apple – 240 Yards – Par 3

This hole is surprisingly more difficult than it appears. Most times, wind isn’t a fact at Augusta National but for whatever reason, it does affect this hole.  There are two bunkers that line up on each side of the green and the greens are sloped from the back to the front. The greens are now much wider than they originally were when the course was originally designed.  

Hole 5 – Magnolia – 455 Yards – Par 4

This one seems to be the problem! The Magnolia is a uphill dogleg left that leads up to a sloped green.  The fairways force players to be accurate off the tee or if they feel real lucky, they can try to overpower the fairways and clear them with a 300+ driver shot off the tee.

Hole 6 – Juniper – 180 Yards – Par 3

Hole 6 is played on variable levels.  This will really depend on where they place the pin each day but the putting surface will lean from front to back so placement will be of utmost importance.  

Hole 7 – Pampas – 450 Yards – Par 4

Hole 7 is another tough hole that causes issues for the players.  Normally, the second shot is the most important shot of the hole due to avoiding the bunkers.  The way this hole is set up, there are bunkers in the front and back. The hole green resembled a diamond with a bunker nearly on each side.  The tees were planted in 2017 and is now the tightest shot on the course.

Hole 8 – Yellow Jasmine – 570 Yards – Par 5

On hole 8, golfers will need to be accurate because if they get sloppy off the tee, they will end up in a fairway bunker and headed uphill.  These holes that play uphill like this are incredibly tough because golfers that miss the fairway, either end up in a bunker or end up rolling back down to their original starting point, which is a wasted shot.  

Hole 9 – Carolina Cherry – 460 Yards – Par 4

The halfway point is hole 9 and is called the Carolina Cherry.  This is the hole that we are all used to seeing over the years where the golfers hit the ball far to the right to prevent the dreaded roll.  The greens on this hole slope drastically from back to front and have two left greenside bunkers.

Hole 10 – Camellia – 495 Yards – Par 4

Those who start out on the back 9 will start with Camellia.  This is a long Par 4 that plays downhill and is routinely the hardest hole on the entire course.  The tee shot has one of the most dramatic drop offs at Augusta National, falling off more than 100 feet from the tee to the fairway.  There is a long center bunker that can be intimidating to golfers but if they stay to the side of the bunker, they will be fine.

Hole 11 – White Dogwood – 505 Yards – Par 4

Hole 11 is the start of Amen Corner.  There is a water hazard on this hole as a pond lays along to green’s left side.  That means golfers will have to go right, correct? WRONG….along the right side is a bunker.  This one demands accuracy and forces golfers to put significant emphasis on the approach shot.  

Hole 12 – Golden Bell – 155 Yards – Par 3

This is the shortest Par 3 at Augusta National.  Most people will recognize this hole from the Ben Hogan Bridge that the golfers must cross over to approach the green.  Rae’s Creek runs long this hole and there are several bunkers that come into play on the hole.

Hole 13 – Azalea – 510 Yards – Par 5

Hole 13 is a Par 5 that is reachable in 2…..if played correct.  Accurate golfers will have a huge advantage on this hole and if golfers get sloppy, this one will cause them headaches.  The greens are lined with Rae’s Creek and four bunkers.

Hole 14 – Chinese Fir – 440 Yards – Par 4

Hole 14 is one of the few bunkerless holes at Augusta National.  That being said, it doesn’t make the hole any easier as there is a significant amount of level change on this hole.  The surface drops from left to right and with many of the holes, finding the right spot to place the ball is of utmost importance.

Hole 15 – Firethorn – 530 Yards – Par 5

Hole 15 is a reachable Par 5 that has a water hazard that comes into play.  A pond sits midway along the second shot and a bunker lines up next to the green.  If golfers hit too short, they will end up in water. If they go too far to the right, they end up in a bunker.  Pick your poison but be very careful around this green!

Hole 16 – Redbud – 170 Yards – Par 3

Hole 16 is literally played alongside water throughout the entire way.  It is a short Par 3 but if they want any chance at a birdie on this hole, they must be accurate off the tee.  

Hole 17 – Nandina – 440 Yards – Par 4

Getting to the greens in this Par 4 isn’t much of an issue.  The main issue arises when they get onto the green. There is level changes and slopes all over this green and it makes it without a doubt one of the hardest holes to birdie on.  

Hole 18 – Holly – 465 Yards – Par 4

This dogleg right is lined up next to two bunkers.  The fairway itself is rather thin and it just doesn’t leave a lot of room to be sloppy with the 2nd shot.  This is the final hole of the course so naturally it is one of the tougher on the course.

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Masters Cut Info

Due to the fact that The Masters has a smaller field, they do a different style of cut for the event.  The Masters makes their cut after 36 holes and to be able to play in the second half of the tournament or on Saturday and Sunday, golfers must complete the 36 holes in the Top 50 places plus ties or finish within 10 strokes of the current leader after the 36 holes.  It should also be noted that there is no MDF cut.

Augusta, Georgia Weather

The weather is normally not really much of a big deal at The Masters. There normally isn’t much wind due to the layout of the course. This week, the weather should play out as follows:

  • Thursday – Partly Cloudy with temps in the low 80’s
  • Friday – AM Showers with temps in the mid 80’s
  • Saturday – PM Showers with temps in the low 80’s
  • Sunday – Scattered Thunderstorms are expected throughout the day with temps in low 80’s

Hot Trends, System Attributes and Key Factors

There are several key factors this week that we will utilize in selecting our golfers for The Masters.  We have also added some trends in here for those that believe in the trends. In a golf course like Augusta National, I am a firm believer that course history is one of the best factors you can use.  For those that have never played on the undelation like Augusta National, it will be extremely difficult to adjust to and will be a hard adaptation when putting.

  • The Official World Golf Rankings #1 Golfer has not won The Masters since 2005, when Tiger Woods won as the world’s top golfer.
  • The only golfer to win The Masters on his first try, besides the first two years of existence was Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979.  
  • There have only been 6 previous winners of The Masters that were over 40 years old.  
  • 8 of the last 10 winners of The Masters were T25 or better in Driving Distance.
  • 6 of the last 7 winners of The Masters were T36 or better in Par 4 Scoring.
  • 7 of the last 9 winners of The Masters were T19 or better in Par 5 Scoring.
  • Current Form
  • Recent Course History (August National)
  • Driving Distance
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green
  • Par 5 Scoring
  • Scrambling
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting

 

Masters Qualifying

CATEGORY 1: Masters Tournament Champions

Angel Cabrera (1), Argentina

Fred Couples (1)

Sergio Garcia (1, 18, 19), Spain

Trevor Immelman, (1), South Africa

Zach Johnson (1, 3)

Bernhard Langer (1), Germany

Sandy Lyle (1), Scotland

Phil Mickelson (1, 3, 16, 17, 18, 19)

Larry Mize (1)

Jose Maria Olazabal (1), Spain

Patrick Reed (1, 13, 17, 18, 19)

Charl Schwartzel (1, 12), South Africa

Adam Scott (1, 12, 15, 18, 19), Australia

Vijay Singh (1), Fiji

Jordan Spieth (1, 2, 3, 12, 18, 19)

Bubba Watson (1, 16, 17, 18, 19)

Mike Weir (1), Canada

Danny Willett (1), England

Tiger Woods (1, 15, 17, 18, 19)

Ian Woosnam (1), Wales

CATEGORY 2: U.S. Open champions (Five-year exemption)

Justin Rose (2, 14, 16, 17, 18, 19), England

Martin Kaymer (2), Germany

Dustin Johnson (2, 13, 16, 17, 18, 19)

Brooks Koepka (2, 4, 13, 16, 17, 18, 19)

CATEGORY 3: The Open Champions (Five-year exemption)

Rory McIlroy (3, 4, 5, 14, 17, 18, 19), Northern Ireland

Henrik Stenson (3, 18, 19)

Francesco Molinari (3, 14, 16, 17, 18, 19), Italy

CATEGORY 4: PGA Champions (Five-year exemption)

Justin Thomas (4, 16, 17, 18, 19)

Jimmy Walker (4)

Jason Day (4, 16, 17, 18, 19), Australia

CATEGORY 5: The Players Championship Winners (Three-year exemption)

Si-Woo Kim (5), South Korea

Webb Simpson (5, 17, 18, 19)

CATEGORY 6: Current Olympic Golf Medalist (One year)

N/A

CATEGORY 7-A: Current U.S. Amateur champion

Viktor Hovland (7), Norway

CATEGORY 7-B: Current U.S. Amateur runner-up

Devon Bling (7)

CATEGORY 8: Current British Amateur Champion

Jovan Rebula, South Africa (8)

CATEGORY 9: Current Asia-Pacific Amateur Champion

Takumi Kanaya (9)

CATEGORY 10: Current Latin America Amateur Champion

Alvaro Ortiz, Mexico (10)

CATEGORY 11: Current U.S. Mid-Amateur Champion

Kevin O'Connell (11)

CATEGORY 12: First 12 players (including ties) in previous year's Masters

Jon Rahm (12, 15, 17, 18, 19), Spain

Cameron Smith (12, 17, 18, 19), Australia

Marc Leishman (12, 16, 17, 18, 19), Australia

Tony Finau (12, 17, 18, 19)

Charley Hoffman (12)

Louis Oosthuizen (12, 18, 19), South Africa

CATEGORY 13: First 4 players (including ties) in previous year's U.S. Open

Tommy Fleetwood, England (13, 17, 18, 19)

CATEGORY 14: First 4 players (including ties) in previous year's Open Championship

Xander Schauffele (14, 17, 18, 19)

Kevin Kisner (14, 16, 18, 19)

CATEGORY 15: First 4 players (including ties) in previous year's PGA Championship

Stewart Cink (15)

CATEGORY 16: Individual winners of PGA Tour events that award a full-point allocation for the season-ending Tour Championship, from previous Masters to current Masters

Satoshi Kodaira (16, 18), Japan

Andrew Landry (16)

Aaron Wise (16, 17)

Bryson DeChambeau (16, 17, 18, 19)

Kevin Na (16, 17, 18)

Michael Kim (16)

Brandt Snedeker (16, 18, 19)

Keegan Bradley (16, 17, 18, 19)

Kevin Tway (16)

Matt Kuchar (16, 18, 19)

Charles Howell III (16, 19)

Adam Long (16)

Rickie Fowler (16, 17, 18, 19)

J.B. Holmes (16, 19)

Keith Mitchell (16)

Paul Casey (16, 17, 18, 19)

Corey Conners (16)

CATEGORY 17: Qualifiers for previous year's season-ending Tour Championship

Patrick Cantlay (17, 18, 19)

Billy Horschel (17, 18, 19)

Patton Kizzire (17)

Hideki Matsuyama (17, 18, 19)

Kyle Stanley (17, 18, 19)

Gary Woodland (17, 18, 19)

CATEGORY 18: Top 50 on final Official World Golf Ranking for previous calendar year

Alex Noren (18, 19)

Tyrrell Hatton (18, 19)

Rafa Cabrera Bello (18, 19)

Eddie Pepperrell (18, 19)

Kiradech Aphibarnrat (18, 19)

Ian Poulter (18, 19)

Matthew Fitzpatrick (18, 19)

Haotong Li (18, 19)

Thorbjorn Olsen (18)

Matt Wallace (18, 19)

Lucas Bjerregaard (18, 19)

Emiliano Grillo (18)

Branden Grace (18, 19)

CATEGORY 19: The 50 leaders on the Official World Golf Ranking published during the week prior to the current Master's Tournament

Justin Harding (19), South Africa

Shane Lowry (19), Ireland

SPECIAL EXEMPTION

Shugo Imahira, Japan

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Rickie Fowler +1860 at WagerWeb for 1 Unit

Is this the year for Rickie?  Survey says….YES! Rickie has played really well here, especially last year where he finished in 2nd place. He is well rested taking off the past 3 weeks off and is in decent form with a win at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and a 2nd place finish at the Honda Classic.  I am expecting a really big week from Rickie, and look forward to seeing him put on the green jacket.

Tommy Fleetwood +3183 at Bookmaker for 1 Unit

I tried so friggen hard to talk myself off of Tommy Fleetwood but I just can’t.  As many of you know that follow me each week, I rarely play this guy because he is just to volatile and unpredictable.  That being said, I can’t ignore his numbers this week. Augusta National requires decent scrambling numbers and that is where Fleetwood shines.  He is 5th on tour and his Tee To Green numbers are also strong, ranking 6th on tour. At this price, I have to play him!

Xander Schauffele +4991 at Bookmaker for 1 Unit

Most people will look at Xander’s initial numbers on paper and immediately look past him.  Shame on you if you are one of those people! Those same people did that last year when Patrick Reed missed the cut and then won the Masters!  Don’t let that be you this year with Xander. He broke the ice here last year, playing in his first time at Augusta National and finishing in 50th place. Xander does really well with Par 4 Scoring, Par 5 Scoring Average and Bogey Avoidance.  Love me some Xander this week!

Matt Kuchar +4500 at GTBets for 1 Unit

How do you not like Matt Kuchar in the Masters this year?  If you take out of the equation the 2 weeks that had the drama with the issue of not paying the caddie. If you ignore those 2 weeks, rightfully so, then you will find that this guy has been Kuch always plays well here at the Masters and at these absolutely crazy numbers, I think he is a must play!

Charles Howell +12500 at WagerWeb for ½ Unit

Howell hasn’t played at Augusta National since 2012, when he finished in 19th place. He has been playing respectable golf all year long and now heads into the Masters with really strong numbers.  What is so impressive is Howell, even at these crazy odds, is the top ranked golfer in our system. He is #1 on tour in Par 4 Scoring Average, 2nd in Ball Striking, 2nd in Greens in Reg and 2nd in Bogey Avoidance.  Howell is absolutely worth a half unit!

Matt Wallace +15000 at Bookmaker for ½ Unit

He may not be the most attractive golfer in the tournament but Matt Wallace really sets up nicely for the Masters.  I tried to talk myself out of playing him, saying first timers never win at Augusta National but then again there is always Fuzzy Zoeller and Tiger Woods.  Here is why I can’t get off of this guy, for starters he is #1 on tour with Greens In Reg, 24th in Driving Distance, 37th in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and 38th in Par 4 Scoring Average.  The guy really should do well here this week and is deserving a half unit!

Head To Head Matchups

Matt Kuchar over Marc Leishman -120 for 2.5 Units

Rickie Fowler over Paul Casey -152 for 2 Units

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