MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
Course: The Montgomerie Maxx Royal
Where: Belek, Turkey
Date & Time: November 7 -10, 2019
This week, the European Tour heads to Turkey for the Turkish Airlines Open golf tournament. This tournament has been around since 2013 with each of the 6 previous winners scoring an average of -20.
Justin Rose and Victor Dubuisson have both won this tournament twice. Rose has won this tournament in each of the last two years, while Dubuisson won in 2013 and 2015. Brooks Koepka won here in 2014 and Thorbjorn Olesen won here in 2016.
It should be noted that Olesen, Dubuisson and Koepka were all longshots at 40/1 or better, while the past two years, Rose has come in at 5/1 and 7/1.
This is a no-cut event due to the fact that there are only 74 golfers in this tournament.
The Montgomerie Maxx Royal Details
The Turkish Airlines Open is hosted this year at the Montgomerie Maxx Royal in Belek, Turkey. This course is one of the easier courses that we will see on the European Tour. It sits about 45 minutes east of Antalya, where the tournament was played last year.
The course measures 7,133 yards and plays as a Par 72. It sets up along the coastline however there are many trees that border the course. This is a unique forestlands course with plenty of trees but still has a tendency to be windy.
The fairways are split with difficulty between the front 9 and the back 9. The front 9 you could drive a tractor trailer through. The back 9, not so much. The back 9 definitely plays more difficult as far as fairways are concerned, with water being in play on 8 holes throughout the course.
Turkish Airlines System Attributes and Scoring
There are plenty attributes that we can get from looking at the previous tournaments here at Montgomerie Maxx Royal. The tournament was played here in 2013, 2014 and 2015, before moving in 2016 – 2018 to a new location.
With the tournament returning here this year, we can use those previous stats to gain a significant edge in the tournament. It should also be noted that several of these golfers have played in that tournament in 2013-2015.
The overall top stat that we’ve found common with all the winners and the top 10 at this course, is Birdies or Better %. You have to be able to score here to have any chance at winning. As we said earlier, average scores will come in around -20 and it wouldn’t shock me to see the winner end up this weekend with around -22 to -24!
Golfers To Wager on in the Turkish Airlines Open
Tyrrell Hatton at 16/1 for 3 Units
Hatton is one of the hottest golfers on tour right now and is coming off 4 straight strong tournaments. He finished in 14th place last week at the WGC-HSBC Champions Tournament and a 6th place finish 2 weeks prior at the CJ Cup at Nine Bridges. Hatton has experience here on this course, where he played in 2015 and 2014, finishing in 26th place and 19th place. Hatton has very low odds but it will pay to put a few units on him this week since there is only 74 golfers playing this week.
Paul Waring at 50/1 for 1 Unit
I like Waring for a few reasons this week. First off, he is playing really good golf right now. He finished in 8th place last week at the WGC-HSBC Champions Tournament. The tournament before that, he finished in 25th place at the Italian Open. The week before that, he finished in 3rd place at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. He is in great form and best of all, his odds are very strong.
Marcus Kinhult at 50/1 for 1 Unit
Kinhult is a golfer that has progressively gotten better and as many of you know, I love playing golfers that improve their finishing position in 3 straight tournaments. Well, Kinhult has improved his finishing position in 4 straight tournaments! He finished in 11th place at the Amundi Open de France and has shown signs that he is on the brink of a big win. At 50/1, he is a must play for me.