US Open Handicapping Picks and Betting Preview

by Earl Campbell | June 17, 2021 |

Welcome to the Spooky Express’s weekly golf breakdown, where we dive in head first to this week’s tournament and look for your best options for golf betting.  In this week’s golf betting article, we will take a look at the course, course history, recent form and many other variables that we feel will have a bearing on the outcome of this week’s tournament.  Without any further delay, let’s take a look at the US Open from Torrey Pines.  

The pro’s of the PGA head to Torrey Pines in San Diego, California this week for the 2021 US Open.  Before we talk about this week, let’s briefly go over last week at the Palmetto Championship.

Once again, we were the bride’s maid as we finished in 2nd place again!  Folks, I am just as frustrated as anyone as we keep hitting that 2nd place spot and failing to capitalize on cashing in a winner.  If you have been playing Top 5 and Top 10, well you have been super happy with us but we don’t pick these for 2nd place, we want the winner!   

Enough about last week and how close we were and let’s jump into a major and the 2021 US Open.  

US Open Tournament Details

Current Champion: Bryson Dechambeau

Dates: June 17-20, 2021

Prize Pool: $12,500,000

The tournament has a prize pool of $12.5 million dollars with the winner taking home his share of the prize pool, which this year happens to be $2.25 million dollars.  

This year, there will be several prior winners of the US Open participating in the tournament. Every winner of the US Open dating back to 2011 will be in this tournament, making it one of the more competitive tournaments in recent history.  

Torrey Pines Golf Course Details

The Farmers Insurance Open is played at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego, California so we will utilize a significant amount of stats from the Farmers Insurance Open.   The US Open tournament will take place on the South Course at Torrey Pines. The South Courses plays as a Par 72 and measures out as 7,698 yards.  

The South Course at Torrey Pines is without a doubt one of the tougher courses that these pro’s play on each year!  The course has it’s natural defenses and will not be easy as what we see at the Farmer’s Insurance Open because they will not be able to run up the score on the North Course because they will not play on that, like they do in the Farmer’s.  

This won’t be the first time they’ve played the US Open here.  Torrey Pines has been the site of the US Open in 2008, when Tiger Woods defeated Rocco Mediate in a playoff.  Another reason this course is so difficult is due to its location and the weather.

The course itself is set on the cliffs of the coast of California so with that being said you can expect lots of winds.  It is very difficult to judge how the winds will play out at Torrey Pines but I would venture to say they will play a part in the winner this week. 

System Attributes

There are several major factors that have given us the advantage in research.  Course history is important but not so much that you look past other factors. 

The first attribute we will take into consideration is Driving Distance. This course is no doubt a bomber course and long drivers are key.  In the last 13 years, 10 of the winners ranked in the Top 50 in Driving Distance the week of the tournament.

The second attribute that we will focus on is Birdie or Better %.  On this course, you are going to need to steal those points when you can and that means strong in Birdie or Better %.  The past 12 out of 14 winners at the Farmers Insurance Open were T32 or better in Birdie or Better %.

Another attribute that we will key in on this week is Strokes Gained: Putting.  In the last 14 years, 10 winners ranked in the Top 50 in Strokes Gained: Putting.  With putting being over two different courses over the first two days, your putting will need to be on point this week.  

  • Birdie or Betting %
  • Driving Distance
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Greens In Reg
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Strokes Gained:Tee To Green
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better

Earl’s Top Golfers for US Open

  • Jon Rahm +1000 at MyBookie
  • Rory McIlroy +2000 at MyBookie
  • Xander Schauffele +1800 at MyBookie
  • Patrick Reed +3000 at MyBookie 
  • Tony Finau +3000 at MyBookie

Spooky's Top Golfers for US Open

  • Patrick Reed +3000 at MyBookie
  • Tyrrell Hatton +4500 at MyBookie
  • Jason Kokrak at +7500 at MyBookie
  • Brian Harmon +12500 at MyBookie
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