WGC-Mexico Championship Betting Tips and Handicapping Preview

by Earl Campbell | February 17, 2020 |

The World Golf Championship-Mexico Championship will take place this week from Mexico City, Mexico and will feature many of the top names in golf.  

This WGC event is one of four tournaments played as part of the World Golf Championship schedule and will take place over 4 days, from Thursday until Sunday.  

The tournament will be played at the Club De Golf Chapultepec Golf Course in Mexico City, Mexico.  

The tournament used to be played in Miami, Florida but moved to Mexico City in 2017, where Dustin Johnson won the tournament. When doing your research, be sure to only use the course history from 2017-2019 as the previous tournaments were held at other locations.  

DJ won in 2017 and showed up again last year to take home the crown, winning the 2019 tournament in Mexico City.  In 2019, Phil Mickelson was the winner of this tournament.  

The winner of the tournament this year will win their share of the $10,500,000 prize pool.  

Club De Golf Chapultepec Course Details

The WGC Mexico Championships is played at the Club De Golf Chapultepec Golf Course.  The course is located in Mexico City, Mexico. This is only the fourth time that the tournament has been played here, with the actual tournament itself being played 20 previous times.  

One major thing to keep in mind is the factor that this course is 7,870 feet above sea level and the elevation could be a big difference maker.  For starters, in higher elevation like this, golfers must be in supreme shape and for some of the guys that struggle making it through a regular 18 hole golf course, will be in some real trouble this year.  

If you go back and watch some of the last three year’s of tournaments played here, on any given day, and pick out an interview that was conducted at the conclusion of a golfers day, they mostly all said the same exact thing.  They all stated that the altitude was difficult to deal with and that basically means that their stamina was missing and they became tired on the course.

The course was designed in the early 1920’s by Willie and Alex Smith.  The course had a major renovation and redesign in 1972 by Percy Clifford.

The course measures 7,330 yards and plays as a Par 71.  Because of that elevation that we spoke about, mostly everyone will be able to crush the ball this week and therefore making the course play much smaller than what it seems.  

The fairways are surrounded by trees, so keeping the ball on the course is very important. The nice part about this course is with the elevation, the biggest ball strikers can maintain accuracy without crushing the ball due to the increased elevation.  The rough here at Club De Golf Chapultepec is made up of Kikuyu.

The greens are very similar to what the pro golfers saw on the California events, made up of Bentgrass and Poa Annua.  The greens are very much smaller than normal and golfers who are not hitting the ball well or who don’t have good approach numbers will struggle here.  

WGC Mexico Cut Info

Because this tournament is such a small field, all golfers will play the entire 4 days.  That means that there will be no cut for this event.

System Attributes

Last year, we heard the golfers talk about the elevation and the other thing we heard was them talk about how difficult the greens were.  Phil Mickelson called the greens the “Greatest challenge” he has faced in many years. The ironic part is the top 10 was filled with big ball strikers over superior putters.  When you look back at the last three years, 8 of the top 10 finishers were all long ball strikers.

Additionally, both Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson came into this tournament in great form!  In 2017 when DJ won, he was crushing fields and making hard courses look easy. In 2018, Phil was hot when he rolled into Mexico, coming in 2nd, 5th and 6th in his 3 prior tournaments.  

The other thing to look for this week is the European players. These guys seem to fair well in the elevation due to them playing in some higher elevations in Europe.  Additionally, we will look to last year, where we saw all ball strikers in the top 10. I won’t go solely with ball strikers, in case last year was an anomaly but I want accurate guys off the tee.  

  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Driving Distance
  • Ball Striking
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Greens in Reg  

Golfers

The tournament will contain some of the best golfers in the world.  Since 2010 the qualification criteria have been as follows:

  • Top 50 players from the Official World Golf Rankings
  • Top players from member tours' money lists or orders of merit
  • Top 30 PGA Tour FedEx Cup list
  • Top 20 European Tour
  • Top 2 each from Asian Tour, Japan Golf Tour, PGA Tour of Australasia, and Sunshine Tour
  • The field consists of approximately 70 eligible players, half that for most regular PGA Tour events. Because of the limited field, there is no 36-hole cut.

Tommy Fleetwood +2500 – Fleetwood has finished inside the Top 20 in each of the 3 times he has played here.  Fleetwood’s best finish came in 2017, when he was outplayed by DJ and finished in 2nd place.  Fleetwood is in great form, finishing in 11th place in the Dubai Desert Classic and a 2nd place the week prior at the Abu Dhabi Championship.  

Hideki Matsuyama +2000 – Matsuyama hasn’t recorded a win since 2017 and is long overdue!  He is playing some of the best golf on tour however he simply hasn’t been able to get over the hump for the win.  Last week, he finished in 5th place at the Genesis Invitational and is in great form. Hideki always plays well at these WGC events and I expect much of the same this year. 

Tyrrell Hatton +8000 – We haven’t seen Hatton in 2020 however he left off 2019 with a winner at the Turkish Airlines Open.  Hatton has played well here in Mexico, finishing in 3rd, 10th and 19th place. The time away from the golf course isn’t beneficial but Hatton has the experience to overcome the small break in golf.  

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