PGA Tour Expert Betting Pick: Valero Texas Open

The Valero Texas Open will kick off on Thursday, April 3 at the Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas. Golfers will compete for a slice of the prize purse of $9,500,000. MyBookie currently has Ludvig Aberg favored to win with a moneyline at +1200

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview

The Valero Texas Open has been played at the Oaks Course since 2010. It is a Par 72 that measures close to 7,450 yards and happens to play at a little over a 1,000 feet of elevation, ranking third highest on the PGA Tour schedule.

Golfers will need to be accurate off the tee and set up shots that are ideal for scrambling. The fairways can be tight and the greens are firm and a bit elevated. Deep bunkers also typically surround the green, so golfers must be accurate in their approach.

Weather is another factor here, as wind plays a role this time of year in Texas. Over the course of this event, expect some delays due to wind and rain (weather patterns may change, so stay up to date). Assuming conditions are perfect, the winning score could easily be -15 or more.

Golfers That Could Win

The Valero Texas Open will feature plenty of the best golfers to pick through to find success here. Below are some quality options that stand out.

Daniel Berger +2800

Berger is the 44th-best golfer in the World Golf Rankings and is coming off a T20 finish at the Players tournament. He has accumulated seven top-25 finishes over his last nine events (including a few from 2024).

Many golfers have elected to take off this week or use this event as a tune up before the Masters. Berger will be motivated to win and break his four year drought.

Tommy Fleetwood +1400

Fleetwood is one of the heavier favorites, but for a good reason. He has been consistent all season and has not placed outside of 22nd in the six events.

He is coming off a T16 at the Valspar Championship and will also be using this event as conditioning heading into the Masters. His game suits this event and should place well.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie has you covered with the best Valero Texas Open betting odds. Current odds show that Ludvig Aberg, the fifth-best golfer in the World Golf Rankings, has the best chance to win. However, one golfer has excellent momentum coming into this event.

Hideki Matsuyama, currently sixth in the rankings, started off the year strong with a win at the Sentry in January. He has yet to place a top 10 since, but did have a T13 finish at the Genesis Open in February.

Statistically, he ranks first in the field for scrambling and saves out of sand. He is also 13th when it comes to avoiding bogeys and fourth for strokes gained on Par 5’s in the last 36 rounds. This is a great opportunity for him.

Final Pick: Hideki Matsuyama +1800