The Bet On Sunshine Stakes Betting Preview and Free Pick – Saturday, November 6, 2021

by Spooky Express | November 4, 2021 |

The Bet on Sunshine Stakes will occur as Race 10 of a scheduled 11-race card going to post at 7:20 am (PT). Eight horses are entered to run for the $300,000 price. This race is restricted to horses three years old and upwards and will be run on the main track.

The distance for the Bet on Sunshine Stakes will be 6 furlongs. The weather for this day’s events is forecasted to be 67 degrees with mostly sunny skies. During the short September Meet at Churchill Downs, under the Twin Spires, the main track favored pace setters and those willing to sit just off the pace. Of the contenders today, we will highlight 4. 

Betting Preview: (3) Vertical Threat

If you can look past all of his terrible races, (3) Vertical Threat looks like a big-time contender. In graded stakes races, Vertical Threat can’t get the lead and gets demolished. Against non-graded stakes companies, this four-year-old colt generally gets the lead and wins comfortably. This field seems like the best non-graded stakes field he has faced to date, but I still like his chances. If jockey Adam Beschizza can claim the rail and the early lead, Vertical Threat will be tough to catch.

Betting Preview: (7) Sir Alfred James

Few horses like running under the Twin Spires more than (7) Alfred James. When this 5-year-old son of Munnings can get the lead at Churchill, he is very tough to catch. Oddly, his standard jockey Colby Hernandez is not getting the mount even though he is riding at Churchill on Saturday. His new jockey John McKee is winning at over 20 percent on the year.

Betting Preview: (4) Bango

(4) Bango is another horse that is almost impossible to leave out of the calculations when handicapping this race. This 4-year-old colt shows up to run every race. He has three wins and one show in his last four non-graded stakes races.

Jockey Marcelino Pedroza has piloted Bango to 2 of those three wins. In ten career starts at Churchill Downs, Bango has only finished out of the top 3 one time, and that was when less than three lengths beat him in a grade 1 earlier this year. 

Betting Preview: (1) Necker Island

Although I mentioned that early speed is very tough to beat at Churchill Downs, there is a possibility that there is a wicked pace duel in this race, and closer can come off the pace and win this thing. (1) Necker Island is cutting back in the distance to 6 furlongs, so he will not be able to run early with the speedsters.

In his last race, he cut back to 7 furlongs and had the best career race. Maybe six is too short, especially with this field, but time will tell. Also, you know what they say about his jockey Mitchell Murrill, bet Mitch, get rich.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Win (3) Vertical Threat

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