Horse Racing Betting Tips for Keeneland by Dietz- Saturday, Oct. 12, 2019

by Dietz | October 11, 2019 |

Not really much going on in the horse racing world with the Breeders Cup coming up in just three short weeks. Last weekend was the last major weekend of Graded races and big maiden debuts, but we do have a lone Grade 1 race running today on the turf in race nine.

Let us see how we do today at Keeneland. Not many turf races today, but I will use the ones that are being run.

Race 4

  • 1 – UNCHAINED – Gaffalione/Colebrook.  Gaffalione has been red hot of late, particularly in turf races. He is getting better and better. Second time out horse with a solid 74 Beyer in debut when he came in second in a maiden race.  Will improve and that is a legit win shot.
  • 2 – GREAT ISLAND – Castellano/Brown.  First time for this horse with solid workouts leading to career debut, 12/111 and 4/28.   Chad Brown is lethal with maiden horses, but he is going up against some solid second time out horses.  Use in exotics.
  • 11 – PRINCESS BLANCA – Major long shot here for exotics (triples and supers). Jockey is riding this horse for the third consecutive race having closed for third last race in a very high 135k maiden race.  They may have found something here.  Will need a speed duel for set up, but worth a shot in deep exotics.

Race 7

  • 1 and 1A – NO BANG NO BOOM/ONETHEWAYTONVERLAND – Ward has a coupled entry with bullet workouts coming in. One is a speed horse who will look to go wire to wire, the other can be a speed horse, but shows the ability to rate and close (ONTHEWAYTONVERLAND).  Use in all wagers.
  • 2 – CAROTARI – Gaffalione/Lynch. Said it before, this jockey is doing well of late and he is at his best at 5 ½ furlongs. Was over matched in the Grade 3 last race. Comes back to a level he has been successful at.
  • 4 – MUSTAAQEEM – Irad Ortiz/McLaughlin. First off the claim for trainer who puts blinkers on and second try on turf. Tough  horse to handicap. Exotics.
  • 11 – TINA’S EXCHANGE – Jose Ortiz/Phil D’Amato.  Horse raced a .55 seconds, five-furlong sprint on the turf last race getting fourth. CARATORI did the same time and got second.  I would not use to win, but deep exotics.

Race 9 – THE QUEEN ELIZABETH II CHALLENGE CUP – Grade 1

  • 3 – CAMBRIER PARC – Johnny V/Chad Brown. The combo is obvious and this one is red-hot of late winning 2 of 3, both wins at 1 1/8 and both at 1:46.  Horse is the real deal, but I think it can be beat.
  • 7 – MAGNETIC CHARM – Geroux/Haggas. This horse came flying for second on a soft Woodbine turf course at 1 1/8 miles in a time of 1:45. He is a deep closer with a lethal turf jockey on board. If a speed duel sets up this one will be a handful in the stretch. Major threat at a big price.
  • 8 – VARENKA – Castellano/Motion.  This is an interesting horse for a two reasons. First, he came in a dead heat at Saratoga with the next horse, REGAL GLORY. If you like this horse you have to like REGAL GLORY. Secondly, the horse steps up to Grade 1 level racing, but has been improving with each race, Beyer’s are 79, 86 and 87.  There is room to improve.
  • 9 – REGAL GLORY – Saez/Brown.  More experienced horse with multiple Graded Stakes races. Horse has never been worse than second in seven career starts. 

Good luck and thanks for horse racing with Dietz!

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