Horse Racing Picks for Saratoga Race Course – August 15-16, 2018

by | Aug 14, 2018 | Horse Racing

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The season is finally here.  I will pick three races a day (mostly turf races) for the entire season to handicap.

I will also post my “long shot of the day” and “most likely to win.”

For those of you who are new to my picks let me clarify that I will pick horses that I feel have a good chance to be in the top three.   I do not post the selections in winning order.

Let us not wait any longer and get things started.

Wednesday – August 15, 2018

The week in review had us doing pretty well until the weather changed the track conditions once again. Thursday and Friday, we combined for 6 winners and a few thirds. Saturday had races off the turf but managed to nail the exacta in the big race on the dirt with VOO DOO Song winning. Sunday all races were off the turf and Monday had two of the races off the turf.

The Arlington Park write up did well. If you followed Chad Brown or the Ortiz brothers, you made money. Think about this; if you used Johnny V, Jose Ortiz and Irad Ortiz in all four races for the late Pick 4 it would have cost you $40.50, but you would have won $4,300.

Race 4

BOWL OF KISSES – Third race of the form cycle. Irad rides. Should be the winner.

BANTY’S GIRL – Won last race off the claim. Hard to put in the winner’s circle breaking from the 2 slot in a 5 ½-furlong sprint, but exotics are there.

TEXAS MUSIC – Speed horse in here. Has been very consistent at this level. Not the best PP in a turf sprint.

Race 7

KIDORO – Chad Brown/Castellano on a long turf race. Second time out for this one who has some very good works coming in.

CIVIL UNION – Chad Brown on the grass with Jose Ortiz. Have not been big on Jose this year. Use with caution.

SOAR FROM SHADOWS – JJ Toner in the turf with Irad in the saddle. I always use Toner on the turf. He will win soon.

PETER’S KITTEN – Graham Motion has Rosario in the saddle. Rosario is tough to beat when he gets the lead and this one has speed to burn. Second time out and he will improve after fading in the stretch last out. The biggest fear is speed duel and he tires out again.

Race 9

DRYNACHAN – Brown/Castellano in a big race. Issue I have is the 5 ½ furlong sprint on turf and he is in the 2 hole. Win will be tough, but exotics are legit.

SHANG SHANG SHANG – Winner of two in a row for Wesly Ward. Paid $200,000 for this one and it is paying off. This will be the one to catch.

ELSA – Joe Bravo on turf sprint. Has solid bullet works leading up to second time out. He will need to step up in class, but his 1:02 5 ½ furlong win was fast.

MOST LIKELY TO WIN

Race 2 – ELEGANT ZIP

 

LONG SHOT OF THE DAY

Race 7 – KIDORO

Good luck and thanks for horseracing with Dietz!

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Thursday – August 16

I hate to say it again, but please pay attention to the track conditions and the races being on or off the turf.

Race 4

TRADEABLE – Second time outer has the advantage here over those who have not been out. Came closing late to get second and Leparoux sticks. Good sign.

LOVE AND LOVE – The other in here that is the second time out. This horse is out of GOLDENCENTS who was a tremendous sprinter. Cuts back in distance, but should be the one to catch.

RUVIES IN TIME – The third horse in the race who is a second-time starter. Paid $95,000 for this horse and Santana rides for Schosberg. He will be a price. Exotics.

Race 8

KATIE CRUEL – Jose Ortiz rides for Graham Motion. The horse comes in from overseas and stretches out to a mile after two sprint races. He is a closer and the added distance will help.

ALTEA – On paper, this is the class of the field having run in Grade 3 races the past 5 starts. The drop-down alone makes this one dangerous.

COOL BEANS – Brad Cox/Flourent Geroux combo. These two are lethal together and this horse has never been out of the money in five career starts. I think he prefers a firm turf course. If the course is soft or yielding, I do not see this front-runner holding on the end. More exotics than win.

EMMY PERFORMANCE – Brian Lynch is a good trainer and Saez has offered value on the turf all year. His numbers are comparable with the others in here. He will be flying late.

Race 9 – tough maiden race. I can see bombs coming in here.

MIKES GIRL – Santana/Asmussen combo. These two have tailed off, but you can blame the weather for that. Many of the races have been off the turf or in the slop this year. This turf stays dry and this second time out horse is a legit win threat.

ESPRESSO SHOT – In a race full of maiden horses, I am taking this horse only because of the jockey, Irad Ortiz. The postposition on turf sprints is not good, but exotics are a chance with Irad in the saddle.

MINESHAFT BLUES – Trainer is not well known, Phillip Gleaves and the jockey Maragh is not in the top tiers, but he can bring in the long shot. This trainer is quietly almost .30% with firsters on turf. The outside post helps.

MOST LIKELY TO WIN

Race 3 – PICO UNO

LONG SHOT OF THE DAY

Race 9 -MINESHAFT BLUES

Good luck and thanks for horseracing with Dietz!

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