Horse Racing Picks by Stogie for Saturday, April 17, 2021

by Ken Stogie | April 17, 2021 |

Keeneland Race 2

  • #6 Mo Reserve- in a small field like this I like to go with the early speed, and this Uncle Mo Gelding fits the Bill , he did fail as the Favorite in last start, however that was this one’s first race in over 15 months, he showed his typical early foot and faded late, I like the 3 works since that last run , the Pletcher horse’s will take all the money, could surprise here at a price, Win Contender
  • #3 Ashaar-strong race here last out ,while finishing second, had some serious late pace figs that day, will be pounded at the windows, Win Contender
  • #5 Portos- Pletcher runner who also had been shelved for awhile, returned to finish 5th in Optional25k,got some much needed freshening that day and has fired multiple bullets since, expect a much better performance today, Major Player

Selections 6-3-5-1


Keeneland Race 9 Elkhorn Stakes Grade 2

  • #6 Tide of the Sea- is a perfect 2-2 at this distance and 1-1 here at Keeneland, finished second by less than a length in a G2 at Gulfstream last out, while carrying 124lbs, 5 year old drops 8lbs off last, will be forwardly place today, I think this one might be overlooked today, should offer a good value at post time, Win Contender
  • #10 Red Knight- 7 year old doesn’t run much, but when he does he performs, he’ll be motoring late, Win Contender
  • #1 Cross Border- loved him in the Pan American , but flattened out late, he’s better than that last race , Major Threat

Selections 6-10-1-2


Oaklawn Park Race 9 Oaklawn Park Handicap Grade 2

  • #2 Express Train- dominated in the G2 San Pasquale two back, then ran huge in the G1 Santa Anita Handicap, finishing second by just a half a length, Colt is in great form and will be tough to beat , Top Pick
  • #1 Silver State- Hard Spun Colt is yet to win a graded stakes , but today might be the day, he’s reeled off 4 straight wins and is a perfect 2-2 here at Oaklawn, Win Contender
  • #6 Owendale – will need it quick up front, use underneath

Selections 2-1-6-7


Oaklawn Park Race  11 Apple Blossom Handicap G1

  • #6 Monomoy Girl- two- time Breeders Cup Distaff champ has crossed the finishing line first in 15 of 16 races, finishing second once and placed second through disqualification earlier in Career , this Superstar Mare ranks right up there with Ruffian and Zenyetta in my eyes, she’ll win yet again , champions do! Top Pick
  • #2 Swiss Skydiver-has run well at every track and has beaten the boys , stumbled badly when taking on Monomoy Girl the first time and had no chance , she’ll look Monomoy Girl in the eye late stretch and will likely fight gallantly, I just don’t think she’ll get by the Champ, Major Player
  • #3 Letruska – likely pace setter has been running at the top of her game , just can’t see her beating the top two, Irad rides

Selections 6-2-3-4


Most Likely to Win #6 Monomoy Girl Oaklawn Park Race 11

Value Play of the Day #6 Tide of the Sea Keeneland Race 9

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