The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Betting Preview and Free Pick – Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021

by Spooky Express | November 5, 2021 |

The Breeder’s Cup Dirt Mile Stakes will take place as Race 6 of a scheduled 12-race card going to post at 1:19 pm (PT). Eight horses will be running for the $1,000,000 purse.

This race is restricted to three-year-olds and upwards and will be run on the main dirt surface. The distance for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Stakes will be, you guessed it, one mile.  

The weather for this day’s events looks like every other day in So Cal, as perfect as you could ever dream. Typical running styles that win over this track in recent history are those who can go to the lead. Of the contenders today, we will be highlighting three probable winners.

Let’s face it though, there is a one truly special horse in this field. If they hadn’t gotten hurt earlier this year, they could have had big Derby dreams and been running in the Classic. Alas, they are here working towards a Breeder’s Cup Dirt Mile crown.

Betting Preview: (1) Silver State

Their recent race history suggests a second by only a head last out and several wins this year put this horse on my possible upset board. Jockey Ricardo Santana Jr is winning at 17% on the year and finally won a darn race yesterday at Del Mar. Trainer Steve Asmussen is winning at 19% for the year. Their running style is that of a stalker. 

Workout times are solid coming in. Morning line odds are 7/2. Their history on this track is nonexistent. Their history at the distance is good with 2 wins and 2 places in 4 starts. Their history on this surface is 11 of 12 in the money. Their experience in general says they love to upset at the most surprising of times. Can they do it on the biggest stage?

Betting Preview: (3) Ginobili

Their recent race history suggests they recently won a Grade 2 at Del Mar. Jockey Drayden Van Dyke is winning at 9% while trainer Richard Baltas is winning at 16% for the year. Their running style is that of a pacer. Workout times are just alright coming in. Morning line odds are 4/1 but I wouldn’t bet them at 10-1 or less. 

Their history on this track is solid with 3 wins in 4 tries. Their history at the distance is a perfect one for one. Their history on this surface is lacking but it seems they may have figured things out. Their experience, in general, says an underneath play at best.

Betting Preview: (5) Life is Good

Their recent race history suggests the only loss they ever suffered was by a neck to Jackie’s Warrior who is going to be 1/1 in his Breeders’ Cup race. Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr is back on board and is winning at 23% for the year. Trainer Todd Pletcher is winning at 21%. Their running style is that of a speedster. Workout times are good coming in. Morning line odds are 4/5. 

Their history on this track is a perfect one-for-one. Their history at the distance is a perfect two for two. Their history on this surface is  4-1. Their experience in general asks what could have been if they never got injured. The price here will be extremely short but they are by far the class.

Spooky Express Free Pick: (5) Life is Good at short odds. 

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