The Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf Betting Preview and Free Pick – Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021

by Spooky Express | November 5, 2021 |

The Maker’s Mark Filly and Mare Turf Stakes will take place as Race 7 of a scheduled 12-race card going to post at 1:59 pm (PT). Twelve horses will be running for the $2,000,000 purse.

This race is restricted to fillies and mares three years old and upward and will be run on the main turf surface. The distance for the Maker’s Mark Filly and Mare Turf Stakes will be 1 ⅜ mile.  

The weather for this day’s events looks great. The sun always seems to shine at Del Mar, where the surf meets the turf. Typical running styles that win over this track in recent history are those who can close into a hot pace.

Of the contenders today, we will be highlighting three probable winners. The fourth horse that I’d go with is the Japanese newcomer (8) Loves Only You, but they are such an unknown.

Betting Preview: (1) Going to Vegas

Their recent race history suggests three wins in a row has this one coming in hot. Jockey Umberto Rispoli is winning at 20% and this may be his best shot to win a Breeders’ Cup race. Trainer Richard Baltas is winning at 16%. Their running style is that of a pacer.

Workout times are solid coming in. Morning line odds are 12/1. Their history on this track is good with six in the money finishes in seven races. If this horse can walk on the lead or sit right off of it, and the fractions aren’t super fast, then I think this is the price play based on experience.

Betting Preview: (6) Love

Their recent race history suggests that a second and back to back thirds may not have this horse coming in off its best form, but everyone seems to be in love with Love. I just don’t see it. Sure, jockey Ryan Moore is winning at 38% when he comes to the US.

Yes, trainer Aidan O’Brien has won a million big turf races and is winning at 27% when he comes over. I just don’t think there is anything special about this horse. Their running style is that of a stalker/closer. Morning line odds are 4/1. Their history on this track is non-existent and this horse has never raced in America. No thank you.

Betting Preview: (7) War Like Goddess

Their recent race history suggests they’ve won four stakes in a row. Jockey Julien Leparoux is winning at 11% for the year. Trainer Bill Mott is winning at 18%. Their running style is that of a stalker. Workout times are average coming in. Morning line odds are 7/2.

Their history on this track is non-existent but this horse wins all over the place. Their history at the distance is a perfect 3 for 3. Their history on this surface is six of seven. Their experience in general puts them as the favorite. The price here may drop but this horse is super consistent and will be a major player.

Spooky Express Free Pick: (7) War Like Goddess over (1) Going to Vegas. Pass on the loves.

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