The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf Betting Preview and Free Pick – Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021

by Spooky Express | November 4, 2021 |

The biggest turf race of the year is finally here. What is better, Christmas Day or the Breeder’s Cup? I just don’t know. The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf will take place as Race 11 of a scheduled 12-race card going to post at 4:40 pm (PT).

Fourteen horses will be running for the $4,000,000 purse. This race is restricted to three-year-olds and upward and will be run on the main turf surface. The distance for the Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf will be 1 ½ mile.  

The weather for this day’s events looks good. Typical running styles that win over this track in recent history are those who can close into a hot pace. Of the contenders today, we will be highlighting four probable winners.

Betting Preview: (3) Domestic Spending

Their recent race history suggests this horse should probably be the favorite as they’ve won 2 of 3 Grade 1 races and finished second by a neck in their only loss. Jockey Flavien Prat is winning at 28% for the year.

Trainer Chad Brown is winning at 24% for the year. This is Flavien’s backyard though, Del Mar.  Their running style is that of a closer. Workout times are good coming in. Morning line odds are 4/1. Their history on this track is a perfect one-for-one. Turf races are unpredictable but this horse always shows up.

Betting Preview: (7) Walton Street

Their recent race history suggests they won at first asking in North America at Woodbine in a Grade 1 last out. Jockey Jamie Doyle is hopping back on board and is one of the best riders in Europe. Trainer Charlie Appleby is winning at 43% for the year which is ridiculous.

Their running style is that of a closer or a stalker. Morning line odds are 8/1. Their history on this track is x. Their history at the distance is 11 in the money finishes in 13 races. Their history on this surface is 15 for 19 in the money. Their experience in general puts this one underneath for me.

Betting Preview: (10) Yibir

Their recent race history suggests they’ve won back-to-back stakes and won first out here in America at Belmont. Jockey William Buick is a class rider shipping from Europe. Trainer Charlie Appleby is winning at the aforementioned 43%. Their running style is that of a closer. 

Morning line odds are 12/1 but they will bet that down. These connections are so solid. Their experience, in general, puts them with the best in the world. This could be the price plan here.

Betting Preview: (13) Tarnawa

Their recent race history suggests they’ve only won one race all year. Jockey C Keane is getting back on board for trainer Dermot Weld. Their running style is that of a closer.

Morning line odds are 9/5. The odds on this horse are way too short for anyone to take here. They won last year’s race, but their recent experience, in general, says this one is lacking. I’m going to be fading the favorite. Who is with me?

Spooky Express Free Pick: (3) Domestic Spending over (7,10).

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