Stogies Horse Racing Picks

Aqueduct, Churchill Downs & Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks – Best Bets & Top Contenders For 11/21/25

Aqueduct Race 3

2 Sabby Sunset was last seen finishing a good second at a similar level over this main track here at the Big A. This race was flattered when the winner Sheer Will defeated winners in her next start. With no world beaters in this Maiden Claiming 30k affair, I can see this girl getting here pic taken today. Top Pick

7 Nittardi showed some quick early foot in debut but tired late in the stretch to finish third at this level last out. Filly faces a shorter field today and should once again be on the lead. I like the jockey switch to Chris Elliott who does well on the front end. Win Contender

6 Alyvia Mavis was a nose away from graduating in her most recent start, she fits well here. Win Contender

Selections 2-7-6-3

Aqueduct Race 8

3 Grace and Grit makes her second start in the Linda Rice barn, Rice hits at a sweet 31% winners off that angle. Filly ran solid second last out versus similar at a mile and an eighth distance. She should relish the cut back to mile today. Win Contender

2 Graceful Rose outran her odds after finishing third by less than a length at this level 3 weeks ago. She likely moves forward off that effort as she makes her second start off the layoff for trainer Michael Gorham. Win Contender

5 Dream On Cara was listed as a non-starter last out when she acted up at the starting gate. Mare had reeled off 2 straight victories versus softer at the Spa. Gal only sports one win in 21 starts here at Aqueduct but has good chance in here to make some noise at a price. Live Longshot

Selections 3-2-5-8

Churchill Downs Race 9

2 Prince of Power is an intriguing Longshot. Gelding has been facing much tougher in Graded competition. He has some good early foot and loves a sloppy track which he likely gets today. Last time this son of Runhappy caught a sloppy track at this distance, he was a gate-to-wire winner by nearly 6-lengths. He’s a juicy 15-1 on the morning line and is definitely worth a shot. Live Longshot

4 Not This Boy has never finished off the board in 8 career starts and has 3 trips to the winners circle. He’s one of two in here who have run multiple triple digit Bris numbers and is the deserving favorite. Win Contender

7 Catching Freedom has back class, a red hot Jockey/Trainer combo and a recent bullet work. Win Contender

Selections 2-4-7-6

Fair Grounds Race 7 Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial Stakes

5 Swampy shined in debut when winning by over 3 lengths, then ran a strong second beaten by just a neck when facing winners for the first time in a Stakes race for Louisiana Breds at 7-furlongs. Filly should love the cutback to 6-furlongs today and should move forward off that solid recent effort . Win Contender

6 Liteupthenite defeated the aforementioned last out in that Stakes race at Delta Downs. This consistent Filly has been no worse than third in 4 career starts and makes her second start off the pine. She’ll be tough to beat in here. Win Contender

2 Little Miss Curlin dazzled in debut at Delta Downs defeating a large field of 10 and clocking in with a 81 dirt Bris number. Gal has been training lights out since. Win Contender

Selections 5-6-2-9