Stogies Horse Racing Picks

Belmont at the Big A, Churchill Downs & Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks | Best Bets & Top Selections for Sept 28, 2025

Expert horse racing picks for Belmont at the Big A, Churchill Downs & Santa Anita. Top selections, value plays & betting insights for Sept 28, 2025.

Belmont at the Big A Race 3

1 National Archive is a lightly raced daughter of Constitution who was able to close to finish second versus open company last out despite a pedestrian pace upfront. Gal has run two very good races back-to-back at these marathon distances. She won’t need much to defeat this lackluster group. Top Pick

7 Trail of Gold exits from a near 2-length victory in a Restricted Stakes race for NY Breds at Saratoga. Filly ran a career top that day, any repeat of that effort makes her a player here as she tries open company for the first time. Win Contender

3 Midnight Concerto is a straight out closer in a race that lacks any want-the-lead types. Filly likely doesn’t get the right set up here, but he enters here off a recent bullet and should be making up ground in the stretch drive. Use Underneath

Selections 1-7-3-6

Belmont at the Big A Race 8

4 Long Legged Queen makes her second start off the layoff after finishing a troubled 7th versus much tougher. Filly enters here off a 1/14 bullet. Gal fits well here with the drop in class. Live Longshot

8 West Loop makes his first start in the Mike Maker barn after finishing 5th at the level one month ago. Gal had awful trip that day and was only 2-lengths back at the wire. Filly gets an upgrade to Jockey Flavien Prat. With a cleaner trip today, I love this ones chances for the W. Win Contender

5 Kyla’s Kause broke Maiden last out off first time juice while clocking in with a career best 85 Bris turf number. Filly has raised her turf speed figures in each consecutive start. Another move forward today puts this Filly in the mix. Major Player

Selections 4-8-5-7

Churchill Downs Race 9

11 Bundle takes on winners for the first time off her Maiden Score at Ellis Park. I usually don’t take a Maiden winner taking on winners, but in this gals Maiden races, she’s faced some salty runners who would go on to win Stake races. I love this Filly’s here. Top Pick

4 Low Key sports the best late pace numbers of her competition today. She likely gets an ideal pace set up today for her closing style. Win Contender

10 Sharp Smile drops in class, gets first time lasix and sports a red hot Jockey/trainer combo. Major Threat

Selections 11-4-10-2

Santa Anita Race 7

9 Lady Gregory is a 11-time winner in 32 career starts and has won 3 of 6 on the turf here at Santa Anita. Gal is offered up today for 20k claiming tag which does raise some questions. Still, this Mare knows how to win and I can’t find anyone in this race that I believe can upset this morning line favorite. Top Pick

8 Press Your Luck is winless in 7 starts on the Santa Anita green but has run well here. Filly could surprise at a price today. Major Threat

7 Willow Cove hasn’t seen race day in over a year and probably needs a race under her belt. The work tab looks tight and Trainer Mike Puype has done well off this type of layoff in the past. Don’t Ignore

Selections 9-8-7-6