Horse Racing Picks by Stogie for Saturday, November 9, 2024

Aqueduct Race 5 Hill Prince Stakes

6 Right to Vote is a lightly raced Chad Brown trainee who comes out of a Maiden breaking victory in which he ran an impressive 94 Turf Bris number. The waters get much deeper as this Gelding steps up into Graded competition. This son of Vino Rosso is bred to go long, so he relish the added distance. I usually do not take a Maiden facing winners for the first time but Chad Brown would not enter this horse, unless he felt he can win. Live Longshot
2 Cugino exits from a disappointing last place finish in a Grade 3 at Kentucky Downs. I feel this Colt didn’t care for the unique turf course at Kentucky Downs and the distance was just too far. Colt was an over 4 length winner at this distance in the 275k Audubon Stakes at Churchill, two races back. He’ll show up today. Win Contender
3 Deterministic has been a different animal since switching surfaces to the turf. Colt has finished no worse than third in 4 starts on the turf, which includes a neck victory in the Grade 3 Virginia Derby at this distance. Win Contender

2 Integation was last seen finishing a disappointing 4th in the G2 Turf Cup at Kentucky Downs. I’m going to draw a line through that effort at Kentucky Downs, it is very difficult turf course to navigate, especially for first time starters there. This Colt is a Grade 2 winner over this turf course and with the jockey upgrade to Prat today, I can see a dominant performance in here. Top Pick
3 Pioneering Spirit makes his first start in the Rick Dutrow barn today. Dutrow hits at a sweet 23% winners with newbies to his stable. Live Longshot
8 Master Piece is a perfect 2-2 over this turf course which includes multiple Grade 2 victories. Major Player

5 Mystic Pleasure was a game in victory last out at Keeneland. Filly beat a full field of 9 Allowance/Optional 100k3x types. Gal ran an incredible 107 dirt Bris number that day. Any repeat of that effort handles this group today. Win Contender
6 Accomplished Girl goes turf to dirt, drops in class and makes her third start off the form cycle. Looks like a recipe for an upset. Win Contender
3 Spirit Wind is another in here who drops in class. Mare is the controlling speed in here and if no one pressures this gal early, she could be gone. Major Threat

4 Reckoning Force sports the highest turf speed figures of his competition today and reunites with Jockey Tyler Gaffalione, who has won on this Gelding. I love this ones chances today. Top Pick
8 Battle of Normandy enters here off three straight victories versus softer. Colt sports two back-to-back bullet works. One more move forward could get this Colt’s picture taken today. Win Contender
10 Cash Equity was overmatched in a Grade 1 last out. Gelding fits well versus these but rarely wins. Use Underneath