Stogies Horse Racing Picks

Oaklawn, Gulfstream, Santa Anita & Turfway Park Picks and Stakes Analysis – 2/21/26

Oaklawn Park Race 9 Ratings Handicap 

11 Liuzza is stuck on a good race, bad race cycle and now is due for another good effort. Draw a line through this gals last race as she didn’t take to the Fair Grounds turf. Two races back this Mare came from near dead last to defeat lower Allowance types here at Oaklawn. She has enough tactical speed to get a solid position early and should get a good set up for her late kick. Win Contender 

3 Pistol finished a disappointing 6th versus tougher last out but if this daughter of Gun Runner runs back to her 2-length score at Churchill, she’ll have something to say at the wire. Win Contender 

2 Baytown Butterfly ran a even 4th versus a much tougher group of animals 2 months ago here at Oaklawn. Filly goes out for the red hot Peter Miller barn who is hitting at 31% winners this meet. Add Jockey Ramon Vazquez, who has won 8 of his last 31 starts, to the mix and you have a recipe for a victory today. Live Longshot 

Selections 11-3-2-8

Gulfstream Park Race 10 Gulfstream Park Sprint Stakes

6 Damon’s Mound opened 2026 with bang when defeating Florida Breds in the Sunshine Sprint Stakes in gate-to-wire fashion here at GP. This Billy Mott trainee doesn’t necessarily need the lead and will have to rate off the likely pace setter #5 Wound Up. 6-year old is perfect 2-2 here at Gulfstream and enters with a recent 1/90 bullet. Top Pick

5 Wound Up is your likely controlling speed in here, he just needs to be careful not to engage in a speed duel early. If somehow he can set a reasonable pace early, he’ll be tough to run down late. Win Contender

2 Jack’s Promise was 5-time winner in 2025 and has won 2 of 3 over this Gulfstream strip. If the pace is hot early, I like this closers chance late down the stretch drive. Don’t Ignore

1 Great Navigator just might outrun his 20-1 odds today. Use in the deep exoctics 

Selections 6-5-2-1

Santa Anita Race 7 Wishing Well Stakes 

6 Gratefully was last seen dominating a respectable group of Allowance/Optional 80k 2x foes over this turf course here at SA. Filly is unbeaten in 4 starts, two on the turf and 2 on the dirt. She steps up class ladder here but is in excellent form and her win here last month was done with ease. She should get a nice stalking trip a mow the pacesetters down in the stretch drive. Top Pick

8 Egyptian Mau gets an upgrade in the jockey department, drops in class, and sports the best late pace figures of his rivals in here. Don’t sleep on this closer. Win Contender

9 Jungle Peace has been idle for over 3 months but this Filly has back class and has been training well for her return. Don’t Ignore

Selections 6-8-9-7

Turfway Park Race 9 John Battaglia Memorial Stakes

7 Attfield has yet to run a bad race in 3 career starts and is sweet value with the 8-1 morning line. She makes her All-Weather debut today and I’m hoping this Colt takes to the surface switch. This son Vekoma has won 2of 3 on the turfwith only loss coming in a Grade 3. He’s a great value and my Pick for the upset win. Top Pick

11 Fulleffort rallied from off the pace to finish by just a length last out in the Leonatus Stakes over this  All-Weather track. Colt should be even tighter second off the bench today. Win Contender 

1 Street Beast was wire to wire winner of the Leonatus 3 weeks ago. Colt was able to establish an easy lead day which I believe he doesn’t get today. Still he’s a classy son of Street Sense who ran solid 4th in the Grade1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf. His class just might overcome the added expected early pressure today. Don’t Ignore

10 Aces Honor has moved forward in each consecutive start and could make some noise in here at a price. Live Longshot

Selections 7-11-1-10

STOGIE PLAYS FOR TODAY 

Santa Anita Race 7

$10WP #6 Gratefully(2-1)

$1 Trifecta Key Box 6/7,8,9=$29

Turfway Park Race 9

$10WPS #7 Attfield(8-1)

$1 Exacta Box 1,7,11

.50cent Trifecta Box 1,7,10,11

.50cent Superfecta Box 1,7,10,11= $56

Today’s Bankroll $85