Oaklawn Park & Tampa Bay Downs Picks: Expert Race Analysis, Contenders & Longshots – 12/12/25
Stogie
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5 Ganaas exits from a 5th place finish in the Grade 3 Street Sense. Colt tried to take them gate to wire while routing for the first time, only to fade late in the stretch. He now gets back to sprinting where he’s unbeaten in 2 starts. Win Contender
7 Strong Potential was a debut winner at Ellis Park defeating a large field of 11. Colt will need to move forward off that effort to get the job done today. He hasn’t seen race day in over 5 months but has been training exceptionally of late. Dont sleep on this Steve Asmussen trainee. Live Longshot
2 Dirty Rich ships in via the west coast for trainer Peter Miller. Colt gets back on the dirt after 2 unsuccessful starts on the green. He broke his maiden at this distance on the dirt at Del Mar by over 5 lengths with 92 dirt Bris number. Major Threat
Selections 5-7-2-4
Oaklawn Park Race 9
7 Midnight West was recently claimed for 50k after going gate to wire at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Gelding has won 3 of his last 4 races and fits well versus this competition today. The 10-1 morning line is too juicy to pass up. Live Longshot
10 Uncle Ceasar is another in here who was claimed off his last race, a second by 1 length finish at Parx. Gelding now makes his first start for the Brad Cox barn, who hits at a sweet 37% winners with newbies to his stable. Win Contender
8 Crisis Manager finally broke his maiden in his 6th career start, winning by nearly 3 lengths while running a career top. A move forward today puts this song of Liam’s Map right there at the wire. Major Player
Selections 7-10-8-5
Tampa Bay Downs Race 8
11 Abeliefinthislivin came back off a 13 month hiatus to run a even 6th beaten by just over 5 lengths on the Turf at Santa Anita 2 months ago. This son of Arrogate has back class and is a Grade 3 winner. He sports a recent bullet over this main track here at Tampa. I believe this Craig Smith trainee is sitting on a sharp effort today. Live Longshot
9 Skyloft is a perfect 3-3 on the dirt here at Tampa and reunites with jockey Jesus Castonen who has ridden this Gelding in all 3 wins here at Tampa. Win Contender
1 Neshume Isa Gulfstream Park shipper who sports the best late pace figures of his rivals today.He just might get the ideal pace scenario. Don’t Ignore