Stogie's Breeders Cup Picks for Saturday, November 2, 2024

Del Mar Race 4 Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

4 Vahva failed as the odds on favorite in the G1 Ballerina at the Spa last out. I’ll forgive that effort as I feel this Filly wasn’t handling the surface at Saratoga. This Gal will get the right set up for her stalking style and likely runs them down in the stretch run. Win Contender
9 Ways and Means has won three races in a row by a combined 15 lengths, which includes a Grade 1 victory. Filly is training exceptionally and appears to be sitting on a big run. Win Contender
7 Zeitlos is a deep closer who has won 6 of 8 starts this year. The added furlong should benefit this daughter of Curlin today. Major Threat

12 Bradsell has won 3 of his last 4 turf sprints overseas, defeating fields of 12,16 and 18. He also drops 11lbs off his last race. Win Contender
9 Cogburn is America’ top Turf sprinter and is a perfect 3-3 in 2024. Win Contender
6 Star of Mystery sports the lethal Godolphin/Appleby Owner/Trainer combo. Live Longshot

9 Awesome Result is a perfect 7-7 to start her career in Japan and is 3-3 at this distance. This regally Bred daughter of Justify looks like a special one. Top Pick
2 Thorpedo Anna has been destroying the ladies here in America and nearly defeated the boys in the Travers. She’s the deserving favorite but she’ll need to run better than her last victory to get by the aforementioned. Win Contender
4 Alice Verite is an intriguing Longshot in here who’s worth taking a flyer on. This Gal has won in front running fashion at longer distances and just might lull this group to sleep on the front end today. Live Longshot

3 Shahryar finished third at 26-1 in last years version of this race. He’s a proven shipper who travels well and could definitely win this race at a price. Live Longshot
11 Rebel Romance has won an incredible 14 of 21 Lifetime starts for trainer Charles Appleby. Gelding has won multiple Grade 1’s. Win Contender
6 Far Bridge enters here off back-to-back Grade 1 victories. He has the best chance of the American runners to get his pic taken today. Major Threat

13 Newgate has been training lights out for this race. Colt has enough tactical speed to overcome this 13 post. He likely will follow Arthur’s Ride and be forwardly placed. I believe this Bob Baffert trainee will fire his best career effort today. Live Longshot
1 Forever Young Is a Japanese Invader who would be undefeated if not for the continued bumping he received in the Kentucky Derby. He has the talent to overcome his terrible post. Win Contender
14 Next is a marathon runner who has destroyed the competition by double digit lengths. He’s never faced this caliber of competition but I believe if the pace is extremely hot early, he will have a shot in here. Major Threat
3 City of Troy has been monster on the turf overseas and will try to the Classic while trying the dirt for the first time. This scenario has not nice to foreign invaders trying the dirt for the first time. He has the talent to break that trend. Don’t Ignore

10 Moira is a closer who just might get the ideal set up today. Mare finished third in this race last year and has 3 very strong races since. Her work tab looks sharp and could make some noise in here at a sweet price. Win Contender
2 Full Count Felicia has a strong chance to take this group gate-to-wire, as she did last out when taking the G1 E.P. Taylor at Woodbine. Live Longshot
4 War Like Goddess is 7 year old veteran runner who will need it quick upfront. She would be compromised by a mild pace up front. However if the pace heats up, this gal will be motoring late. Major Threat
3 Cinderella’s Dream is in great form, winning two Graded Stakes in row, but she faces older horses today. I’m going to leave her underneath.

4 Nakatomi was no match last out versus the #3 in here Federal Judge, who had an uncontested lead and drew off by 5 lengths. However, with all the want the lead types in here, I believe this race sets up perfectly for this son of Firing Line. He should get first run at the leaders but will have to hold off the closers. Win Contender
10 Mullikin has excellent tactical speed and should be positioned just off the front runners today. I love this one’s chances today. Win Contender
9 Remake is a Japanese Invader who has run and traveled well at multiple venues. Major Player

7 Porta Fortuna finished second in last years BC Juvenile Filly Turf and has won 3 of 4 races since, including multiple Grade 1’s. This Talented Filly is going to be tough to beat in here. Top Pick
12 Carl Spackler is in the best form of his career for trainer Chad Brown, reeling off three straight victories that include 2 consecutive Grade 1 wins. Win Contender
1 Ramatuelle is another Euro in here who has done well versus some salty competition overseas. Win Contender
2 Chili Flag is a deep closer who could fill out your deep exotics. Don’t Ignore

8 Post Time faces much tougher than he has in his career, but he has some of the best late pace numbers of this bunch. If a speed duel ensues upfront, this Brittany Russell trainee just might run them down late. Win Contender
9 Domestic Product enters here off a career best when winning the H Allen Jerkins Stakes at 7 furlongs. Colts work tab looks sharp for his return. Win Contender
6 Seize the Gray is not going to win this on the front end. I’m hoping he settles just off the lead today, as he did when he won the Pat Day Mile. Major Threat