Stogies Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024

Aqueduct Race 3 Notebook Stakes

6 Kenny Be improved his dirt speed figure by 10 points in just his second career start. He drew off that day to win by over 8-lengths to break his Maiden. I love the outside draw today as there’s other early speed types in here. Look for this Gelding to lay just off the lead and make one big run at the front runners. Win Contender
3 Soontobeking is a late runner who just might get the ideal fast early pace upfront. He’s the most seasoned of his rivals today with 6 races under his belt. Win Contender
1 Man in Finance was impressive in debut, winning by nearly 8-lengths with a 95 Bris number. My only concern is this Gelding might have to work a bit early from this inner post. Use Underneath

4 Jack and Jim is a New York Bred who looks like a horse with some potential. He won his debut here despite a bad gate and troubled trip. Colt came home very quick in the last quarter of a mile with a strong gallop out. I like his chances here. Top Pick
8 Smooth Breeze ran very green when stepping up in class in the Grade 2 Pilgrim. Colt pressed the lead throughout that race and reacted poorly when the whip came out. He still managed to cash a paycheck by finishing 4th. I love the rider switch to Turf master Dylan Davis. A better trip and ride today could get this one to the winner’s circle. Win Contender
9 Early Adopter looked like a potential winner last out in the G2 Pilgrim but was bothered in the stretch run by the aforementioned. A clean trip today just might get this Chad Brown trainees picture taken today. Major Player

12 Forever Souper is unbeaten in 3 starts on the Synthetics. Gelding has reeled off 3 straight non-graded Stakes races. He’s a proven winner at multiple venues and has made the trip to the winner’s circle 9 times in 18 Lifetime starts. Win Contender
11 Dresden Row is an All-Weather win machine, winning 5 of 6 on the Synthetic, including back-to-back Grade 3’s. Win Contender
1 Artie’s Storm came back from a 11-month layoff to score a victory while sprinting versus Allowance/Optional 80k3N types here at Woodbine. A bounce is always possible off an effort like that first off the bench, but if this Gelding runs back to that performance and can handle the distance, he could make some noise in here at a price. Major Threat

1 Patches O’Houlihan is perfect 4-4 here at Woodbine in 2024. Gelding has won 3 Graded Stakes in that span. This local favorite should get the job done today. Win Contender
2 Flag of Honour has failed to fire in his last two starts on the turf. This Gelding gets back on his preferred surface today and should run a big race. He’s the defending champ of this race and does have a victory over the likely favorite Patches O’Houlihan. Win Contender
4 Nobals has been knocking heads with some very salty runners. He’s a 5-time winner on Synthetics and sports a 2/106 bullet coming in. Major Threat

Selections 1-2-4-5