MLB Betting Preview: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners – April 18, 2018
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Safeco Field in Seattle, WA
Date + Time (ET): Wed. April 18 @ 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline: HOU -161, SEA +151
Over/Under Total: 8
Quick Pick: HOU -161
The defending champion Houston Astros have opened the 2018 campaign as a solid team, posting an 11-7 record to this point. They boast a +21 differential, and though they have lacked consistent hitters across the board, they have been able to make up for it with stellar pitching. They are listed as -161 favorites in most sportsbooks today if you are looking to bet on them.
Another year, another “WE CAN MAKE THE PLAYOFFS THIS YEAR” mindset from the Mariners. They really need to end the drought they are on, as they always seem to come up on the short end. This has to be the year for them. They have too much talent to keep missing the postseason.
Houston Astros (11-7)
Lead by the hot-hitting of Jose Altuve, this team has been able to go out and win some big games. But, it has been their stellar starting pitching which is winning them a ton of ball games. Charlie Morton, Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole have all record ERA’s in the 1.00-1.35 range through 3-4 starts, a huge reason for the team ERA of 2.62. If they keep this up, beware.
It is the hot Gerrit Cole taking the mound for his 4th start of the 2018 season. He fired 7 innings against the Rangers on Saturday, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits and striking out 14. He has recorded 11 or more strikeouts in each of his first three starts and he has done a tremendous job of keeping the runs down.
Seattle Mariners (9-6)
This team has been hitting so far, and the acquisition of Dee Gordon has certainly paid off for them. Big data did not let them down, as he is hitting .302 with 5 RBI’s and 7 stolen bases. Robinson Cano hasn’t been driving too many runs in but has been great as far as reaching base goes. He boasts a .484 OBP so far this season. Mitch Haniger’s pop has lead the offense.
They will send Mike Leake to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He allowed 3 runs on 7 hits over 6 innings against the A’s on Saturday, while striking out four. He is still looking to find his footing in Seattle, and today is another chance.
Astros get the win
I’m picking the Astros, listed as -161 favorites in most sportsbooks today. They can beat a team with so many different weapons offensively, and Mike Leake is not off to a great start this year.
On the other hand, Gerrit Cole has been virtually unhittable this season, so his dominance on the mound will pay dividends for a team who is about to improve to 12-7 on the season thanks to him.