MLB Betting Preview: Atlanta Braves vs. St Louis Cardinals – Wednesday, May 15, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Sun Trust Park in Atlanta, Georgia
When: Wednesday, May 15th at 7:20 PM ET
Spread: Atlanta Braves -135
St. Louis takes on Atlanta in the second of a three-game series Wednesday. Last night the Cardinals waxed the Braves 14-3. Tonight's matchup features Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35 ERA) for the Cardinals and Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21 ERA) for the Braves.
Wacha's 3-0 record is very deceiving as he has been very disappointing to start the year. He has a 1.65 WHIP and has given up seven homers in 37 innings. Soroka has been stellar to start his career and has given up one or fewer earned runs in eight of his first 10 career starts.
Last night's 14-3 shellacking featured each team getting the exact number of hits as they did runs. The Cardinals crushed Mike Foltynewicz, continuing his poor start to the year. Jack Flaherty was plenty good for the Cardinals allowing only three hits in six innings. Wong, Molina, Fowler, and Ozuna all went deep for the Cards, who are looking to get back on track after a rough patch.
The Braves are the favorite at -135, and an over/under of 9.5.
Wacha Looking To Improve
The Cardinals have dropped 9 of 12 and have slipped down the standings in the NL Central.
Michael Wacha's season is off to a slow start, and he has gone six innings in his last three starts after coming back from a knee injury. He has been very wild, allowing 22 walks in 37 innings, and his WHIP of 1.65 indicates he is really struggling to miss bats. Coming into the season, Wacha had a career WHIP of around 1.30, so you have to wonder if the knee isn't still bothering him.
The Cardinals offense has been pretty good to start the season, with a team OPS of .773. Ozuna leads the team in homers with 12, and Jose Martinez has been taking advantage of his chances in the lineup, hitting .336. None of the Cardinals have faced Soroka before so should be an advantage tonight for the rookie right-hander.
St. Louis has a few bumps and bruises with Brett Cecil and Carlos Martinez both on the IL, and Harrison Bader is day to day.
The Braves are 21-21 and 10-11 at home. The Braves have won three of their last four after losing four consecutive games. The Braves are off to a bit of a slow start after their playoff run in 2018.
Mike Soroka has been as good as advertised. He has a WHIP of 1.04 and hasn't given up a homer in 29 2/3 innings this year, and opponents are hitting only .183 against him on the year.
The Braves offense has been led by Acuna's eight homers and Freddie Freeman's .304 batting average and .399 OBP. While those numbers aren't bad, Atlanta still needs more from their two superstars. The Braves offense has been slightly above average with a team OPS of .766. Their team pitching has been more the issue with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP.
The Braves have hit at a .366 clip against Wacha in his career. Freeman, Culbertson, and Inciarte all are hitting above .400 in their career against Wacha. Inciarte is day to day, so he may not be in the lineup tonight.
This game is all about the pitchers for us. You have one of the best pitchers going in Soroka, and Wacha, who is really struggling. That combined with the Cardinals' lack of experience against Soroka, and it seems like a no-brainer. We don't see the Cardinals putting up a lot of runs even with their outburst last night.
With Wacha's tendency for giving up the long ball and a great hitter's night in Atlanta, we see this one going to the Braves. We like the Braves at -135, and we like them at 5 inning line if you can get it before it gets to -150. We really thought this line should have been closer to -175. Braves $$