2019 Boston Red Sox Season Preview and Betting Picks

by Feb 11, 2019Baseball

2019 Boston Red Sox

Owner – John W. Henry (Fenway Sports Group)

General Manager – Dave Dombrowski

Manager – Alex Cora

Fenway Park

Boston, Massachusetts

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The World Series Champion Boston Red Sox will be looking to repeat and defend their title as the top team in the MLB.  

2018 was a great year for the Boston Red Sox, as they won the American League East, won the AL Pennant and went on to claim the World Series Championship with a win over the LA Dodgers.  

Now, the BoSox will enter 2019 as the favorite to win the World Series and repeat their previous season success!

2019 Boston Red Sox Management

The Boston Red Sox are led by Alex Cora.  Cora became the Red Sox Manager last year and led the Red Sox to a World Series win!  Cora and the Red Sox have since agreed on a contract extension that will keep him in Boston until at least the 2021 season, with the club having an option to keep him around until 2022.

Cora finished 2nd last year in the Manager of the Year voting, second to only Bob Melvin of the Oakland Athletics.  Cora is 43 years old and is just starting his managerial career, which appears to be long-lived with the amount of talent he has inherited with the Red Sox.  

2018 Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox played in their 118th season in the MLB in 2018.  They finished the year with a 108-54 record, winning the American League East Division over the New York Yankees.  The Red Sox went on to win the American League Pennant and punched their ticket to the World Series.

The Red Sox defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers in 5-games in the World Series. Steve Pearce was named the Boston Red Sox World Series MVP.  

The Red Sox beat the Dodgers 8-4 in Game 1, 4-2 in Game 2, 9-6 in Game 4 and closed out the series with a 5-1 win in Game 5. The only game the Red Sox lost was Game 3, by the score of 3-2.  

Boston Red Sox Offseason Signings and Departures

The Boston Red Sox made strong efforts into mainly maintaining their current roster, without going outside for many players.  They were able to hold on to many but not all, which is normal with any World Series winning team.

When teams find success, they often lose many of their players to other teams for more money.  Their starting pitching stayed true to form and the Red Sox were able to keep the base in place.  They exercised their 2019 option on Cy Young Award Winning Pitcher Chris Sale for $15 million dollars.  

They were also able to keep pitcher Davis Price, who declined the contract option that would have made him a free agent.  

The final piece of their Starting Rotation revolved around Nathan Eovaldi, whom the Red Sox locked up to a 4-year contract worth $67.5 million dollars.  

Boston offered closer Craig Kimbrel a one-year qualifying offer of $17.9 million dollars however Kimbrel declined the offer and became a free agent.  As of the date of this article, Kimbrel has not signed with any other team and there is a strong possibility that he may end up returning to the Boston Red Sox.  

For making the World Series MVP, the Boston Red Sox re-signed utility player Steve Pearce to a one-year contract with $6.25 million dollars. The Red Sox were also able to reach agreements to one-year contracts with Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley and Brock Holt.   

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2019 Boston Red Sox Projected Lineup

The Red Sox announced that they would move Andrew Benintendi to the leadoff spot and move Mookie Betts to the 2 hole.  Benintendi really came on strong last year and is expected to be one of the top hitters in the league moving forward this year.

Outside of that change, there really isn’t much change in their lineup. We can expect that they will once again be one of the top offensive lineups in the American League.  

  1. Andrew Benintendi – Outfield
  2. Mookie Betts – Outfield
  3. JD Martinez – DH
  4. Xander Bogaerts – Shortstop
  5. Mitch Moreland – 1st Base
  6. Rafael Devers – 3rd Base
  7. Dustin Pedroia – 2nd Base
  8. Christian Vazquez – Catcher
  9. Jackie Bradley Jr – Outfield

That will mean that the Red Sox will have Steve Pearce, Brock Holt, Eduardo Nunez, Blake Swihart and Sandy Leon on the bench in the utility role.

2019 Boston Red Sox Pitching Staff

The Red Sox will once again have one of the top pitching staffs in the American League. They will rely on their Ace Chris Sale, who they will most likely try to limit his innings this year.  Last year, Sale missed some time due to fatigue and injury so they would be wise to manage his starts over the course of the year.

David Price will be the #2 starter on the Red Sox.  Price should end up with 12-15 wins on the season. Rick Porcello should get the nod for the 3-spot.  Porcello, much like Price, should end up with around 12-15 wins on the season.

That leaves the 4 and 5 spot in the starting rotation open for 3 pitchers.  With the Red Sox resigning Eovaldi, I would think he will secure one of those spots.  The other starting role will go to either Erasmo Ramirez or Eduardo Rodriguez.

2019 Boston Red Sox Outlook and Betting Preview

It’s pretty hard to imagine that the Red Sox will not compete once again for the American League Pennant. They have maintained the majority of their roster from last year’s World Series-winning team and if their pitching staff can hold up through injuries and fatigue, they should cruise to another postseason appearance.  

With that being said, our friends at MyBookie have set the line for future wagers on the Boston Red Sox to win the World Series at +600.  Those odds really aren’t as strong as I would have liked to seen but we must consider the fact that they won the World Series last year with ease and return the same lineup.  

I don’t mind future wagers for Boston to win the World Series but I will fade them to win the American League Pennant.  The reason being, the odds are just not strong enough to risk playing. Right now, you can play Boston to win the AL Pennant at +290.  With New York, Houston and Cleveland all getting better, it wouldn’t be wise to play a team at +290. Therefore, we will fade Boston this year for the AL Pennant.

Finally, there are a few times that you can look for edges on when to play Boston.  First off, they are the best team on the road over the past 10 seasons. In the past 10 years, they have cashed on the road more than any other team, at a rate at 51.9% of the time.

Another time to look for the Red Sox is in the rare time they are coming off a 4 day + rest period.  This may happen during a rain out or during the time when they are on the end of a 2 day break and they get bad weather.  Either way, the Red Sox have gone 10-2 in the past 12 times dating back to 2009, on 4+ days rest, which is 83.3%.

You also will want to follow the Red Sox when they are playing non-league games.  When the Boston Red Sox play teams from the National League, they are 135-68, cashing at a rate of 66.5%, which is the highest among all teams in the majors against the opposing league.

One time that you want to fade the Red Sox may be when they are playing at home and are the underdog.  The Red Sox always play tough in Fenway Park but numbers don’t lie and the Red Sox are just 47-64 in the past 10 seasons as a home underdog!  

Be sure you check out the 2019 MLB Season Preview and Betting Guide to see more team previews and an overall outline on the 2019 MLB Season. 

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