MLB Betting Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds – Sunday, August 11, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, OH.
When: Sunday, August 11, 2019 at 1:10 PM
Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds -130
The Cincinnati Reds enter this game with a record of 56-59 and have won four of their last five games including games two and three of this series and are coming off a 10-1 win on Saturday in game three.
The Chicago Cubs enter this game with a record of 63-54 and have lost three of their last five games including games two and three of this series and will look to avoid the series loss with a win on Sunday.
Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Chicago Cubs.
The Chicago Cubs woes continue on the road as they are now thirteen games below .500 on the season on the road which could hurt them come playoff time. Chicago is 63-54 overall, 22-35 on the road and 6-20 as an underdog this season.
The Cubs will send Jon Lester to the mound for game four of the series. Lester is 9-8 on the season with a 4.39 ERA while striking out 122 over 123 innings pitched. He is also 2-1 in his last three starts against the Reds while allowing an average of 2.33 runs and striking out an average of 6.33 in those games.
Javier Baez leads the team in home runs, RBIs and runs with 28 home runs, 79 RBIs and 82 runs.
Chicago is averaging 5.06 runs per game which ranks 11th in the MLB. The Cubs are allowing an average of 4.31 runs per game which ranks 6th in the MLB.
The Reds have had a great August after going 6-3 this month but still remain three games under .500 on the season. Cincinnati is 56-59 overall, 33-27 at home and 28-20 as a favorite this season.
The Reds will send Luis Castillo to the mound for game four of the series. Castillo is 11-4 on the season with a 2.63 ERA while striking out 164 over 137 innings pitched. He is also 2-1 in his last three starts against the Cubs while allowing an average of 2 runs and striking out an average of 7.33 in those games.
Eugenio Suarez leads the team in home runs, RBIs and runs with 31 home runs, 73 RBIs and 62 runs.
Cincinnati is averaging 4.54 runs per game which ranks 21st in the MLB. The Reds are allowing an average of 4.27 runs per game which ranks 5th in the MLB.
Cincinnati Wins the Series 3-1
The Reds have a good record at home going 33-27 this season while the Cubs have struggled on the road this season going 22-35. The Reds also have the better pitcher on the mound for game four of the series on Sunday. Cincinnati is 6-4 in their last ten matchups with Chicago while outscoring the Cubs by an average of 5.50 to 4.40 in those games.
The Reds are 2-1 in their last three meetings with the Cubs while outscoring Chicago by an average of 6.67 to 5.00 in those contests. I look for those trends to continue with a Reds win over the Cubs in game four of the series on Sunday at home.