MLB Betting Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds – Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Matchup at a Glance
Where: Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, OH.
When: Friday, June 28, 2019
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs -115
The Chicago Cubs enter this game with a record of 50-44 and have won three of their last five games including a 3-0 series sweep at home over the Pittsburgh Pirates. That concluded on Sunday with an 8-3 win but are coming off a 3-6 loss in game one of this series on Monday.
The Cincinnati Reds enter this game with a record of 43-48 and have lost three of their last five games including a 1-2 series loss on the road against the Colorado Rockies over the weekend. That concluded on Sunday with a 9-10 loss but are coming off a game one win on Monday.
The Chicago Cubs are listed as -128 money line favorites over the Cincinnati Reds. Let’s take a closer look at these two teams and we’ll start with the underdog Cincinnati Reds.
The Cincinnati Reds are a competitive team, but they are not good enough to win the NL Central and are not good enough to make the playoffs as a wild card team this season. Cincinnati is 43-48 overall, 19-27 on the road and 22-33 as an underdog this season.
The Reds will send Anthony DeSclafani to the mound for game two of the series. DeSclafani is 5-4 on the season with a 4.26 ERA while striking out 90 over 86 2/3rd innings pitched. He is 2-1 in his last three starts against the Cubs while allowing an average of 2.67 runs and striking out an average of 4.67 in those games.
Yasiel Puig and Eugenio Suarez are tied for the team lead in home runs with 21 apiece. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBIs with 56. Eugenio Suarez and Joey Votto are tied for the team lead in runs with 46 apiece.
Cincinnati is averaging 4.40 runs per game which ranks 23rd in the MLB. The Reds are allowing an average of 4.03 runs per game which ranks 3rd in the MLB.
The Chicago Cubs are in a closely contested division race in the NL Central where just about every team has a chance to win the division. Chicago is 50-44 overall, 32-17 at home and 45-27 as a favorite this season.
The Cubs will send Alec Mills to the mound for game two of the series. Mills is making his first start of the season against the Reds. He is 1-0 in his lone start against the Reds while giving up 1 run and striking out 8 in the win.
Javier Baez leads the team in home runs and RBIs with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Kris Bryant leads the team in runs with 70.
Chicago is averaging 5.13 runs per game which ranks 11th in the MLB. The Cubs are allowing an average of 4.41 runs per game which ranks 10th in the MLB.
Chicago Wins Game Two
Both of these teams are competitive but make no mistake about it the Cubs are the better team and are still the favorites to win the NL Central. Cincinnati is 7-3 in their last ten matchups with Chicago while outscoring the Cubs by an average of 5.30 to 4.30 in those games. The Reds are 2-1 in their last three meetings with the Cubs while Chicago is outscoring Cincinnati by an average of 5 to 4.67 in those contests. Despite the record trend I still look for the Cubs to pick up the win in game two at home over the Reds on Tuesday.